2017 was a rough year to project pitchers in the Mets bullpen whether it was due to injury or misuse by a manager. Familia falls into multiple categories. he lead the league in games finished in 2015 and 2016 and came into 2017 injured and suspended. Ultimately he would under-perform compared to projections.
| Jeurys Familia | ||||||
| IP | Record | ERA | BB | K | WHIP | |
| 2016 | 77.2 | 3-4 | 2.55 | 31 | 84 | 1.21 |
| Projections | ||||||
| MLB.com | 72 | 3-3 | 2.63 | 25 | 77 | 1.17 |
| Steamer | 65 | 3-3 | 3.18 | 24 | 70 | 1.22 |
| ZiPS | 76 | 2.96 | 28 | 80 | 1.197 | |
| ESPN | 3-4 | 2.75 | 64 | 1.14 | ||
| Baseball Prospectus | 39.2 | 2-2 | 2.55 | 42 | 1.28 | |
| Sporting News | 51 | 2 | 2.65 | 17 | 57 | 1.16 |
| NBC Rotoworld | 53.2 | 3-3 | 2.85 | 18 | 59 | 1.19 |
| Rotowire | 60 | 3-4 | 2.70 | 18 | 65 | 1.133 |
| Baseball America | 78 | 3 | 1.96 | 24 | 70 | 0.97 |
| FBG 2017 | 50 | 4-4 | 2.89 | 17 | 52 | 1.16 |
| Average | 60.4889 | 2.8-3.3 | 2.71 | 21.38 | 63.60 | 1.16 |
2017 Stats:
1-1, 26 G, 24.2 IP, 4.38 ERA, 15 BB, 25 K, 1.459 WHIP
The computers assumed that Familia was going to pitch a whole season, which we already knew would be wrong thanks to the suspension. Even with that, he fell back more than any computer thought he would. When I read the Steamer projection, I thought they were way off base but they ended up being the closest to reality.
Hopefully 2018 will be better.
