Game Preview: Mets @ Guardians

Tuesday night was a weird game for the Mets. They fell behind early then rallied to cut the Guardians lead to one. Guardians scored more, Mets rallied again to cut the lead to one. Guardians scored more, Mets rallied again to cut the lead to one. Then the game was over.

It felt like the Mets had fight but also didn’t have fight. A weird game in midst of a bad few weeks for the Mets. In early April, when the Mets went on a winning streak, they got their swagger back and looked like they were having fun. This team desperately needs a winning streak.

Jose Quintana has pitched 46 2/3 innings over nine starts this season with a 5.21 ERA, 4.67 FIP, 1.457 WHIP and a 74 ERA+. He’s coming off of his first solid start in May where he held the Phillies to only two runs over 5 1/3 innings. It was also his first start all season where he walked zero batters. Quintana’s statcast numbers so far leave a lot to be desired. He has an xERA of 5.76 (8th percentile) and an xBA of .308 (4th percentile). There are only two members of the Guardians who have seen Quintana in a major league game: Austin Hedges (4-for-8, BB, 2 K) and José Ramírez (9-for-29, 3 2B, BB, 3 K).

Triston McKenzie is having a bounce back season after an injury mired 2023 campaign. Over nine starts, 47 1/3 innings, McKenzie has a 3.23 ERA, 4.88 FIP, 1.310 WHIP and a 119 ERA+. He does lead the league in walks at 28 (5.3 BB/9). Since April 19th he has pitched 34 1/3 innings with a 2.10 ERA with 16 BB and 35 K’s. Only a few Mets have faced McKenzie before:

  • Harrison Bader 1-2
  • Starling Marte 0-3, K
  • J.D. Martinez 0-3

Three Things To Watch For:

  1. Power Burst? The Mets had a burst of power in Tuesday’s game with Vientos, McNeil and Marte all hitting homers. It ultimately wasn’t enough but it did contribute to Tuesday’s weird overall vibe. There were times where it felt like the Mets were just going through the motions, and then other times where they were smashing the ball. Let’s hope that’s momentum going into this afternoon’s game.
  2. Does Lindor build on his solid day at the plate? Lindor went 2-for-5 Tuesday night with an RBI. The number one thing the Mets need right now is for Lindor to get hot. He is the heart and soul of the team. We’ve seen in the past when he gets hot, good things follow for other hitters in the lineup and the Mets overall.
  3. Edwin Díaz. Díaz hasn’t pitched since Saturday, which means he has had three off-days in a row. With the Mets having an off-day tomorrow it feels like no matter what Díaz should get into today’s game. There was a moment Tuesday night where he started to go through the early warm-up process but as the game script changed, he sat back down. If he comes in today, here’s hoping he regains his confidence.

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Guardians

The Mets look to bounce back from Monday’s lackluster loss as they take on the Guardians in game two of their three game set. With a 6:10 start time on Monday night, the Guardians wrapped the Mets up by an early 8:30 PM. The Mets pitching was there but the bats evaporated again after being a force the previous two games.

On paper tonight’s matchup could be much of the opposite with Houser (7.44 ERA) taking on Carrasco (5.16 ERA). Could be a long night!

Adrian Houser returns to the Mets rotation after a short stint in the bullpen. Overall this season he has pitched 32 2/3 innings with a 7.44 ERA, 5.20 FIP, 1.837 WHIP and a 52 ERA+. Compared to 2023, Houser is walking a lot more (2.7 to 6.3 BB/9) while striking out a lot less (7.8 to 4.7 K/9). Luckily, he’s keeping the ball in the park more (1.1 to 0.6 HR/9), otherwise his wayward ERA would be way worse. Houser has the following career numbers against the Guardians:

  • Gabriel Arias 0-1, K
  • David Fry 1-1
  • Andrés Giménez 0-2, K
  • Josh Naylor 0-2, K
  • José Ramírez 0-1, 2 BB

The Mets bats will get to face an old friend tonight in Carlos Carrasco. Carrasco came to the Mets with Francisco Lindor and had 5.02 ERA, 4.40 FIP over 49 games across two seasons for the Mets. He now finds himself back in Cleveland, a club he spent 11 seasons with before joining the Mets. This season he has made nine starts totaling 45 1/3 innings with a 5.16 ERA, 5.33 FIP, 1.456 WHIP and a 74 ERA+. He’s also leading the league in wild pitches at four. The Mets have the following career numbers against him:

  • Harrison Bader 0-2
  • J.D. Martinez 10-27, 2 2B, 2 HR, BB, 4 K
  • Omar Narváez 4-15, 2B, 3 BB, 4 K
  • Tyrone Taylor 0-4, K

Three Things To Watch For:

  1. Pete Alonso has been heating up for two weeks now. On May 6th Pete Alonso came into a game as a substitution and went 0-for-1 at the plate dropping his line for the season to .205/.293/.417. Since then he has played in 12 games going 16-for-51 at the plate with six doubles and two homers, hitting .314/.352/.549 over that stretch, thus raising his season line to .235/.309/.454.
  2. Mets pitchers walk a lot, but they also strikeout a lot. Mets pitchers lead the league in walks allowed out 207. You know this. The whole world knows this. The next closest team is the Marlins with 191. The Mets pitchers though are also 7th in strikeouts at 420, just one strikeout behind the Dodgers (421) and a few behind the Yankees (424). When this team starts firing on all cylinders, they have the potential to make a Wild Card run.
  3. Mets batters struck out too much last night. Here’s something that surprised me, Mets batters are 25th for strikeouts (with #1 striking out the most). Mets batters have struck out 366 times this year (Seattle leads the league with 486). It feels like the Mets strikeout numbers should be higher because of games like Monday night where everyone (literally every starter except Nido) strikes out. The Mets had 11K’s last night with Brett Baty’s 0-for-4, three punch-out night leading the way. If the Mets strikeout numbers dip tonight, they’re probably having a better night.

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Guardians

The Mets escaped Miami Sunday without being swept and now have to face the first place team in the AL Central – the Cleveland Guardians. The Guardians have a 1.5 game lead and are on a three game winning streak with a 30-17 record. Their +59 run differential is the second best in the American League, trailing only the Yankees.

Things for the Mets have been a bit rocky with the Mets bullpen falling apart multiple times over the last week. Sunday though was good reset for the team with solid hitting and pitching. Let’s hope the Mets can ride that momentum to Ohio.

Tylor Megill returns from the injured list tonight. He made one start this season where he allowed two runs, only one earned over four innings from three hits and three walks while striking out four. He’s looked good across his rehab starts, allowing only one run from nine hits over 14 innings. In his last rehab start he threw 74 pitches, so hopefully the Mets can get the same if not more tonight.

Tylor Megill made 25 starts for the Mets in 2023 over 126 1/3 innings with a 4.70 ERA, 4.96 FIP, 1.575 WHIP and an 88 ERA+. The only Guardian who has faced him in a major league game is Austin Hedges (1-for-2, 2B).

Ben Lively is making his seventh start of the season today. Over his first six starts (32 1/3 innings) he has a 3.06 ERA, 4.36 FIP, 1.268 WHIP and a 125 ERA+. This a fairly dramatic improvement from his 2023 campaign where he threw 88 2/3 innings over 19 games with a 5.38 ERA, 5.35 FIP, 1.365 WHIP and an 86 ERA+. Lively has been a bit more hit-able in his last two starts allowing six runs from 13 hits over 10 2/3 innings.

Lively’s first game of 2023 was against the Mets where he pitched three scoreless innings of relief holding the Mets to four runs. The Mets have the following career numbers against Ben Lively:

  • Pete Alonso 0-1
  • Brett Bay 0-1
  • Francisco Lindor 0-2, BB
  • Starling Marte 2-5
  • Jeff McNeil 0-1
  • Brandon Nimmo 1-8, BB, 2 K
  • Tyrone Taylor 1-3, HR

Three Things To Watch For:

  1. The return of the American Spork. The talk of spring training was Tylor Megill’s American Spork. It’s a splitter pitch that he developed with Kodai Senga throughout the season, that he used a handful of times in his last start in 2023 and then throughout spring training. How many times will he throw it tonight? Will it be effective?
  2. Anymore surprise illnesses? J.D. Martinez couldn’t start Sunday’s game due to flu-like symptoms. This has been happening to the Mets for the better part of two weeks now. Hopefully whatever is spreading around the Mets clubhouse stops soon.
  3. Old Friends. Andrés Giménez is thriving in Cleveland. Over 44 games this season he is hitting .277/.377/.387 with a 110 OPS+, his third time in the last five seasons that his OPS+ is over 100. Carlos Carrasco is back with Cleveland and the Mets will see him tomorrow.

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Marlins

Saturday’s game hurts. The Mets offense has struggled for swaths of the season, so losing a game after scoring nine runs from 15 hits almost feels unfair. Losing it because of the bullpen, which was the Mets greatest strength from start of the season adds another layer to that unfairness. But Saturday’s game is just one game of 162. A win today allows the Mets to avoid the sweep and try again to start a winning streak tomorrow.

Sean Manaea looks to lead the Mets back to the win column this afternoon. Over eight starts and 41 1/3 innings this season, Manaea has a 3.05 ERA, 3.26 FIP, 1.306 WHIP and 127 ERA+. Manaea is coming off of a strong start against the Phillies where he held them to one run over six innings from four hits and one walk. It was his third time in his last three starts that he allowed one run or less. More importantly though, it was his second straight start only walking one batter, allowing him to finish six innings for two straight starts. The Marlins have the following career numbers against Manaea:

  • Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0-3, K
  • Bryan De La Cruz 1-3, K
  • Nick Fortes 2-2, 2 HR
  • Emmanuel Rivera 1-3, HR, K

The Mets bats will get a look at Sixto Sánchez this afternoon in Miami. Sánchez was a highly touted prospect that impressed over seven games back in 2020, posting a 3.46 ERA, 3.50 FIP, 1.205 WHIP and a 132 ERA+ over 39 innings. Injuries have derailed his career, keeping him off the diamond completely in 2021 and 2022. He was able to pitch one inning in the minors last year.

This season the Marlins have used him both as a starter and as a reliever. Over 11 games he has pitched 22 2/3 innings with a 5.96 ERA, 4.60 FIP, 1.632 WHIP and a 72 ERA+. As a starter he has tossed 15 1/3 innings over four games allowing 13 runs, 10 earned (5.87 ERA) while striking out 10 batters. His last start was the deepest he has gone in a game going 4 2/3 innings holding the Tigers to three unearned runs. It was the first time this season he hit 80 pitches. There is no one on the current Mets roster who has faced Sánchez in a major league game.

Three Things To Watch For:

  1. J.D. keeps hitting, so we’ll keep watching. J.D. Martinez went 2-for-5 at the plate Saturday with a double. This should feel familiar as it was the fourth time in his last six games that J.D. recorded at least two hits. Over this six game stretch Martinez has gone 10-for-24 at the plate with four extra-base hits slashing .417/.462/.667. The difference on Saturday was that the rest of the lineup around Martinez also hit, so he was able to knock in a couple of runs too.
  2. Can Saturday’s breakouts turn into hot streaks? Starling Marte went 3-for-4 at the plate Saturday, it was the third time in the last five games that he has recorded at least two hits. This feels like Marte is breaking out of the slump he was mired in. Mark Vientos went 2-for-4 at the plate Saturday after going 0-for-6 in the previous two games. Jeff McNeil went 2-for-4 at the plate and now has hits in four of his last five games. The lineup feels so close to all clicking together.
  3. Francisco Lindor: The only starter who didn’t get into Saturday’s hit parade was Francisco Lindor who went 0-for-5 at the plate (but still recorded an RBI and a run). Lindor is the heart of the team. When he starts to breakout we’ll see this offense going on all cylinders.

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Marlins

Friday night was not a good one in Mets land. Christian Scott faced had his first difficult start in the majors while the offense just disappeared completely. The result was a Marlins 8-0 victory. For the Marlins, it was their fourth win in their last five games including three shutout victories.

The Mets can make this afternoon the inflection point for the series. Early offense, early effective pitching and the Mets can snap the Marlins right out of the hot streak they are currently on.

Luis Severino has pitched 45 innings over eight starts this season with a 3.00 ERA, 3.70 FIP, 1.200 WHIP and a 128 ERA+. He’s coming off of a successful start against the Braves where he held them to two runs over five innings from four hits and three walks. The walks prevented him from going deeper into the game. After five innings he tossed 94 pitches, and only 55 of them were for strikes (tied for his lowest strike total of the season). The Marlins have the following career numbers against him:

  • Christian Bethancourt 0-2, 2 K
  • Vidal Brujan 0-2
  • Jake Burger 2-3, 2B, HR, K
  • Emmanuel Rivera 0-3, 2 K

The Mets bats will get Braxton Garrett who is making his second start of the season. In his first start against the Phillies last week he allowed five runs from five hits and two walks while striking out eight over five innings. When he’s been on the field the last two seasons he’s been pretty consistent. In 2022 he had a 3.58 ERA, 3.56 FIP, 1.250 WHIP, 115 ERA+ over 88 innings. In 2023 he had a 3.66 ERA, 3.68 FIP, 1.146 WHIP and 125 ERA+ over 159 2/3 innings.

Due to the Mets and Marlins schedule last season, Braxton started his 2023 season by facing the Mets in back-to-back outings and then ended his 2023 season facing the Mets in back-to-back starts. Overall he had a 4.08 ERA, 1.472 WHIP over 17 2/3 innings of work. The Mets have the following career numbers against him:

  • Pete Alonso 6-15, 2 HR, 2 BB, 3 K
  • Brett Baty 0-2
  • Francisco Lindor 5-14, 2 2B, 3 HR, 3 K
  • Starling Marte 3-5, 2 2B, K
  • J.D. Martinez 0-3, 3 K
  • Jeff McNeil 3-8, 2B, BB
  • Omar Narváez 1-2
  • Tomás Nido 1-3
  • Brandon Nimmo 1-11, BB
  • DJ Stewart 0-2, K
  • Tyrone Taylor 0-4, K
  • Mark Vientos 0-4, K

Three Things To Watch For:

  1. J.D. Martinez is staying hot at the plate. While the rest of the Mets offense vanished on Friday night, Martinez went 2-for-4 at the plate. It was the third time in five games that Martinez recorded at least two hits. Overall in his last five games he has gone 8-for-19 with two doubles and a homer, hitting .421/.476/.684. He has reached based ten times but has only scored three times.
  2. Mets need Vientos and Baty to both get back into rhythm. Vientos has gone 2-for-10 at the plate since returning to the majors. Both of those hits came in his first game back. Since then he has gone 0-for-6. Brett Baty hasn’t seen as much playing time since Vientos joined the team (due to the amount of left handed pitching the Mets have faced) and has gone 1-for-3 over two games.
  3. The back of the Mets bullpen got the night off they needed. Losing a game by eight runs is not the optimal way to give the bullpen a rest, but all the high leverage relievers got the night off as Walker and Hartwig combined for four innings Friday night allowing four runs. When the Mets were racking up wins earlier in the season, the bullpen kept the team in games, regardless of the performance of the starting pitcher. The Mets sure need that bullpen now.

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Marlins vs Mets

The Mets survived Philadelphia!

Thursday night the Mets lost the lead twice, but were able to get the lead one more time in the 11th inning and just hold on for dear life. Now the Mets head to Miami, three games below .500, to face the struggling Miami Marlins.

Miami has spent most of the season struggling at historical levels. They are currently 13-32 and for a while were a candidate to possibly eclipse the 1962 Mets loss total. Things can never quite work out for the Mets and Miami has won three of their last four games, including beating the Phillies. So the Mets have the honor of facing the Marlins as a team on a roll for the first time in 2024.

Christian Scott looks to make it two wins in a row for the Mets this evening. Over his first two starts he has pitched 12 2/3 allowing four runs from 11 hits and three walks while striking out 14. He has a small-sample size 2.84 ERA, 2.64 FIP, 1.105 WHIP and a 137 ERA+. Scott looked good in his second start against a potent Atlanta lineup, generating 14 swing-and-miss strikes (he had 17 in his first start).

Jesús Luzardo has pitched 31 2/3 innings this season over six starts with a 5.97 ERA, 4.28 FIP, 1.326 WHIP and a 71 ERA+. His stats are being weighed down by two back-to-back starts in mid-April where he allowed 12 runs over 9 2/3 innings. In his last two starts he has allowed four runs from seven hits and four walks over 11 2/3 innings while striking out 14 batters (3.09 ERA, 1.74 FIP).

Luzardo poetically started his 2023 campaign against the Mets and ended it against the Mets. Overall he held the Mets to only one run over 12 1/3 innings while striking out 15 batters. The Mets have the following career numbers against him:

  • Pete Alonso 2-16, HR, 7 K
  • Harrison Bader 1-3, BB
  • Brett Baty 1-3
  • Francisco Lindor 3-12, 2 BB, 3 K
  • Starling Marte 2-6, K
  • Jeff McNeil 4-10, 2 K
  • Tomás Nido 1-5, BB, 3 K
  • Brandon Nimmo 3-9, 2B, HR, 2 BB K
  • DJ Stewart 0-4, K
  • Tyrone Taylor 2-3, 2B
  • Mark Vientos 0-6, BB, 3 K

Three Things To Watch For:

  1. Mets are still struggling with RISP. The Mets played an extremely close series with the Phillies, picking up one win and three losses. The Mets could have easily gone 3-1. Going 0-4 was also a distinct possibility. The issues the Mets had was closing games out and getting insurance runs. The Mets as a team last night went 3-for-15 with runners in scoring position. The Mets overall hit well in game, collecting eight total hits, but there was an opportunity to do a lot more damage. The Mets face a Marlins team that’s starting to get some confidence tonight and the Mets can squash that confidence collecting hits when they have RISP.
  2. The back of the Mets bullpen. The Mets bullpen has been a strength for most of this season, but it has not been for the last week or so. Edwin Díaz blew his third save opportunity in his last five outings on Thursday night. Because the Phillies and Mets played multiple extra-inning games, the bullpen is taxed, with the Mets using five different relievers Thursday alone. The Mets need a chance to reset and breath. Hopefully Scott can go deep into tonight’s game and give the Mets bullpen that opportunity.
  3. Harrison Bader providing the spark. The Mets were at their best earlier this season when Bader was the surprise spark in the Mets lineup. Thursday night he came off the bench and went 2-for-2 with a critical double. Let’s keep that spark and energy going through the weekend!

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Phillies

The Mets look to salvage a game this afternoon after losing three straight to the Phillies. The week started off with the Mets losing to the Phillies after blowing the save in the ninth inning in Queens. Since then the Mets have not hit well, not pitched well and the vibes are not great.

What did work Wednesday was Mark Vientos rejoining the roster. Vientos went 2-for-4 at the plate with a double, RBI and run scored. Through the fourth inning it looked like the Mets had a chance at the this game! But then the Mets allowed nine runs between the 5th and the 7th. The Mets desperately need a good day on both sides of the plate to reset the energy around the team.

Jose Quintana has pitched 41 1/3 innings over eight starts this season with a 5.44 ERA, 4.95 FIP, 1.548 WHIP and a 70 ERA+. Quintana had a rough start to May where he allowed eight runs over 2 2/3 innings against the Rays. In his last start he allowed four runs over five innings to the Braves, all four runs scoring in one bad inning of work. Over this entire season his xERA of 6.20 puts him in the 4th percentile and xBA of .317 in just the 2nd percentile.

His 2023 campaign ended with back-to-back starts against the Phillies that did not go so great, ballooning his season ERA from 3.02 to 3.57. He allowed ten runs, eight earned over ten innings pitched from 15 hits including three homers. The Phillies have the following career numbers against Quintana:

  • Alec Bohm 3-11, 2B, HR, 2 K
  • Nick Castellanos 12-46, 3B, 2 HR, 2 BB, 8 K
  • Bryce Harper 2-14, HR, 5 K
  • Whit Merrifield 4-15, 2 BB, 2 K
  • Cristian Pache 1-2
  • J.T. Realmuto 2-12, HR, 2 BB
  • Johan Rojas 3-5, 2 K
  • Kyle Schwarber 4-16, 2B, HR, 7 K
  • Edmundo Sosa 2-7, 3 K
  • Bryson Stott 0-1, BB
  • Garrett Stubbs 0-2

The Mets bats will face an old friend today in Taijuan Walker. Over three starts (18 2/3 innings) Walker has a 4.82 ERA, 5.25 FIP, 1.330 WHIP and an 84 ERA+. He is coming off of his best start of the season where he held the Marlins to only one run over six innings despite allowing eight hits. Walker and the Mets matched up four times last season leading to 23 innings of work with 10 runs from 14 hits (3.91 ERA). The Mets have the following career numbers against him:

  • Pete Alonso 2-10, 2 2B, BB, 3 K
  • Harrison Bader 0-6, 2 K
  • Brett Baty 1-9, K
  • Francisco Lindor 2-15, 2 BB, 4 K
  • Starling Marte 0-6, BB
  • J.D. Martinez 7-14, 2B, HR, 3 K
  • Jeff McNeil 1-7
  • Omar Narváez 2-7, HR, BB, K
  • Brandon Nimmo 3-9, 2B, HR, 2 BB, K
  • DJ Stewart 0-7, BB, 2 K
  • Tyrone Tayler 1-3, 2 K
  • Mark Vientos 0-2

Three Things To Watch For:

  1. J.D. has the hottest bat right now. The Mets signed J.D. to hit and that’s what he has been doing recently for the Mets. Since May 7th, Martinez has gone 9-for-28 at the plate with two doubles and two homers (.321/.345/.607). In the last three games he has gone 5-for-12 with three extra-base hits.
  2. Francisco Lindor – base stealer. In 2023 Lindor recorded his first ever 30-30 season hitting 31 homers and stealing 31 bases. Yesterday he stole two bases in the same game, bringing his total to six on the year. This puts him back on track for at least a 20-20 season, and this projection can be bumped up even higher when he starts to heat up at the plate.
  3. Well, at least Hartwig and Houser ate innings. On Wednesday Hartwig and Houser allowed five runs over 3 2/3 innings. Not great, and it really put the game out of reach for the Mets. At least they were able to finish off the game so higher leverage arms are fresh for tonight’s match.

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Phillies

Changes are coming to the New York Mets tonight in Philadelphia.

The Mets lost a rare Tuesday afternoon game / Tuesday getaway day game to Phillies 4-0, with the Mets barely putting up much of an offensive threat the afternoon. Before today’s game Joey Wendle will be officially DFA’d with Mark Vientos getting the call up to help the Mets struggling offense. Further, Joey Lucchesi will get the start over Adrian Houser, who had to warm up in Tuesday’s game because of the amount of pitchers the Mets used. It’s going to be a tall order for the Mets tonight against one of the best pitchers in baseball, can the roster shakeup boost everyone else’s performance?

Joey Lucchesi will make his 2024 debut this evening. Last season he made nine starts for the Mets totaling 46 2/3 innings with a 2.89 ERA, 4.22 FIP, 1.307 WHIP and a 144 ERA+. He has had a pretty good stint in Syracuse so far this season, pitching 38 1/3 innings over seven starts with a 3.29 ERA and 1.304 WHIP. The Phillies have the following career numbers against Joey:

  • Alec Bohm 0-1, K
  • Bryce Harper 1-1, BB
  • Jeff Hoffman 0-3, K
  • J.T. Realmuto 0-3, K
  • Kyle Schwarber 0-5, BB, 4 K

The Mets offense will have to figure things out against one of the best pitchers in baseball right now, Ranger Suárez. Over eight starts (54 innings), Suárez has a 1.50 ERA, 2.61 FIP, 0.772 WHIP (league leading) and a 268 ERA+. He also leads the league in BB/9 at 1.3 and wins at 7. Suárez started the month looking a bit more human allowing three runs over six innings to the Giants but then rebounded in his last start holding the Marlins to no runs and three hits over seven innings. The Mets were able to get to Suárez in his two starts against them last year, scoring six runs from 10 hits over 12 2/3 innings. The Mets have the following career numbers against him:

  • Mark Vientos 2-6, HR, 2 K
  • Pete Alonso 0-12, 4 BB, 2 K
  • Brett Baty 1-3
  • Francisco Lindor 3-12, HR, K
  • Starling Marte 4-12, BB, K
  • J.D. Martinez 1-4, 2B, BB, 2 K
  • Jeff McNeil 2-8, 2B, 3B, K
  • Tomás Nido 0-2, 2 K
  • Brandon Nimmo 3-16, 3 BB, 2 K
  • Tyrone Taylor 1-5, K

Three Things To Watch For:

  1. The new timeshare at third. Mark Vientos had a short stint in the majors earlier this season when Starling Marte went on the bereavement list. Vientos seized the opportunity and went 3-for-7 at the plate with a critical homer. In Syracuse this year he is hitting .285/.376/.500. Brett Baty has five extra-base hits this season and is hitting .230/.292/.317. There was a 15 game stretch early on where Baty hit .333/.390/.407. In his 23 games since he is hitting .159/.227/.261. We’ll be checking in a week from now to see how playing time develops for both players.
  2. Free passes are crushing the Mets. It’s not rocket science, walking opposing hitters increases the chances of something bad happening. The Mets allowed the Phillies to take the lead in the third on Tuesday thanks to a combination of walks and a hit by pitch. It was walks that allowed the Phillies to win on Monday. Overall they have walked 12 batters in their last two games and currently lead the majors with 187 walks (Miami is #2 with 177).
  3. Straight up, not having a good time in Philly. In 2023 the Mets went 1-7 in Philadelphia including losing their last five straight. This was a massive departure from 2022 when the Mets went 7-3 in the city of brotherly love. Obviously there are some differences between the two seasons that we are glossing over.

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Phillies vs Mets

On May 1st the Mets lost to the Cubs 1-0. It was a game the Mets had a lot of chances but ultimately was decided by an controversial call at home plate, calling Alonso out, preventing the Mets from tying the game. The Mets responded to that game with a resounding win against the Cubs on May 2nd.

The Mets are going to need to channel that same energy today. Monday night the Mets blew a two-run lead in the ninth inning. Edwin Díaz, who has struggled pitching on back-to-back days this season, had control issues. There was also an egregious missed called by an umpire, that ended up being an inflection point in the inning. Just like how the Mets moved beyond the controversy on May 1st, they are going to need to do the same thing this afternoon at Citi.

José Buttó looks to get the Mets back on the winning track this afternoon as he makes his seventh start of the season. Over his first 33 innings in 2024 he has a 3.00 ERA, 4.08 FIP, 1.152 WHIP and a 129 ERA+. The Cardinals got Buttó for three runs in his first inning of work last week but then he settled down and allowed nothing else over the next four innings. Buttó ended his 2023 campaign facing the Phillies in back-to-back starts. The Phillies got him in the first start, tagging him for four runs from four hits over four innings. In the next start Buttó held the Phillies to two runs over six. The Phillies have the following career numbers against Buttó:

  • Alec Bohm 5-8, 3 HR, K
  • Nick Castellanos 2-8, HR, 2 K
  • Bryce Harper 0-1, BB, K
  • Brandon Marsh 0-5, K
  • Cristian Pache 0-0, BB
  • J.T. Realmuto 3-5, 2B, K
  • Johan Rojas 0-2
  • Kyle Schwarber 1-5, 2 BB
  • Edmundo Sosa 0-3, 2 K
  • Bryson Stott 4-7, 2 K
  • Garrett Stubbs 1-1, BB

The Mets bats will get their first 2024 look at an old foe, Aaron Nola. Over eight starts, 49 innings, Nola has a 3.67 ERA, 4.00 FIP, 1.204 WHIP and a 110 ERA+. He’s coming off of a rough start against the Blue Jays where he allowed four runs from nine hits over 5 2/3 innings. In 2023 he only faced the Mets once, allowing four runs over six innings from four hits and three walks. The Mets have the following numbers against him:

  • Pete Alonso 16-46, 3 2B, 5 HR, 3 BB, 12 K
  • Harrison Bader 0-2, 2 K
  • Brett Baty 0-4, BB, 2 K
  • Francisco Lindor 6-26, 2 2B, BB, 6 K
  • Starling Marte 9-27, 2 2B, HR, 8 K
  • J.D. Martinez 3-16, 2 BB, 8 K
  • Jeff McNeil 13-42, 2B, HR, 5 BB, 9 K
  • Omar Narváez 0-4, 3 K
  • Tomás Nido 1-11, 6 K
  • Brandon Nimmo 12-46, 3B, HR, 11 BB, 18 K
  • Tyrone Taylor 2-5, 2 2B, BB
  • Joey Wendle 3-12, 2B, 5 K

Three Things To Watch For:

  1. J.D. Martinez is making his presence known. Over his last five games J.D. has gone 7-for-20 at the plate with two doubles, a homer a walk hitting .350/.381/.600. Three of those hits, including both of the doubles came on Monday night. Overall this season Martinez has hit .302/.351/.434 and has reached base safely in 13 of 16 games played.
  2. The hits are coming in bunches for Alonso. Pete Alonso went 2-for-4 at the plate Monday with a double and two runs scored. It was his fourth time in five games that he recorded at least two hits and it was his fourth double in his last five games. With Alonso and Martinez heating up at the same time, it feels like the offense should have a breakout game soon.
  3. Getting hits when it counts. The Mets as a team went 3-for-16 last night with runners in scoring position. The breakout we talked about earlier can only happen if the bottom of the lineup gets hits at the same time as the top of the lineup. The six batters in the last four spots of the lineup in Monday’s game combined for a 2-for-17 night with six strikeouts.

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Phillies vs Mets

Do you feel that vibe in the air? That feeling of swagger after a big win. The longing for another baseball game after the Mets play a fun one.

Sunday night the Mets beat the Braves thanks to a walk-off homerun from Brandon Nimmo. The Mets were down one, with one on and Nimmo came to the plate. He didn’t start in the game due to concerns about tweaking his intercostal the game before. Nimmo made solid content, prevented the Braves from sweeping the Mets and sent the Mets home with high hopes.

Now the Mets welcome one of the hottest teams in baseball to Citi Field. The Phillies have been on a roll recently, winning eight of their last 10 games with the best record in baseball. Their run differential of +62 only trails the Dodgers. It’s going to be a tough, but important series for a New York Mets team that has struggled for the better part of the last few weeks.

Sean Manaea makes his 8th start of the season tonight. Over 35 1/3 innings he has a 3.31 ERA, 3.53 FIP, 1.387 WHIP and a 116 ERA+. Manaea is coming of off an average start where he allowed three runs over six innings from six hits and a walk. Since his only terrible start of the season against the Royals, he has allowed only six runs from 17 hits over 20 2/3 innings (2.61 ERA, 3.62 FIP). In his only outing against the Phillies last season he allowed three runs from three hits and two walks over 2 2/3 innings. The Phillies have the following numbers against him:

  • Alec Bohm 1-2, HR, K
  • Nick Castellanos 5-8, 2B, 2 HR, K
  • Kody Clemens 0-1
  • Bryce Harper 1-3, 2B
  • Brandon Marsh 0-2, 2 K
  • Whit Merrifield 4-8, 2 2B, BB, 2 K
  • J.T. Realmuto 0-2, BB, K
  • Johan Rojas 0-1
  • Kyle Schwarber 0-0, 2 BB
  • Edmundo Sosa 2-2, 3B, HR
  • Bryson Stott 2-3, HR, BB

Cristopher Sánchez is also making his 8th start of the season tonight. Over 36 1/3 innings he has a 3.22 ERA, 2.86 FIP, 1.459 WHIP and a 126 ERA+. Sánchez is coming off of a strong start against the Blue Jays where he allowed only one run from six hits while striking out five. Before that he had a rough start against the Angels where he allowed four earned runs and a start against the Reds were he allowed five runs, but only one was earned. Sánchez pitched against the Mets three times last year (two starts) totaling 13 innings with a 3.46 ERA. The Mets whiffed a whopping 15 times against him. The Mets have the following career numbers against Sánchez:

  • Pete Alonso 1-9, HR, 4 K
  • Brett Baty 0-2, K
  • Francisco Lindor 2-6, BB
  • Starling Marte 2-6, HR
  • J.D. Martinez 0-1, K
  • Jeff McNeil 1-5, 2B, K
  • Omar Narváez 0-1
  • Tomás Nido 0-2, 2 K
  • Brandon Nimmo 3-5, BB, K
  • DJ Stewart 1-3, K
  • Tyrone Taylor 0-2
  • Joey Wendle 1-1

Three Things To Watch For:

  1. Brandon Nimmo: Nimmo was healthy enough to come off the bench in a huge way on Sunday night. Over his last five games he has gone 5-for-15 at the plate with three homeruns, which is half his total for the entire season. The Mets need him to keep swinging a hot bat against one of the best teams in baseball this week.
  2. Mets Bullpen comes into a busy week in a good spot. No one in the Mets bullpen has pitched in back-to-back games over the last two days, meaning everyone should be available to go today if needed. The only exception might be Garrett who did toss two crisp innings Sunday night. The Mets did use most of their higher leverage guys in their last game (Garrett, Ottavino, Diekman, and Díaz), so using any of them tonight probably makes them unavailable on Tuesday.
  3. The Mets got hits on Sunday. Overall the Mets collected 10 hits on Sunday and while that only translated into four runs, after Saturday’s affair it was nice to see them just get on base. Stewart, Lindor and Alonso each collected two hits. Lindor now has 10 hits in his last nine games and overall is hitting .278/.290/.556 in that stretch. Alonso has six hits in his last four games, including four extra-base hits.

Let’s Go Mets!

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