Game Preview: Nationals vs Mets

The Mets look to close out the first half the season this afternoon with something that has become a rarity: a three game winning streak. A win today will give them that plus a series win against the Nationals, which would be a nice cherry on top of a garbage two months or so. Yesterday Wheeler went deep into the game and the offense rewarded him thanks to a 3 run bomb from Conforto and two hit performances from Flores, Plawecki and even Reyes (which unfortunately probably guarantees him more playing time).

Corey Oswalt will take the mound for the Mets. He is 0-2 over 4 games and 3 starts with 17.1 innings of work leading to a 6.75 ERA, 5.73 FIP, 1.154 WHIP and 58 ERA+. In his last outing he allowed 3 runs off 1 hit in 6.0 innings. What that line buries is he was perfect through 5.0 innings, walked a couple of batters, including an intentional walk to get to the pitcher and that pitcher just got a good swing of the bat hitting a double that cleared all three base runners. He really did much better than the line suggests he did his last time out. This afternoon will be his first game against the Nationals.

Jeremy Hellickson starts for the Nationals. He is 3-1 over 12 games and 57.0 innings with a 3.47 ERA, 3.91 FIP, 1.088 WHIP and 121 ERA+. His worst start by far this season happened at the beginning of July where he allowed 9 runs, 8 earned to the Marlins over 4.0 innings bumping his ERA from 2.62 to 3.81. In his last start he allowed no runs over 5.0 innings. His 2018 season debut was against the Mets where he allowed 2 runs off 7 hits in 4.2 innings in Queens. The Mets have the following numbers against him:

  • Bautista 12-35, 2B, 3B, 3 HR, 6 BB (1.125 OPS)
  • Reyes 12-33, 3 2B, HR , BB (.928 OPS)
  • Cabrera 11-26, 2 2B, HR, 2 BB (1.080 OPS)
  • Conforto 2-7, 2 2B, 3 BB
  • Nimmo 2-7, 2 B
  • Flores 1-3, 2B

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Nationals vs Mets

Last night was how 2018 was supposed to go for the Mets. Syndergaard allowed only 1 run in his return the mound, Lugo and Gsellman closed the door behind him allowing on a a solo homer. Nimmo had 3 hits at the plate, Cabrera reached based three times. Rosario got back in the line up and went 2-4 with a double and triple. Somehow Jose Reyes lowered his batting average.

It was a good night for the Mets, let’s see if they can do it again this afternoon.

Zack Wheeler is 2-6 over 17 starts and 99.2 innings with a 4.42 ERA, 3.71 FIP, 1.344 WHIP and 87 ERA+. In his last two starts he has allowed 5 runs off 10 hits and 6 walks in 11.0 innings. In his only start against the Nationals this season, he allowed 3 runs from 7 hits and 3 walks in 6.0 innings. The Nationals have the following numbers against Wheeler:

  • Rendon 7-20, 3 BB
  • Harper 4-20, HR, 2 BB, 9 K
  • Turner 3-8, 2B
  • Eaton 0-4
  • Taylor 3-5, 2B
  • Murphy 1-4, HR
  • Difo 1-3

The Mets will get to see Austin Voth make his major league debut for the Nationals. The 26 year old right now has a 3.55 ERA and 4.03 RAvg in 15 games, 76.0 innings in Syracuse. Last year over three levels and 24 starts he had a 5.94 ERA and 6.38 ERA. Overall in the minors he has a 3.48 ERA with a 3.92 ERA in 686.0 innings. Depending on how you count, this is the 3rd or 4th time Voth has been ready to go to make his major league debut. He was called up on the 29th to helped a taxed bullpen but wasn’t used. He was then the 26th man on the roster three weeks later but the games got rained out.

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Nationals vs Mets

The Mets and Nationals continue their series tonight as the Mets kept it close last night but couldn’t beat back the Nationals. Matz had a good night allowing only 3 runs but the bullpen behind him couldn’t keep a clean sheet and despite homers from Bautista, Plawecki and Cabrera (the former and latter trying to raise trade stock), it wasn’t enough.

But tonight is a different night for the Mets! Tonight is the night that the God of Thunder, Thor, Syndergaard finally returns from the DL from his strained finger from forever ago. Or at least what feels like forever ago. On the season he is 4-1 over 11 games and 64.2 innings with a 3.06 ERA, 2.57 FIP, 1.175 WHIP and 125 ERA+. His last start was at the end of May where he allowed 3 runs against the Brewers. The last time he faced the Nationals was last year. One was his game in April which essentially ended his season where he allowed 5 runs over 1.1 innings, the other was a 1.0 inning rehab start where he allowed 1 hit. The Nationals have the following numbers against Noah:

  • Harper 5-18, 2B, 4 BB
  • Rendon 7-20, 2B, HR, BB
  • Murphy 3-14, 2 2B
  • Turner 1-9
  • Taylor 2-7
  • Reynolds 1-6

Tanner Roark for the Nationals is 3-11 this season over 19 games and 18 starts pitching 109.2 innings leading to a 4/76 ERA, 4.58 FIP, 1.368 WHIP and 88 ERA+. In his last two starts he has allowed 13 runs over 11.0 innings so he’s looking to get back on the right track (he is also leading the league in losses). In his first start against the Mets this season he allowed 5 runs over 5.0 innings and in his second start he allowed 2 runs over 7.0 innings. The Mets have the following numbers against him:

  • Conforto 4-15, 2 2B, HR
  • Cabrera 4-13, 2 2B, HR
  • Reyes 3-12, 2 BB
  • Flroes 2-13, 2B
  • Mesoraco 0-5
  • Rosario 0-5
  • den Dekker 1-4, 2B
  • Nimmo 2-3, HR

Lets Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Nationals vs Mets

The Mets will look to build off last night’s walk-off as they welcome the Nationals to town to finish off the first half of the season. Jacob deGrom was amazing last night, as per usual, and the Mets didn’t score for him at all, as per usual. In the 10th inning, with two men on and two outs Brandon Nimmo smacked a homer to send everyone into the night happy (just like him normally). Jacob deGrom built on what should be a case to start the All-Star game, if the Mets couldn’t help him with runs last night, they could be scoring off his main competition Max Scherzer tonight.

For the Mets, it falls to Steven Matz. Matz is 4-6 over 17 games and 89.2 innings with a 3.31 ERA, 4.65 FIP, 1.227 WHIP and 116 ERA+. In July he has allowed 2 runs, 1 earned over 11.1 innings from 8 hits and 5 walks while striking out 11, which equates to an ERA of 0.77. In his first start against the Nationals this year, he held them to 1 unearned run over 5.0 innings. In his second start, he allowed 3 runs off 3 hits in 4.0 innings. The Nationals have the following numbers against Matz:

  • Taylor 3-14, HR, 2 BB, 6 K
  • Harper 2-12, 2 BB
  • Rendon 3-14, HR
  • Turner 2-12, 2B
  • Murphy 3-9, 2B, HR
  • Mark Reynolds 4-8, 3 2B
  • Wieters 1-6, HR
  • Difo 1-3
  • Matt Reynolds 0-1, K

Max Scherzer is having an excellent year and is rivaling deGrom in being the best pitcher this season. He is 11-5 with 127.2 innings of work (league leading), 2.33 ERA, 2.60 FIP, 0.893 WHIP (league leading) and 180 ERA+. He also leads the league in strikeouts with 177, if that holds, he will lead the league in strikeouts for 3 years in a row. He has been more human in July allowing 7 runs over 13.0 innings from 11 hits, 5 walks and 12 K’s including 3 homers leading to an ERA of 4.85 (this is also why deGrom is leading in ERA and FIP right now). Amazingly, Max has put up these numbers without facing the pitiful Mets offense yet. Last year in 4 games against the Mets he was 3-1 over 28.0 innings allowe 10 runs (3.21 ERA) from 21 hits and 5 walks. The Mets have the following numbers against him:

  • Cabrera 14-61, 4 2B, HR, 3 BB, 18 K
  • Reyes 10-29, 2B, HR, BB
  • Bautista 9-20, 4 2B, HR, 3 BB
  • Conforto 6-18, 3 HR, 2 BB, 7 K
  • Flores 0-14, BB, 8 K
  • Plawecki 2-12
  • Nimmo 2-8, HR

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Phillies vs Mets

The Mets try to get the series split tonight against the Phillies. Both starting pitchers made their major league debuts last night and it did not go well from Gagnon who allowed 6 runs off 7 hits in 4.2 innings. But Bashlor finally saw some action in the game and allowed only 1 run in 2.1 innings off 3 hits and a walk and Conlon had 2.0 innings of 3 hit ball where he allowed no runs and struck out 3. Taking positives wherever we can find them.

Jacob deGrom will get his last tune-up before the All-Star Game. He is 5-4 over 18 games and 115.1 innings with a 1.79 ERA (league leading), 2.33 FIP (league leading), 0.988 WHIP and 214 ERA+ (league leading). After two average starts, deGrom bounced back in his last start allowing 1 run off 4 hits and a walk in 8.0 innings while striking out 8 although he didn’t get a win because the Mets offense either hates him, is scared of him or something. The Mets eventually won that game thanks to a walk-off grand slam by Jose Bautista. His only start agianst the Phillies this year lasted an inning as he was rehabbing back from a hyper-extended elbow. It was the game where he walked the bases loaded and still got out of it anyway. The Phillies have the following numbers against deGrom:

  • Herrera 6-27, BB, 8 K
  • Hernandez 3-16, 4 BB, 4 K
  • Franco 3-16, 2B
  • Williams 2-8
  • Hoskins 1-4, 2 BB
  • Altherr 0-2, BB, 2 K
  • Crawford 0-2

The Mets bats will see Vince Velaquez coming off the DL. He is 5-8 over 17 games and 88.1 innings with a 4.69 ERA, 3.84 FIP, 1.291 WHIP and 87 ERA+. With the exception of a start where he allowed 10 runs in 3.2 innings against the Brewers in June, he has been doing ok with starts ranging from good to average. The Mets have the following numbers against him:

  • Cabrera 5-11, 2B, BB
  • Confortion 4-7, 2 HR
  • Reyes 1-8, 2B
  • Flores 1-5, HR

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Phillies vs Mets

Yesterday was another bizarre day in Mets land. Before the games started, the Mets put Todd Frazier on the DL and explained that they weren’t going to call up McNeil, because they didn’t want him to play out of position. The first game was back and forth until Wilmer Flores finished the game on a walk-off homer in the 10th inning, becoming the all time leader in Mets walk-off RBI’s. Then the Mets managed to lose the second game despite only allowing 2 hits. Tonight, both the pitchers for the Phillies and the Mets will be making their major league debuts.

The Mets are will be running Drew Gagnon out tonight who the Mets signed as a minor league free agent out of the Angels farm system last year. Drew started off as a Brewer and played through all of their farm levels from 2011-2016. Last year he spent the entire season at Salt Lake, the Angels AAA affiliate and for the Mets this year he has split time between Vegas and Binghamton. At age 28 in the minors he has posted a career 4.78 ERA and 5.11 RAvg over 198 games and 138 starts. This year he is 2-4 over both levels with a 4.40 ERA, 4.57 RAvg in 18 games, posting a 4.67 ERA at Vegas (which leads starters).

Enyel De Los Santos will make his debut for the Phillies.  De Los Santos has also been in multiple organizations. He signed with the Mariners in 2015 and was traded soon after to the Padres for Joaquin Benoit. After the 2017 season he was part of the trade that sent Freddy Galvis to San Diego. The 22 year old is 9-3 in Lehigh Valley this year with a 1.89 ERA, 1.98 RAvg over 95.1 innings. Overall in the minors he is 33-14 over 428.2 innings with a 3.30 ERA. De Lose Santos is having statistically his best year by far right now at the highest level in the Phillies organization.

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Phillies vs Mets

(My apologies if this appears during Game 1 today, I’m trying to predict the start time before Game 1 even starts!)

The Mets and Phillies finish their single admission double header with the Phillies sending another strong starter against the Mets to face off against Corey Oswalt. Oswalt last pitched for the Mets in Toronto. This year he is 0-1 over 3 games and 2 starts in 11.1 innings from 13 hits and 10 runs, a lot of damage coming from 4 homers. His last start wasn’t bad, just short as he allowed 2 runs off 5 hits (and a homer) in 4.0 innings. The start before that he allowed 6 runs over 2.2 innings. This will be the first time Oswalt faces the Phillies in his career.

The Mets draw Aaron Nola who is 11-2 over 18 games and 116.0 innings with a 2.41 ERA, 2.73 FIP, 1.026 WHIP and 168 ERA+. In his last two starts he has allowed 2 runs over 14.2 innings from 12 hits and 17 K’s. His second start of the season was against the Mets where he allowed 2 runs over 5.0 innings and then six weeks later he allowed 1 run off 9 hits in 6.0 innings against the Mets. The Mets have the following numbers against Nola:

  • Cabrera 4-11, K
  • Conforto 3-10, HR, BB, 2 K
  • Mesoraco 0-8, BB
  • Nimmo 1-5, 4 BB
  • Bautista 1-6, 3 K
  • Rosario 3-6, 2B
  • Flores 1-3
  • Frazier 0-2
  • Smith 0-3

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Phillies vs Mets

After winning Friday night on a walk-off grand slam the rest of the weekend was pretty awful for the Mets. The Mets ruined a great outing by Matz by almost getting no hit and yesterday the team just struggled on just about every level. The reward for that? The Mets play a single admission double header today against two of the best pitchers for the Phillies. In the first game of the doubleheader is Zack vs Zach.

Zack Wheeler is 2-6 over 16 games and 95.0 innings with a 4.36 ERA, 3.67 ERA, 1.305 WHIP and 88 ERA+. In his last two starts he has allowed 2 runs over 13.1 innings from 8 hits and 4 walks while striking out 12. He hasn’t faced the Phillies this year yet and last year he went 1-0 over 3 games and 14.1 innings with 6 runs, 4 earned from 10 hits, 5 walks and 15 K’s. The Phillies have the following numbers against Wheeler:

  • Hernandez 5-8
  • Herrera 1-6, HR
  • Franco 0-5
  • Santana 1-1
  • Altherr 0-2
  • Eflin 0-2

The Mets bats will try to find themselves against Zach Eflin who is 7-2 over 11 games and 63.2 innings with a 2.97 ERA, 2.92 FIP, 1.084 WHIP, 137 ERA+. Since June 6th he has made 6 starts where he has gone 6-0 over 37.2 innings with a 1.91 ERA. Last year he faced the Mets twice allowing 2 runs, 1 earned over 5.0 innings and then allowing 4 runs over 5.1 innings. The Mets have the following numbers against Eflin:

  • Cabrera 0-9
  • Reyes 3-7, 3 2B
  • Cespedes 1-4, 2 BB
  • Conforto 1-5, HR
  • Bautista 0-2, BB
  • Flores 1-3
  • Smith 1-3

Let’s Go Mets! Check out our review of the NL Last All-Star Spot Ballot.

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MLB Uses the Worst Stats for the Final All-Star Vote: Let’s Fix That

The MLB just released the final fan vote for the last spot in the All-Star game by sending out this tweet:

Even though baseball as a whole has gotten better about recognizing OBP, it’s not mentioned at all. RBI’s are hampered by both the success of the players around the player recording the RBI and sometimes is an arbitrary call by the score keeper.

So Let’s Make This Better:

Max Muncy: .270/.410/1.027, 2.8 WAR
Jesús Aguilar: .303/.364/.610, 2.4 WAR
Matt Carpenter: .256/.363/.502, 2.9 WAR
Brandon Belt: .296/.387/.504, 2.9 WAR
Trea Turner: .282/.359/.425, 3.5 WAR

And Just For Fun:

Brandon Nimmo: .261/.384/.517, 2.4 WAR
(So I guess I can’t be sour Nimmo is not on the list)

(It’s possible to read this as Nimmo must be as good as Aguilar based on WAR, but Aguilar, Nimmo have less playing time than Turner. Ultimately it will probably be and should be Aguilar voted in as he leads the National league in Slugging)

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Can Jacob deGrom play in the All-Star Game if he’s traded to the American League?

Short Answer: No

Additional Context:

Jacob deGrom has been the best pitcher in the National League this year and finds his name swirling with rumors. He’s also not the only player where this is a possibility as Manny Machado is also in trade talks. While It remains incredibly unlikely that deGrom will be traded, it is very likely that Machado will be traded, possibly before the All-Star Game.

This happened to Jeff Samardzija in 2014 when he was traded from the Cubs to the Athletics. At the game they put him in a National League jersey, gave him a generic hat and named him ineligible to play.

For Major League Baseball, this situation can leave two markets with no representatives in the game. In the rare circumstance where the Mets trade deGrom, a major market team will have no one in the game. In the likely circumstance that Machado is traded, the closest market to the All-Star game, Baltimore, will be without a player.

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