Game Preview: Marlins vs Mets

Second straight win in a row! The Mets beat the Marlins again last night, this time thanks to great pitching from Jacob deGrom and timely hitting from Alonso and Conforto. Jacob put together his third straight performance of going 7.0 innings allowing two runs or less and now it’s Noah Syndergaard’s turn to get back into form.

Noah Syndergaard is 2-3 over 8 games and 49.0 innings with a 5.14 ERA, 3.55 FIP, 1.327 WHIP and 75 ERA+. He started May off with an immaculate game, pitching a complete game shutout and hitting a solo homer for the game’s only run and he followed it up with a bad performance in San Diego allowing 5 runs, 4 earned over 6.0 innings from 9 hits and a walk. Last year he was 3-0 over as many games against the Marlins including a complete game shutout allowing a total of 5 runs, 4 earned in 22.0 innings (1.64 ERA). The Marlins have the following numbers against him:

  • Starlin Castro 3-12, 2B, BB, 3 K
  • Miguel Rojas 4-11, 2 K
  • Martin Prado 2-8, BB, 3 K
  • Brian Anderson 2-7, 2B
  • Magneuris Sierra 1-6, 2B
  • JT Riddle 1-5, K
  • Neil Walker 0-5, 2 K

The Mets bats have to deal with by far the best pitcher in the Marlins rotation right now, Caleb Smith. Smith is 3-0 over 7 games and 42.2 innings with a 2.11 ERA, 2.84 FIP, 0.891 WHIP and 183 ERA+. His numbers are even better if you chop off his first two starts, posting a 1.42 ERA in his last 5 games and 31.2 innings. He’s only recorded outs in the 7th inning twice this year those have both been his last two starts. His first start of the year was against the Mets who scored two runs over 5.0 innings and then beat up the bullpen later to win that game. The Mets have the following numbers on Smith:

  • Michael Conforto 3-8, 4 K
  • Amed Rosario 1-7, 2B, 3 K
  • Robinscon Cano 1-4, K
  • Juan Lagares 0-4, 2 K
  • Pete Alonso 0-3, 2 K
  • Brandon Nimmo 0-3, 2 K
  • JD Davis 1-2, 2B
  • Jeff McNeil 1-1, 2B, BB

Lets Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Marlins vs Mets

Oh boy did the Mets need that win last night! The bats of the New York Mets have been in a slumber for about two weeks now, and those two weeks have felt like two centuries. After a horrid road trip for hitting, the Mets scored 8 runs in the bottom of the first including a grand slam from Amed Rosario.

Now the Mets look to keep the good times going with Jacob deGrom on the mound. He is 2-4 over 7 starts and 40.0 innings with a 3.60 ERA, 3.47 FIP, 1.150 WHIP and 110 ERA+. In the month of May he has tossed 14.0 innings, allowing only 2 runs off 7 hits and 3 walks while striking out 13. His second start of the season was against the Marlins where he allowed 3 hits and a walk, but no runs, over 7.0 innings while striking out an astonishing 14 batters. The Marlins have the following numbers against him:

The Mets bats will get their first 2019 look at Sandy Alcantara who is 1-3 over 7 games and 38.1 innings this year with a 4.93 ERA, 4.71 FIP, 1.617 WHIP and 79 ERA+. In his last two starts he has allowed 9 runs, 7 earned over 10.1 innings from 11 hits and 9 walks. In three games against the Mets last year though he held the Mets to only 4 runs over 19.0 innings despite allowing 9 hits and 10 walks. The Mets have the following numbers on Sandy:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Marlins vs Mets

The Mets return to Queens tonight after a rough road trip that didn’t see a lot of winning baseball, saw a lot of errors and only a few moments of relief that the team is going to put it all together. The road trip has left the Mets 3 games under .500 but they get just what they need tonight, a three game set with the Marlins!

Zack Wheeler is 2-2 over 7 games and 42.2 innings with a 4.64 ERA, 3.11 FIP, 1.336 WHIP and 84 ERA+. His FIP is now lower than any other season. He is coming off a strong start allowing only 2 runs over 7.0 innings to the Brewers, which was his 2nd strong start in his last 3, or his 3rd in his last 5. Since starting the season with back to back starts that left him with a 10.24 ERA, he has a 3.00 over his 5 games and 33.0 innings. He was very good against the Marlins last year going 3-1 in as many starts posting a 1.29 ERA over 28.0 innings striking out 31. The Marlins have the following numbers against him:

The Mets draw the young starter Pablo Lopez tonight who is 2-4 over 7 starts and 38.0 innings with a 4.03 ERA, 2.79 FIP, 1.079 WHIP and 97 ERA+. Similar to Wheeler, he is also coming off a strong start, holding the Braves scoreless over 6.0 innings, which was his 2nd strong start in his last three. Pablo started against the Mets last year holding the Amazin’s to 2 runs over 6.0 innings from 6 hits and a walk. The Mets have the following numbers against him:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Padres

The Mets evened the series at 1 game a piece thanks to Pete Alonso late last night. Thor wasn’t as dominant as he was last week, and a throwing error from Rosario didn’t help but finally the Mets bats woke up to keep the team in the game. In the top of the 9th, Alonso hit a 449-ft homer to push the go-ahead run across the plate.

The Mets are going to need a lot more of that this afternoon as they try their first bullpen game of the season. Steven Matz is out and the hope is that he only misses one turn in the rotation. Rather than dipping into Syracuse for Hector Santiago, the Mets acquired Wilmer Font from the Rays who should be able to toss 70 pitches today. After that, bullpen! Wilmer Font is 1-0 over 10 games and 14.0 innings this year with a 5.79 ERA, 3.50 FIP, 1.429 WHIP and 76 ERA+. In his career (37 games and 65.0 innings between 2012 and now, with a gap between 2014-2016 where he didn’t play at all in the bigs) he has a 6.51 ERA, 6.04 FIP, 1.538 WHIP and 66 ERA+.

The Mets draw Matt Stahm today, who is 1-2 over 6 starts and 32.2 innings with a 3.03 ERA, 3.33 FIP, 1.102 WHIP and 137 ERA+ in his first year as a starter. His first start against the Braves was his worst, allowing 5 runs in 2.2 innings. Since then he has allowed 7 run, 6 earned over 30.0 innings,a 1.80 ERA. He tossed one inning in relief against the Mets last year walking 1 and striking out 1. The Mets have the following numbers against him:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Padres

The Mets fell to 4 games below .500 last night as the offense continued their slumber. At least for deGrom yesterday the bats sleeping through his good work was nothing new as it was the defining characteristic of the Mets hitting ability during his starts last year. Jacob tossed his second strong start in a row, holding the Padres to 2 runs over 7.0 innings, but the Mets bats could only get 4 hits, and one of them was from Jacob himself.

When the Mets needed to win a game when the offense was missing, they turned to the God of Thunder, who threw a complete game and hit a solo homer, the only run of the game game. Noah Syndergaard was a one man baseball team last week and the Mets may need him to do that again tonight. He is 2-3 over 7 games and 43.0 innings this year with a 5.02 ERA (fell from 6.35 in one start), 3.22 FIP, 1.279 WHIP and a 78 ERA+. The last time he has faced the Padres was back in 2016 where he allowed 2 runs over 6.0 innings from 6 hits and 2 walks. The Padres have the following numbers against him:

For a second straight game the Mets will face a pitcher who made his pitching debut in 2019. Today the Mets get Cal Quantrill, making his second big league start. In his first game he allowed 2 runs over 5.2 innings from 6 hits and a walk. Before getting called up this year, he pitched 5 games in the minors going 25.0 innings with a 4.68 ERA, 1.360 WHIP.

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Padres

The Mets got swept yesterday and look to find their footing tonight against the Padres. Now two games under .500 and facing injury woes for two starting pitchers (Matz and Vargas), the Mets need some good news.

And hopefully, Jacob deGrom can provide it! Jacob is 2-3 over 6 games and 33.0 innings with a 3.82 ERA, 3.50 FIP, 1.242 WHIP and 102 ERA+. After allowing 14 runs over 13.0 innings in three starts, last time out he returned to his dominant self holding the Reds scoreless over 7.0 innings. He was great against the Padres last year, holding them to 3 runs, 2 earned over 15.1 innings (1.17 ERA) while striking out 18. The Padres have the following numbers against deGrom:

The Mets bats draw the rookie pitcher tonight who is off to an amazing start to his major league career. This is bad news for a team whose bats have hit quite the slumber over the last week and seem unable to wake up. Chris Paddack is 2-1 over 6 starts and 33.0 innings with a 1.91 ERA, 2.71 FIP, 0.697 WHIP (league leading) and 216 ERA+. His 3.8 H/9 is the best in the league as well. He’s been a tick more human in his last three starts, allowing 5 runs over 19.0 innings leading to a 2.37 ERA but opponents are still batting only .123 against him.

Let’s Go Mets!

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Is It Hector Santiago Time?

The Mets didn’t need to go to Syracuse for pitching depth. They had the option of signing Gio Gonzalez, they could have (and still could) sign Dallas Keuchel. But they didn’t do either of these things and now two starters are potentially injured.

Although they traded away a prospect who could start this off-season, Justin Dunn, the Mets did sign a bunch of guys on NRI’s to compete for roster spots and if the injuries are minor in healing time, they could be a stop gap.

Enter Hector Santiago.

I lived in Newark for 7 years and I’ve been teaching in Newark for 8, so I have a massive soft spot for Hector Santiago who played little league in the Brick City, probably in the park across the street from where I used to live. I wrote a profile about him a few months ago, which you can read here.

Back in February I imagined Santiago as lefty reliever to compete with Daniel Zamora. As the Mets signed more lefties to NRIs it became clearer that Santiago was going to be rotation depth.

2018 MLB: 49 G, 7 GS, 102.0 IP, 4.41 ERA, 5.12 FIP, 6.37 DRA, 1.52 WHIP
Career: 238 G, 137 GS, 887.0 IP, 4.05 ERA, 4.86 FIP, 5.74 DRA, 1.37 WHIP
2019 MiLB: 6 G, 5 GS, 30.0 IP, 4.20 ERA, 1.400 WHIP

He’s not going through a renaissance at Syracuse but he’s also not deteriorating. If he gets called up, I would assume he pitches around, probably slightly worse than his stats in 2018 which isn’t the worst thing in the world if he’s making starts for two weeks or for a #5 starter. As soon as he becomes a regular, #4 starter that’s when the Mets need to panic and decide what are the goals this season.

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Game Preview: Mets @ Brewers

The Mets try to avoid losing three games in a row to the Brewers this afternoon behind Jason Vargas in a game where they desperately need him to pitch deep. Last night the Mets lost in 18 innings and there was plenty of blame to go around. The Mets pitching kept them in the game, all 18 innings of it, but the offense was just flat until Alonso hit a homer to push the game into extra innings. The Mets bats would continue to be flat for another entire game of baseball until the 18th, burning lots of pitchers doing a phenomenal job along the way. Making things more difficult for the Mets, Amed Rosario‘s defensive woes continued and the umpiring of the strike zone fell apart in the 18th and the Mets ended up losing.

But it’s just one game. A game that took the Mets below .500 but still just a game. Now they have to regroup and just do better (hitters), and find that extra wind after too many innings last night (pitchers).

Jason Vargas is 1-1 over 6 games and 5 starts totaling 20.1 innings this year with a 5.75 ERA, 6.13 FIP, 1.721 WHIP and 68 ERA+. In his last three starts he has pitched 14.0 innings with a 1.93 ERA and a .180 opponents batting average dropping his ERA from a 14.21 to a 5.75. He had one start against the Brewers last year and it wasn’t good, allowing 5 runs off 6 hits in 3.0 innings. The Brewers have the following numbers against him:

Zach Davies is going to try to save the bullpen of the Brewers today. Over his 6 starts this season he has pitched 32.2 innings with a 1.38 ERA, 3.93 FIP, 1.316 WHIP and 317 ERA+. If those numbers look like they don’t tell the same story, it’s because he has pitched 7 innings once this year, and into the 6th twice, he’s been great but pulled early. For the Mets, they need to be patient and let him walk them. In two starts against the Mets last year, the Mets cored 9 runs off 13 hits and 4 walks in 8.1 innings. The Mets have the following numbers against him:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Brewers

The Mets dropped the first game of the series last night thanks again to a lackluster offense that is in a week long sleep. Matz was average, but kept the Mets in the game holding the Brewers to three runs, and that was all the Brewers could muster. The Mets just couldn’t get the hits to fall in a row and only pushed one run across the plate.

Because the Baseball Gods have a wonderful sense of humor, the Mets will face Gio Gonzalez for his second start of the season. His first start was also against the Mets. He did well against the Mets, as that was around the time the Mets bats’ slumber started, holding the Mets to only 2 runs off 6 hits and a walk. The Mets would go on to win the game and hopefully something similar happens today. The Mets have the following numbers against Gio:

Jacob deGrom, Noah Syndergaard were both struggling going into this week and put together incredible starts. Jason Vargas and Steven Matz have been steady their last several starts. Zack Wheeler is next on the list to find himself. He’s had some bright games punctuate through the darkness, but not enough leading to a 5.05 ERA, 3.57 FIP, 1.402 WHIP and 76 ERA+ through 6 starts and 35.2 innings this year. In one start against the Brewers last year he allowed 4 runs over 6.0 innings. The Brewers have the following numbers against Wheeler:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Brewers

Yesterday was the Noah Syndergaard show and the Mets sure needed it. Going into the game yesterday both Diaz and Lugo were unavailable in the pen. Combined with Familia on the IL the top 3 late inning relievers were out on the Mets roster. In general the bullpen was overtaxed and Syndergaard desperately needed a positive start after his last three.

Noah Syndergaard ended up tossing a complete game shutout, holding the Reds to 4 hits and hit a solo homer which ended up being the only run the Mets scored all game. He was the entire game.

Now the Mets head to Milwaukee to avenge their lost series last weekend. Steven Matz opens tonight. He is 3-1 over 6 starts and 29.1 innings with a 3.68 ERA, 4.72 FIP, 1.091 WHIP and a 105 ERA+. In his last two starts he’s allowed 3 runs over 13.0 innings and if you take his terrible start this year, he’s actually allowed only 8 total runs, 6 earned over 29.1 innings. His last start, 2 runs over 7.0 innings, was against the Brewers who have the following numbers against him:

The Mets will get another look at Brandon Woodruff, who lasted started against the Mets. Brandon is 3-1 over 6 starts and 31.1 innings this year with a 5.17 ERA, 3.59 FIP, 1.468 WHIP, and 84 ERA+. His last start against the Mets was his best of the season, allowing 1 run over 5.0 innings off 6 hits and a walk. The Mets have the following numbers against him:

Let’s Go Mets!

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