Game Preview: Yankees vs Mets

The Mets won two games in a row! The Mets yesterday had a come from behind victory against the Yankees, and several cosmic events aligned to make it happen. Outside of one inning where Wheeler allowed 2 runs, he was quite good in a long outing (probably to showcase his stuff). After blowing through a lot of pitches early he settled down and had a nice rhythm. Michael Conforto came through a critical time, knocking in the go-ahead runs to put the Mets in the lead. Edwin Diaz was able to overcome an infield hit that should have been an error (my opinion) and an interesting safe call on a stolen base to lock down the end of the game. And the Mets snapped the Yankee’s homer streak!

Jason Vargas will look to keep the good times rolling today (as long as he doesn’t see the press? Is it too soon to joke about how the Mets completely ignored this / downplayed this yet?). He is 3-3 over 14 games and 13 starts with 66.1 innings posting a 3.66 ERA, 4.37 FIP, 1.281 WHIP and 111 ERA+. He’s been steady in his last three starts allowing 2 earned runs in each (but 9 runs total) leading to a 3.60 ERA over 15.0 innings. Opponents are hitting only .148 against him and getting on at a .246 clip. He did start against the Yankees earlier this year allowing 3 runs over 6.0 innings from 7 hits and 2 walks (also setting up an uncommon situation where he and Wheeler started both games of both two game series vs the Yankees in 2019). The Yankees have the following numbers against him:

The Mets bats draw Domingo German who is returning from the Injured lIst today. On the season he has pitched in 13 games and made 12 starts totaling 70.0 innings with a 3.86 ERA, 4.10 FIP, 1.114 WHIP and 117 ERA+. Before landing on the injured list after his start on the 7th, he had a bad stretch of three starts allowing 14 runs over 14.2 innings from 21 hits and 3 walks. During that time he allowed 7 homers. He started against the Mets twice last year allowing 7 runs over 9.2 innings from 10 hits and 2 walks. Three of those 10 hits were homers. The Mets have the following numbers against him:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Yankees vs Mets

It’s the subway series and a week to go to the All-Star game and it seems like there are a ton of different things to follow. The Mets finally snapped their 7 game losing streak on Sunday thanks to some late inning hitting. Is it a start of things to come? Who knows! At least it wasn’t another game where the Mets lost after having the lead at some point.

Meanwhile the Yankees, injury burdened, come to town as the dominate team in the AL East. They are also coming off an off-day but unlike the Mets, the Yankees had to travel from London. Will that impact them? Who knows! Will playing back to back four hour plus games in a sandbox stadium where the ball was flying out impact them? Who knows! (Actually – that sounds a lot like Yankee Stadium).

Zack Wheeler gets the start tonight. He is 6-5 over 17 games and 107.2 innings with a 4.51 ERA, 3.77 FIP, 1.263 WHIP and 90 ERA+. Barring a month long winning streak – the Mets are probably going to tear down in July and Wheeler could be on the move. His starts now are essentially try-outs. He’s been great in his last two starts! After allowing 14 runs over 10.2 innings, he has allowed 2 runs over 13.0 innings, lowering his ERA from 4.94 to 4.51. One of those bad starts was against the Yankees, allowing 9 runs, 5 earned in 4.2 innings. The Yankees have the following numbers against him:

The Mets bats draw the Yankee trade acquisition from the off-season: James Paxton. Paxton is 5-3 over 13 games and 64.1 innings with a 4.34 ERA, 3.86 FIP, 1.430 WHIP, and 103 ERA+. He’s coming off a rough start where he allowed 6 runs over 4.1 innings against Toronto. In the month of June he was either great (11.0 innings, 3 runs) or terrible (11.2 innings, 16 runs), as such his ERA has ballooned. One of those poor starts was against the Mets where he allowed 6 runs over 2.2 innings form 7 hits. The Mets have the following numbers against him:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Braves vs Mets

Well yesterday went pretty much like every day in the last week. Matz struggled at the start of the game, then there was a rain delay, then the bullpen took over and did great for a while, the Mets even got the lead! Then the Mets blew it late, and then they lost and it capped a horrible week. So now the Mets will start a new week tonight with Noah Syndergaard back on the mound and maybe the next 7 days will be different.

Noah Syndergaard is 5-4 over 15 starts and 95.0 innings with a 4.55 ERA, 3.61 FIP, 1.211 WHIP and a 89 ERA+. He is coming off a hamstring injury where the Mets did the un-Mets thing and put him on the IL pretty much right away. Shockingly, he has not faced the Braves at all this season. Last year he faced them 3 times and totaled 18.0 innings allowing 6 runs from 20 hits and 3 walks while striking out 14. The Braves have the following numbers against him:

Max Fried gets the start for the Braves tonight. He is 9-3 over 18 games and 16 starts with 88.2 innings posting a 3.96 ERA, 3.92 FIP, 1.331 WHIP and a 116 ERA+. In his last two starts he has allowed 4 runs over 12.0 innings from 10 hits, 6 walks and 14 K’s. One of those starts was against the Mets where he allowed 2 runs over 6.0 innings from 8 hits. The Mets have the following numbers against Max:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Braves vs Mets

The Mets and the month of June just don’t get along. Last night the Mets lost for a sixth consecutive time. It was a little different last night as they never held the lead in the game, but a three run inning by Gsellman in the 8th inning put the game way out of reach for a line up struggling to find much of anything. Pete Alonso hit his 28th homer last night, continuing a historic season while the Mets themselves just flutter into obscurity.

Steven Matz looks to play stopper today. He is 5-6 over 15 starts and 78.0 innings with a 4.85 ERA, 5.49 FIP, 1.462 WHIP and 84 ERA+. One thing we have learned this year is Matz does not like to pitch in Philly. His last time out he allowed 7 runs over 4.1 innings, including his 9th and 10th homer in the first inning. Overall he has allowed 15 runs, 13 earned in Philly this year over two starts (and 4.1 innings since in the first one he didn’t retire a batter). His start before Philly was Atlanta, and that also didn’t go so well. He allowed 5 runs over 5.0 innings. The Braves have the following numbers against Matz:

The Mets have to deal with Julio Teheran tonight who is 5-6 over 17 games and 91.1 innings with a 3.94 ERA, 4.54 FIP, 1.336 WHIP and 116 ERA+. Things haven’t been great for Julio in his last two starts either as he has allowed 13 runs over 8.0 innings from 17 hits and 6 walks. One of those starts was against the Mets where he allowed 6 runs over 4.0 innings, a game where the Mets won 10-2 and possibly their last solid showing in the month of June. The Mets have the following numbers against him:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Braves vs Mets

Was yesterday the worst Mets loss of the season? While that title is debatable, the loss guaranteed that the four game set was the worst for the Mets this season and the last 5 games have been the worst the Mets have performed in quite some time. Since last Sunday and throughout the series with the Phillies, the Mets have the lead in the game, only to have to have the bullpen squander it. Yesterday was the most extreme example with Edwin Diaz, the star trade acquisition and the reason the Mets parted with Kelenic, give up two homers in the bottom of the 9th, taking the score from 3-1 Mets to 6-3 Phillies. A disaster of a series.

But the Mets look to turn things around with the Braves at home tonight. Jacob deGrom gets the start. He is 4-6 over 16 games and 97.0 innings this year with a 3.25 ERA, 3.04 FIP, 1.093 WHIP and 125 ERA+. In his last 7 games he has allowed 12 runs over 45.0 innings, a 2.40 ERA with an opponents batting average of .232. Against Atlanta this year he has made two different starts. Back in April he allowed 3 runs over 5.0 innings. Ten days ago he made one of his best starts this season allowing 2 runs over 8.1 innings while striking out 10. The Braves have the following numbers against deGrom:

The Mets will most likely see Mike Soroka tonight. He left his last start with a right forearm contusion but should be able to pitch tonight. On the season he is 8-1 over 13 games and 78.1 innings with a 2.07 ERA, 3.07 FIP, 0.970 WHIP and a 222 ERA+. His last full start was against the Mets where he allowed 3 runs over 6.0 innings. It was during a four game stretch that despite allowing 1 run over 8.0 innings in one game, he had a 4.21 ERA. His ERA right now at 2.07 is impressive but he went into the month of June with a 1.07 ERA, so it feels like his season is at a key inflection point. The Mets have the following numbers against him:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Phillies

This has been a rough week so far for the Mets in Philly. Each day the bullpen has been handed the lead and each day the bullpen has fallen apart, giving the game to the Phillies. Yesterday the Mets were walked off in Philly during the 10th inning after the bullpen couldn’t hold on to a 4-0 lead earlier in the game. The Mets will try to salvage the last game this afternoon with Wheeler taking on Nola.

Zack Wheeler stepped up in his last start. On the season he has 16 starts and 101.2 innings with a 4.69 ERA, 3.73 FIP, 1.298 WHIP and 86 ERA+. In his last outing he held the Cubs to 1 run over 7.0 innings, dropping his ERA from 4.94 to 4.69 in the game and ending a torrid run for himself. He faced the Phillies in back to back starts in April holding them to 3 runs in 14.0 innings of work while striking out 16. Those numbers are skewed by a gem he tossed against the Phils in Citi Field where he held them scoreless over 7.0 innings, striking out 11. The Phillies have the following numbers against Wheeler:

The Mets bats draw Aaron Nola for the finale who is 6-2 over 16 games and 89.0 innings this year posting a 4.55 ERA, 4.40 FIP, 1.449 WHIP and 100 ERA+. Similar to Wheeler, his last start was also his first strong start in a few starts. Last time out he held the Marlins to 2 runs, 1 earned over 8.0 innings while striking out 10. Before that, over three starts he allowed 14 runs in 16.1 innings. His last start against the Mets back in April was good for the Mets – they scored 5 runs off 7 hits and 3 walks in 4.0 innings. The Mets have the following numbers against him

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Phillies

For the second day in a row the Mets had the lead going into the bottom of the 6th and watched everything fall apart. Between Walker Lockett and Wilmer Font, the Mets allowed 5 runs in the frame swinging the score from 5-2 Mets to 7-5 Phillies. For Lockett it brings his ERA over two starts to 11.74. Now the Mets will try to salvage a game behind Jason Vargas.

The last time you heard about Jason Vargas wasn’t from his last start, but rather his defense of Mickey Callaway in the locker room over the weekend where Vargas verbally and nearly physically assaulted Tim Healey. The Mets fined Vargas $10,000 and Vargas is allowed to start the game tonight. He is 3-3 over 13 games and 12 starts with a 3.75 ERA, 4.49 FIP, 1.333 WHIP and 108 ERA+. He allowed 4 runs in his last start but only two were earned. Back in April he faced the Phillies allowing 1 run over 4.2 innings. The Phillies have the following numbers against him:

The Mets look to score enough runs off Nick Pivetta early so the bullpen can’t lose the game behind them today. Pivetta is 4-2 over 9 starts and 50.1 innings with a 5.54 ERA, 5.51 FIP, 1.450 WHIP and 82 ERA+. In his last two starts he has allowed 10 runs off 15 hits in 12.0 innings which raised his season ERA from 4.93 to 5.54. In his one start against the Mets this season, he allowed 3 runs off 7 hits and 3 walks over 5.0 innings. The Mets have the following numbers against Nick:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Phillies

Yesterday was a disaster for the Mets anyway you cut it. Before the game Callaway held his normal press conference before a series and walked around giving a direct public apology. About an hour or so later, he called back the press to give a direct apology but in the vein of “I got feedback for not giving a proper apology before so here you go.” The Mets then played the Phillies and both teams were hitting homers like crazy (or normal in a juiced ball era – Citizens Bank Park). While the Mets were imploding during the 6th inning a new story about the Mets hit Twitter. Allegedly BVW has at least once made a managerial decision from his home and relayed it to the dugout. Banner day for the team from Queens.

The Mets will try to make us forget all this tonight with Walker Locket. His last outing ended in disaster and he allowed 6 runs over 2.1 innings of work. The ball popped off opponents bats, he was locked out of the game by a poor bullpen performance behind him and the Mets just dropped the game. He made one start against the Phillies last year and it was pretty bad. He allowed 5 runs off 5 hits and 2 walks in 4.1 innings. The Phillies have the following numbers against him:

The Mets bats draw Jake Arrieta today who is 6-6 over 15 games and 91.2 innings with a 4.12 ERA, 5.03 FIP, 1.385 WHIP and 109 ERA+. He’s coming off a good start where he allowed 1 run over 6.0 innings against the Nationals which followed a stretch of three starts where he allowed 13 runs over 15.2 innings. He had two different, back to back starts against the Mets back in April. First he he shut them down to 2 runs over 8.0 innings. The next week he allowed 4 runs, 3 earned over 6.0 innings. The Mets have the following numbers against him:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Phillies

The Phillies are in free-fall going into tonight’s series opener with the Mets. Zach Eflin, starting for the Phils tonight, is their only reliable starter in the rotation right now while basically their entire bullpen is injured. The Mets however are in full, “hold my beer” form when it comes to a falling apart competition. Mickey Callaway put out a “B” team type lineup yesterday for a deGrom start and the team managed to hold onto the lead until the end of the game. It was clear that Seth Lugo didn’t have his best stuff but Callaway kept him in there and ultimately Lugo allowed a 3-run homer that gave the Cubs the win.

Then all hell broke lose in the clubhouse after the game. I won’t go into too much detail here (partially due to how much it’s being reported on and partially due to the bulk of this preview being reviewed in the morning and if any consequences are handed out between now and game time this paragraph will become out of date) but essentially the reporters were pressing Callaway on his bullpen management, things got tense, Tim Healey (Newsday) said “See You Tomorrow” which Callaway took as snide remark. Callaway and Vargas both started cursing, Vargas had to be held back and the rest of us questioned why the Mets continue to do things only the Mets could do.

But there’s a game tonight! Steven Matz is 5-5 over 14 starts and 73.2 innings with a 4.28 ERA, 5.00 FIP, 1.371 WHIP and a 95 ERA+. June has been rough for Matz allowing 17 runs, 15 earned over 4 games and 23.0 innings, a 5.87 ERA. He faced the Phils in back to back starts earlier this season with very different results. The first one was his worst start ever, allowing 8 runs, 6 earned, without recording an out. The next week he held the Phillies to 1 run over 6.0 innings. The Phillies have the following numbers against Matz:

Zach Eflin has been holding the Phillies pitching staff together. He is 6-7 over 14 games and 86.0 innings including 2 complete games posting a 2.83 ERA, 4.02 FIP, 1.163 WHIP and a 159 ERA+. In the month of June he has pitched 20.1 innings allowing 7 runs, 5 earned posting a 2.21 ERA. One of his worst starts this season was against the Mets when he allowed 4 runs from 4 hits and and a walk in 4.0 innings. The Mets have the following numbers against Eflin:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Cubs

After dropping the first game of the series on Thursday, which followed a fairly dreadful series in St. Louis – the pessimist in me did not think I would be writing this next sentence today: the Mets look to take the four game set in Chicago this afternoon behind Jacob deGrom on the mound. Yesterday the Mets fired on all cylinders as Alonso tied Strawberry’s mark for homers in a rookie season and became the fastest NL Rookie to 26 homers before the All-Star break. On top of Alonso’s hitting, Wheeler had a strong day on the mound!

Jacob deGrom is 4-6 over 15 starts and 91.0 innings with a 3.26 ERA, 3.21 FIP, 1.077 WHIP and a 124 ERA+. In his last start deGrom pitched into the 9th inning, going 8.1 allowing 2 runs off 5 hits and no walks while striking out 10. It was the second time in three starts that he struck out 10 batters. Since May 22nd, over 6 games deGrom has tossed 39.0 innings with a 2.31 ERA with opponents hitting .215 against him. He faced the Cubs twice last year allowing 2 runs over 15.0 innings from 15 hits and 3 walks while striking out 23 batters. The Cubbies have the following stats against deGrom:

The Mets bats draw Cole Hamels in the midst of a resurgent season for the ace pitcher. He is 6-2 over 15 games and 91.2 innings with a 2.85 ERA, 3.32 FIP, 1.178 WHIP and 157 ERA+. Most of this has to with June. In four starts this month, Hamels has allowed 2 runs, 1 earned over 29.0 innings, a 0.31 ERA, which lowered his season ERA of 4.02 at the end of May down to 2.85. Cole shut out the Mets in the one game he played against them last year, holding them scoreless over 5.0 innings. The Mets have the following numbers against Cole:

Let’s Go Mets!

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