Game Preview: Phillies vs Mets

Despite one heartbreaking, crazy loss on the road trip, the Mets road trip on paper was mostly a success – going 4-2 against two very good teams. Because of the previous week though, they really needed to do better than that in order to have clear path to the playoff’s and now they start an incredibly important home stand first with the Phillies and then with the Diamondbacks. The Mets are 5.0 games out of the second wild card and 7.0 out of the first one. The Phillies are 4.0 and 6.0 games out respectively and the Diamondbacks are 3.5 and 5.5 games out. The Mets can leap frog themselves above the mess of teams on the bubble this week. The Mets can be pushed way behind the pack this week.

Steven Matz will do his best to make sure the Mets are in the win column tonight. He is 9-8 over 27 games and 25 starts totaling 133.2 innings with a 4.04 ERA, 4.50 FIP, 1.309 WHIP and 102 ERA+. His last start was against the Phillies where he allowed 3 runs, 2 earned over 5.0 innings off 7 hits and a walk. In his last five starts he has allowed 7 runs over 30.0 innings – a 2.10 ERA with opponents slashing .205/.252/.366 against him. The Phillies have the following batting lines against Matz:

The Mets bats look to welcome Zach Eflin to Queens. He is 8-11 over 23 games and 135.0 innings this year with a 4.33 ERA, 4.72 FIP, 1.341 WHIP and 105 ERA+. His last start was against the Mets and it was quite good, allowing 1 run over 7.0 innings in a game the Phillies won 5-2. He’s now allowed 3 runs over his last 13.0 innings of work. On the season against the Mets he has allowed 11 runs, 10 earned, over 16.0 innings from 18 hits and 3 walks. The Mets have the following numbers against him:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Nationals

Last night was bad for the Mets. They need to get as far away from it as they possibly can.

If you’re like me, and went to sleep when the Mets had a comfortable lead, then you missed the Mets bullpen having an epic meltdown, allowing 7 runs in the ninth inning for the Nationals to win. It’s as if the karma the Mets had built all season long from jumping all over the Nationals bullpen came back in one night. Now the Mets must win this afternoon to win the series to try to keep up in the Wild Card race.

Zack Wheeler will try to get things on the right track for the Mets. He is 9-7 over 26 games and 161.1 innings with a 4.41 ERA, 3.70 FIP, 1.295 WHIP and 93 ERA+. After three bad starts in a row where he allowed 14 runs in 16.0 innings, he took a step in the positive direction last time out holding the Phillies to 1 run over 6.0 innings. The Nationals have been a source of pain for Wheeler this year – tagging him for 20 runs off 25 hits and 12 walks in 22.2 innings (4 games). The Nationals have the following numbers against him:

The Mets bats will try to make an even larger lead today against Anibal Sanchez who is 8-6 over 25 games and 135.0 innings with a 3.80 ERA, 4.26 FIP, 1.319 WHIP and 122 ERA+. In his last two starts he has allowed 4 runs, 3 earned over 13.1 innings. Against the Met this year he has allowed 3 runs over 6.1 innings from 8 hits and 2 walks (two starts). The Mets have the following numbers against him:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Nationals

The Mets have a difficult road to the playoffs but took the right step yesterday with a win in the series opener. Yesterday the Mets offense clicked and the Mets relatively quickly built up a 7-0 lead before some 9th inning shenanigans brought the score down to 7-3. Every game matters for the Mets and as long as they keep winning, eventually things will break their way.

For the third time this season Jacob deGrom will take the mound against Max Scherzer. Jacob is 8-8 over 27 starts and 169.0 innings with a 2.66 ERA, 2.78 FIP, 1.024 WHIP and 154 ERA+. His last outing was a bit rough, allowing 4 runs over 7.0 innings, which was an identical amount of earned runs as his last four starts combined. This will be his 4th start against the Nationals this season totaling 17.0 innings allowing 4 runs, 1 earned from 11 hits and 5 walks while striking out 25. That’s a 0.53 ERA. The Nationals have the following numbers against deGrom:

The Mets bats will try to carry their energy over from yesterday into today against Scherzer. Max is 9-5 over 22 starts and 142.2 innings with a 2.46 ERA, 2.22 FIP (league leading), 1.061 WHIP and 188 ERA+. He has made two starts since coming back off the IL totaling a combined 8.1 innings allowing 3 runs off 10 hits and 2 walks while striking out 11. This will be his 4ths tart against the Mets this year and so far he has allowed 6 runs off 14 hits and 5 walks in 20.0 innings of work (2.70 ERA). The Mets have the following numbers against Max:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Nationals

The Mets tried to come back against the Phillies last night but after a bases clearing hit in the 8th, the Phillies pushed the game beyond the Mets reach. For the Mets – they at least won the series as they head into another tough series with the Nationals starting today. While the Mets won’t be able to move into play-off contention with a sweep this series, they can move make the entire Wild Card race tighter. Currently the Mets are 4 games behind the Cubs for the second spot and 8.5 games behind the Nationals. The Nationals have won 9-1 of their last 10, but if they were to collapse a bit this next week, both Wild Card spots would be open.

The first step to getting back in the race is winning today, which is what Noah Syndergaard will try to do for a Mets team who had an awfully tight turn around with a day game after a night game in a different city. Noah is 9-7 over 26 games and 163.0 innings with a 4.14 ERA, 3.58 FIP, 1.215 WHIP and 99 ERA+. His last start was awful, raising his ERA from 3.71 to 4.14. He allowed 10 runs, 9 earned over 3.0 innings against the Cubs. He allowed 10 runs, 9 earned between July 24th and August 22nd as a comparison. In four starts against the Nationals this year he allowed 10 runs off 19 hits in 27.0 innings, 3.33 ERA. The Nationals have the following batting lines against him:

The Mets bats will try to give their pitching staff some breathing room as they take on Joe Ross. Ross is 3-3 over 24 games and 6 starts totaling 50.1 innings with a 5.36 ERA, 4.67 FIP, 1.649 WHIP and 87 ERA+. In August he was consistently a starter and allowed only 3 runs over 25.2 innings, a 1.05 ERA with opponents slashing .200/.301/.267 against him. He has seen 3.1 innings against the Mets this year over 4 games allowing 5 runs, 4 earned. The Mets have the following batting lines against him:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Phillies

The Mets go for the sweep of the Phillies tonight as they continue to try to bounce back from their no-good, very bad week last week. Last night was a rare night in 2019 – the year of the juiced ball. The Mets won without hitting any homers (even more impressive because it was CBP where pretty much everything is a homer). Instead they relied on timely hitting from players like Wilson Ramos who collected 4 hits on the night, raising his batting average to .299. While Matz didn’t last deep into the game, the bullpen held the game together, supported by two innings of relief by Lugo.

Now it’s Stroman’s turn to lock down the Phillies. Over 5 starts as a Met he has pitched 25.2 innings with a 4.91 ERA, 5.21 FIP, 1.675 WHIP and 85 ERA+. The Cubs pushed him around a bit in his last start, getting 6 hits and 2 walks including two homers which led to 4 runs scored in 6.0 innings. It was the second time this year though he pitched 6.0 innings for the Mets. The Phillies have the following batting lines against him:

The Mets bats will look to continue their resurgence against Zach Eflin who is 8-11 over 26 games and 22 starts totaling 128.0 innings. He’s posted a 4.50 ERA, 4.73 FIP, 1.383 WHIP and 101 ERA+ (career best) this season. At the end of July he got moved to the bullpen and pitched 4 games (5.2 innings) of 1.59 ERA ball. His first start back in the rotation on August 17th was a bit rough, allowing 3 runs over 3.2 innings but things returned to normal his last time out allowing 2 runs over 6.0 innings. In two starts against the Mets this season he has allowed 10 runs, 9 earned off 15 hits and 2 walks in 9.0 innings. The Mets have the following numbers against him:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Phillies

It finally happened! The Mets won a ball game! Last night the Mets and Phillies were locked in a pitching duel with the each team allowing 1 run through the first 7 innings. Then the floodgates opened. The Mets scored 10 runs across the 8th and 9th inning and the Phillies staged a mini comeback in the 9th scoring 4 runs, but ultimately fell 11-5. Both Alonso and Conforto hand 3 hit nights while Panik and Frazier had a two hits each. Frazier, who has been slumping for the better portion of the summer, had two homers and knocked in 6 runs. Ramos also extended his hitting streak! Even Edwin Diaz had a clean inning of work!

So the Mets look to get back at this afternoon behind Steven Matz who is fighting a blister on his finger. He is 8-8 over 26 games and 24 starts totaling 128.1 innings with a 4.06 ERA, 4.52 FIP, 1.298 WHIP and 101 ERA+. Over his last four starts he has pitched 25.0 innings allowing 6 runs, 5 earned, which is a 1.80 ERA. This will be his 5th game against the Phillies and so far this year he has allowed 16 runs, 14 earned in 11.0 innings against them, so he’ll be looking to regress his stats closer to mean today. The Phillies have the following batting lines against Matz:

The Mets get to make their first start against Jason Vargas tonight. As a Met he posted a 4.01 ERA over 94.1 innings with a 4.70 FIP, 1.272 WHIP and 103 ERA+. In 5 starts as a Phillie he has allowed 14 runs over 29.0 innings, which is a 4.34 ERA, 4.76 FIP, 1.276 WHIP and 106 ERA+. So averaging all his starts for both teams together, essentially the same pitcher (which ignores his strong stretch of starts as Met for a period of time this year). He is coming off a rough start against the Pirates who tagged him for 4 runs over 6.0 innings. As a member of the Phillies he has allowed either 4 runs per start or 2 runs per start. The Mets have the following batting lines against him:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Phillies

The Mets season is in crisis mode now. The Braves swept the Mets last weekend and the Cubs finished off a sweep of the Mets last night. Luckily for the Mets, they still play a few of the teams they are directly competing against like the Nationals and the Phillies, before the season is over. But the Mets are getting to the point that taking 2 of 3 this weekend may not be enough. Baseball is still played one game at a time and right now the Mets just need to win tonight to get back on track.

Zack Wheeler looks to do that for the Mets. He is 9-7 over 25 games and 155.1 innings with a 4.46 ERA, 3.71 FIP, 1.275 WHIP and 93 ERA+. In his last three games he has allowed 14 runs, 12 earned over 16.0 innings which is a 6.75 ERA, so he also needs tonight to get himself back on track. Zack is 1-2 over 4 starts and 25.0 innings against the Phillies this year, allowed 10 runs off 20 hits and 7 walks while striking out 30 (a 3.60 ERA). The Phillies have the following numbers against him:

The Mets will get a look at Aaron Nola who has somehow already started 28 games this year. He is 12-4 over 168.1 innings with a 3.53 ERA, 3.95 FIP, 1.218 WHIP and 129 ERA+. He has allowed 6 runs in his last three starts of 21.0 innings but you gotta look at the patterns in his last three starts, its cosmically entertaining:

  • 7.0 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 7 K
  • 7.0 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 7 K
  • 7.0 IP, 5 H, 3 R, 7 K

So if the pattern continues he throws 7.0 innings against the Mets tonight allowing 6 hits and 4 runs while striking out 7. He has made three starts against the Mets this year totaling 17.2 innings allowing 7 runs, 6 earned, from 11 hits and 7 walks. The Mets have the following battling lines against Nola:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Cubs vs Mets

Last night was rough. Syndergaard had a terrible start to the game and the Mets were down 10-1 by the end of the third inning. But then the magic bubbled up again and the Mets were able to make it close, but still fell 10-7. Tonight becomes a crucial salvage game, there’s a huge difference falling 1 additional game behind the team you’re trailing and falling 3 additional games back. Let’s make it happen Mets!

Jacob deGrom takes the mound for the Mets tonight. He is 8-7 over 26 games and 162.0 innings with a 2.56 ERA, 2.67 FIP, 1.037 WHIP and 160 ERA+. He’s also currently leading the league in strikeouts at 207. Jacob is coming off of a strong start where he held the Braves to 1 run over 7.0 innings and hit a homer while striking out 13 batters. Since May 22nd he has pitched 17 games and 110 innings with a 1.88 ERA and opponents are hitting a .555 OPSagainst him. Since July 19th he has pitched 7 games and 47.0 innings with a 0.96 ERA while opponents are posting a .443 OPS against him. Earlier this year against the Cubs he allowed 2 runs off 8 hits in 6.0 innings while striking out 9. The Cubs have the following numbers against him:

The Mets bats will get a look at Jon Lester who is 10-9 over 25 starts and 138.1 innings this year with a 4.49 ERA, 4.25 FIP, 1.446 WHIP and 101 ERA+. He’s coming off a rough start against the Nationals where hea llowed 6 runs off 9 hits in 4.1 innings. Since July 13th he has pitched 44.0 innings across 8 starts with a 6.14 ERA, and those stats include two starts where he combined for 13 shutout innings. The Mets have the following numbers against him:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Cubs vs Mets

The good news for the Mets last night: Pete Alonso became the all-time leader in homers hit in a single season. The bad news for the Mets last night: the team couldn’t get to the Cubs starter early or late and ultimately fell. Now the Mets need to win the next two games to prevent themselves from falling out of the Wild Card race. It’s not do or die yet, but its do or every game after becomes that much direr.

Noah Syndergaard looks to get the Mets on track. He is 9-6 over 25 starts and 160.0 innings with a 3.71 ERA, 3.36 FIP, 1.175 WHIP and 110 ERA+. Since May 2nd he has pitched 126.0 innings with a 3.00 ERA, since July 13th he has pitched 54.1 innings with a 1.82 ERA and since July 30th, Noah has pitched 33.1 innings with a 1.35 ERA. The Cubs have the following numbers against him:

The only runs the Mets could push over last night were two solo shots, one from Alonso and one from J.D. Davis. The Mets offense will look to do more tonight against Kyle Hendricks who is 9-9 over 24 starts and 143.1 innings with a 3.20 ERA, 3.76 FIP, 1.095 WHIP and 142 ERA+. Hendricks has been tremendous of late though with the exception of one start. In his last 6 games he has tossed 35.0 innings with 10 ER and 28 hits – a 2.57 ERA. But 7 of those runs and 12 of those hits came from one 2.2 inning game against the Reds. If that’s pulled, in 5 games and 32.1 innings he has allowed 3 runs off 16 hits. The Mets have the following numbers against him:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Cubs vs Mets

The Mets open up an incredibly important series with the Cubs tonight as the Mets try to tighten up the Wild Card race. After a successful sweep of the Indians, the Mets fell flat and couldn’t beat the Braves at all, going .500 in their last six games (the nicest way possible I could write – they got swept). Now it’s up to Marcus Stroman to put the Mets back on track.

Stroman left early in his last start due to a hamstring issue so that’s something we’ll be watching for tonight – how is he? He is 1-0 over 4 starts and 19.2 innings as a Met posting a 4.58 ERA, 4.89 FIP, 1.780 WHIP and 91 ERA+. Overall this year he is 7-11 over 21 starts and 144.1 innings with a 3.18 ERA, 3.70 FIP, 1.303 WHIP and 141 ERA+. The Cubs have the following numbers against Stroman:

Yu Darvish starts the series off for the Cubs. On the year he is 4-6 over 26 games and 144.1 innings with a 4.43 ERA, 4.76 FIP, 1.164 WHIP and 103 ERA+. If you think that stat line looks a bit off – a nice WHIP but average/below-average ERA, Yu has given up a league high 30 homers this year. To put that in perspective, he’s only given up 129 in his career (and that includes the 30 this season). He’s also hit a league high 11 batters this season (33 before this year). So far in August he has alternated good start/bad start including 7.0 innings of scoreless ball on August 15th and then 5.1 innings of 7 run ball on the 21st (from 4 homers). Against the Mets earlier this year he allowed 4 runs on 4 hits including 2 homers in 6.0 innings of work. The Mets have the following numbers against him:

Let’s Go Mets!

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