2018 Non-Roster Invite: Jose Lobaton

After Rene Rivera signed with the Angels this off-season, the Mets needed to find a veteran catcher to back up both Plaweck and d’Arnaud who are about as reliable health wise as the G train. This is the first season in the while the Mets do not have Xorge Carrillo as a far down the depth chart option and don’t want to call up Nido again unless they can provide an extended amount / consistent of playing time, so here comes Jose Lobaton.

The long time National, Jose Lobaton slashed .170/.248/.277 over 158 PAs last year and is a .218/.295/.324 career hitter over 8 years spanning from 2009 on. He has bounced around the last couple of seasons in terms of being a boost defensively. In 2011 he posted a 3 DRS, then the next two years he was negative and 2014 he posted a 6, by far his best season. Last year he was a -5. For the Mets, he’s a good veteran to bring in for a just in case situation that reliably seems to occur for the Mets throughout the season.

Jose Lobaton was a smart signing for the Mets. He’s not going to have a knock out season, if he stays with the Mets after Spring Training, he will probably find his way to Queens before the end of the season. The Mets don’t need him to be a surprise, they just need Lobaton to be himself.

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Things I Ate at the Ballpark – A Cricket

I love baseball. I love food.

When I went to Seattle, I knew I would have to eat some crickets before leaving. I didn’t want to get a whole portion of them. Not because I think crickets are gross but if beer costs about 10 dollars and fries are at least 5 dollars, I didn’t want to know how much a portion of crickets were. (I found out the day after having them it’s only $4 for a portion, a bargain!)

I was with The 7 Line Army and the event I was banking on occurred. Someone got crickets and started asking if anyone wanted one. I bolted up, saying “Yes!” I’ve had 4 beers at that point. Normally I’m too shy to ask / accept offers of food. The beer was part of this cricket plan. I drink for crickets? Sure. Are you laughing? No. That’s why I hear crickets. Delicious. Part of the plan.

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2018 Non Roster Invite: Adonis Uceta

We round out our preview of pitchers in camp with non-roster invites with Adonis Uceta who is near the top in terms of velocity out of a group that includes Corey Taylor, PJ Conlon, Matt Purke and Drew Smith (Smith is the only competition with a similar fastball range).

Uceta has been playing for Mets farm teams since he was 19 in the Dominican Summer League (2013). Last year the Mets changed him to be a reliever and stock changed dramatically. The then 23 year old posted a 1.51 ERA, 1.66 RAvg over 59.2 innings between Columbia, St. Lucie and Binghamton. The previous year he pitched exclusively in Kingsport posting a 4.99 ERA, 6.46 RAvg which highlights how much of a gigantic step forward he took last season.

I would expect this season for Uceta to start in Binghamton and we’ll see what the Mets do with him throughout the season. He has fast stuff but so do several players of similar make up in the Mets system. Like Smith, he’ll probably only be added to the 40 man this season if something goes wrong with injuries (but that is also the same thing we said about Sewalk and McGowan last season at this time).

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2018 Non Roster Invite: Corey Taylor

For the second time this week, we look at a non-roster invite who was a non-roster invite last year as well: Corey Taylor. The now 25 year old was drafted by the Mets in the 7th round of the 2015 draft out of Texas Tech.

From last year’s preview of Corey Taylor:

However, and stop me if you heard this before for non-roster invites, his numbers have been impressive in the minors and forced the issue that we need to talk about him. In his first season in Brooklyn he tossed 18.0 innings over 18 games with a 1.50 ERA with 16 K’s and a 1.000 WHIP. Pretty good.

This is still the case for Taylor. His numbers returned to Earth last year but he went from working in St. Lucie to putting a whole season in Binghamton. In 2015, Taylor posted a 1.50 ERA over 18.0 innings in Brooklyn. Then in 2015 he posted 1.87 ERA over 53.0 innings in St. Lucie. At the end of the season he posted an impressive 1.93 ERA in 14.0 innings in the Fall League.

Last year in Binghamton he posted a 3.61 ERA, 1.332 WHIP in 62.1 innings. Similar to Conlon, when your stuff isn’t overpowering, your numbers will jump in Double A. With a full season of pitching to better players who were a tick older than him (when he dominated in Brooklyn, he was almost a year older than the average player), I’m curious to see how he responds this Spring. He and Conlon also have a lot more competition of relievers that throw much higher coming in from all of the trades at the end of the season. You can never have too many arms, but due to Corey being a right handed thrower and the amount of flamethrowers in the system now, I find it unlikely that he makes it to the 40 man before September.

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2018 Non Roster Invite: Drew Smith

Drew Smith is a right handed pitcher with a non-roster invite to Mets camp this year. He was drafted in the 3rd round by the Tigers in the 2015 draft. The Rays acquired Smith from the Tigers in late April last year as the Player To Be Named Later in the Mikie Mahtook trade. Drew Smith made his way to the Mets in the Lucas Duda trade. He was the Rays #30 prospect.

When the Mets traded Duda, the general feeling on #MetsTwitter was that Drew Smith wasn’t enough in a return. Drew Smith was apparently requested by several teams at the trade deadline last year according to Joel Sherman who in the same report noted that Smith had a 98 mph fastball.

So now Drew Smith, with late game potential, is at Mets camp. Over three seasons he has posted a 1.80 ERA with a 0.952 WHIP in 139.2 innings in the Minors. Last season he posted a 1.65 ERA with a 0.900 WHIP over 60.0 innings. This was across AAA Durham, AA Montgomery, A+ Lakeland, A+ Charlotte. By the time he got to the Mets, they put him on the Binghamton roster but he didn’t pitch for them.

I’m excited to see Drew Smith’s stuff develop this season for the Mets. He is part of this glut of “C+” level relievers the Mets have all over their farm system. The goal is to get a few of them to blossom. Maybe it will be Smith?

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2018 Non-Roster Invite: Matt Purke

With the departure of Josh Smoker, Matt Purke’s depth position just shot up. Blevins is the only southpaw int he Mets pen so Purke won’t have to do as much this spring to possibly break into the 40 man roster before the end of camp.

Matt Purke was drafted by the Nationals in 2011 in the 3rd round and released in 2014 and then signed again with the Nationals 4 days later. The following season he signed with the White Sox where he broke into the majors in 2016. In limited innings (18.0 over 12 games) posting a 5.50 ERA with a 3.48 FIP and 1.778 WHIP. Last year he posted a 3.48 ERA over 65.2 innings with the White Sox Triple A team.

Purke really made his name long before any of this. He was originally drafted in 2009 in the first round and went to TCU instead where he posted a 3.02 ERA over 116 innings with a 142/34 K/BB. His stock slipped by the time he was drafted by the Nationals due to injuries. He has already had Tommy John.

According to this scouting report from Minor League Ball: his fastball still sits int he low 90s, has a slider and split finger he uses. The last thing the Mets need is another pitcher with injuries woes, but the Mets are going to need another left handed pitcher. I see Purke right now as a possible lightning in a bottle situation. Maybe this is the year that he finally puts his injuries behind him and the stuff he has always had comes through.

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2018 Non-Roster Invite: P.J. Conlon

The Mets gave a major league invite for a second straight season to P.J. Conlon, the pitcher out Ireland with a sense of humor:

Anyway, PJ turned heads in the 2016 season putting up ridiculous numbers. We previewed him last year where we concluded:

I couldn’t read his profiles and not think of Tim Kurkjian’s new book I’m Fascinated By Sacrifice Flies where he spends time talking about the abundance of power throwing lefties in the league now. You used to have just a handful as recently as Billy Wagner’s time, but now they’re all over the league. This makes Conlon an old school style lefty pitcher. That being said, the local Belfast paper still posted a video of him hitting 90-mph as if it was something amazing. Which it is. As baseball fans in America, we have gotten used to the idea of 90-mph as practically slow in the minors when this is a human feat of strength to get that.

Our feelings about Conlon are the same as they were a year ago, even those his numbers returned to Earth this past season. Last year he posted a 3.38 ERA and a 1.235 WHIP. His career ERA is 2.35 and his career WHIP 1.075. As he goes farther through the farm system, not overpowering stuff catches up but he’s still getting hitters out and the Mets need lefties. He doesn’t project as the now typical Left Handed specialist throwing fire but with the Mets system the way that it is, and barring a minor league signing of another lefty, he will probably be knocking on the door to Queens at some point this season.

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The Mets had a Good Off-season. The Mets had a Bad Off-season.

The Mets simultaneously had a good and bad off-season. The Mets came into the off-season with several needs: 1-2 relievers, starting pitching depth, a center fielder and either a 2nd or 3rd basemen.

The Mets signed:

  • Anthony Swarzak – Right Handed Reliever
  • Jay Bruce – Corner Outfielder
  • Adrián Gonzalez – First Basemen
  • Jose Reyes – Middle Infielder
  • Todd Frazier – Third Basemen
  • Jason Vargas – Starting Pitcher

So the Mets really accomplished everything on their check list. The main gripes that fans, and myself, have had with with the off-season, even with how active the Mets have been, especially compared to other clubs, is:

  • Before the Mets signed Frazier and Vargas, it felt like the Mets were assembling the same roster from the previous seasons.
  • The Mets oft optioned for the “sorta fix” rather than the actual fix. For example – Jay Bruce is a nice signing. Cain would have been the truer fit to the need.
  • The Mets spent a lot of money, but went with the cheap option multiple times, especially highlighted with not going for Cain or Darvish. Will the saving of money be worth not being guaranteed the wins.

In the end, Mets fans can claim both a good and bad off-season, as they have already been doing on twitter, claiming the narrative that matches their opinion about the Mets before the start of the off-season.

The Mets are cheap! They only got players because the market came to them and got the lower tier players at every opportunity (this matches the ideas that owners do not spend money and ignores the amount guaranteed given out).

The Mets only sign their own players! Bruce and Reyes again! (this ignores the signings of multiple non-Mets).

The Mets actually filled their gaps! Why are you complaining? (this ignores that the Mets still have a glaring LHP hole in the bullpen that must be addressed or Blevins will fall apart by July).

They addressed their needs. It’s annoying that they still went with lower tier players in the largest market in the United States. It’s great they signed player to team friendly deals but it’s annoying that they lean heavily on former Mets. The Mets have increased their depth! What is the quality of the depth? The Mets simultaneously had a good and bad off season.

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Things I Ate at the Ballpark – Mama’s of Corona

I love watching baseball. I love food.

I love deli sandwiches.

I don’t know why I didn’t go to Mama’s of Corona’s until 2017. That was a big mistake on my part. Huge mistake. I would say it was the largest mistake I’ve made as a Mets fan but being a Mets fan I know I’ll make another one in at least a month. So goes the nature of being a Mets fan.

Look at all the mozzarella. So much! and the meat! And that perfect bread!

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2017 Projections Review – Noah Syndergaard

Part 30 of 30 – Noah Syndergaard. The final entry in our projections review last year will also be one that doesn’t quite make sense to do since he was lost due to injury in late April.

Noah Syndergaard
IP Record ERA BB K WHIP
2016 183.2 14-9 2.60 43 218 1.15
Projections
MLB.com 195 16-9 2.72 46 221 1.11
Steamer 199 13-10 3.03 51 234 1.07
ZiPS 188.2 2.91 43 224 1.07
ESPN 14-8 2.91 226 1.11
Baseball Prospectus 182.2 12-9 3.04 211 1.15
Sporting News 188 15 2.49 45 223 1.07
NBC Rotoworld 190.1 17-6 2.65 41 223 1.05
Rotowire 198 15-7 2.73 49 229 1.131
Baseball America 174 11 2.59 37 168 0.99
FBG 2017 201 16-7 2.87 43 232 1.1
Average 190.611 14.3-8 2.79 44.375 219.1 1.0851

2017 Review:
1-2, 7 G, 30.1 IP, 2.97 ERA, 3 BB, 34 K, 1.055 WHIP

Basically this is an exercise in does the ERA and WHIP the projections computers thought Syndergaard would have match 7 starts he made, two of which were 1.0 innings at the end of the season. The answer is, yeah? His ERA was a 20 points higher, his WHIP was three points lower. His work was 130 innings down.

The Mets need Syndergaard to have a chance in 2018. I am curious to see how the projection programs handle his 2017 injury for his 2018 numbers.

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