213 Miles From Shea

The Mets look to avoid being swept this afternoon at Citi Field! Friday night the had a solid lead for about half the game until the Rays had a huge sixth inning, scoring six runs to get the lead. The Mets would end the night going 2-for-16 with RISP, leaving 12 runners on base. Saturday the Rays had a huge fourth inning, scoring five runs. The Mets bats had 11 hits, but hit into two double plays and left six runners on base. It’s been a frustrating weekend so far for the Mets, but a win can completely turn everything around.

Griffin Canning has pitched 64 1/3 innings over 13 games with a 3.22 ERA, 4.10 FIP, 1.352 WHIP and a 118 ERA+. He’s coming off of a rough start where he allowed four runs from seven hits over 5 1/3 innings against the Nationals. The start before that though was a great one where he held the Dodgers to no runs and three hits over six innings. The Rays have the following career numbers against Canning:

• Jonathan Aranda 1-3, HR, K
• José Caballero 1-3, K
• Yandy Díaz 3-11, 2 BB, 3 K
• Danny Jansen 0-3, K
• Brandon Lowe 1-3, HR, 2 BB, 2 K
• Josh Lowe 2-4, 2 K
• Curtis Mead 0-2
• Christopher Morel 1-2, K
• Taylor Walls 1-2, 2B

The Mets bats will get a look at Shane Baz today who has pitched 70 2/3 innings over 13 starts with a 4.97 ERA, 4.90 FIP, 1.344 WHIP and a 78 ERA+. Baz has allowed exactly three earned runs in three consecutive starts (5.06 ERA, 4.82 FIP). Baz has struggled this season pitching in the Rays minor league ballpark home field. Over 42 innings at home, he he has a 5.36 ERA, 1.405 WHIP. Over 28 2/3 innings on the road, he has a 4.40 ERA, 1.256 WHIP. The Mets have the following career stats against him:

• Juan Soto 3-4, 2B, HR, BB
• Tyrone Taylor 0-2, K

Three Things To Watch For:

1. Brandon Nimmo. Nimmo went 3-for-4 at the plate Saturday, his third multi-hit game in his last four games played. In his last four games he has gone 7-for-16 with three home runs and five runs scored slashing .438/.471/1.000. Since June 2nd Nimmo has slashed .294/.357/.569 raising his season slash line from .231/.295/.419 to .244/.305/.448.
2. Brett Baty. Baty smashed his 8th home run of the season Saturday. He is now only one home run behind his season best of 9, which he had in 2023. For context, Baty played 108 games with 389 plate appearances in 2023. In 2025 he has played 53 games with 171 plate appearances. This is also the exact amount of plate appearances that he had in 2024. Baty had a 0.3 bWAR in 2024, compared to a 1.3 bWAR this year. One possible area for Baty’s success – his bat speed. In 2024 his bat was 73.5 mph, this season it is 75.8 mph, which is in the 95th percentile. Combined with a 14.2 Barrel% (86th percentile), he’s creating damage at the plate.
3. Huascar Brazobán. Have you’ve been to Huascar’s Baseball Savant page lately? There’s a lot of red. Brazobán hasn’t pitched since Thursday and with the off-day tomorrow there’s a good chance, regardless of game script we’ll see him this afternoon. He has been getting hitters to chase his pitches at an elite level this year (92nd percentile) and produce grounders (84th percentile) giving him one of the best fastball run values in the game (96th percentile).

Let’s Go Mets!

The Mets look to start a new winning streak this afternoon at Citi Field. The Mets were cruising Friday night until a disastrous sixth inning. The Rays were able to score six runs, making the game go from a 5-1 Mets lead to a 7-5 Rays lead. The Mets were able to create multiple chances after that but couldn’t get any runs to score and ultimately lost. Today they have a much tougher challenge as they face Drew Rasmussen in the midst of a career year.

Tylor Megill has pitched 64 2/3 innings with a 3.76 ERA, 3.15 FIP, 1.299 WHIP and a 101 ERA+. He’s coming off of a solid start against the Rockies, where he was able to hold them to two runs from three hits over five innings. In the last six weeks Megill has either allowed four runs (four times) or two runs (or less) (three times). The Rays have the following career numbers against him:

• Brandon Lowe 0-2
• Josh Lowe 2-3, 2B, HR
• Christopher Morel 2-3, HR, BB
• Taylor Walls 0-2, K

Drew Rasmussen has pitched 69 innings with a 2.22 ERA, 3.24 FIP, 0.899 WHIP and a 176 ERA+. After today’s start, he will have thrown more innings in 2025 than in 2024 and 2023 combined. The Marlins were able to score two runs against him on June 8th which broke his four start streak of allowing no runs. Homeruns seem to be his only weakness, allowing six of them over a four game stretch from mid-April to mid-May, but he hasn’t allowed one since. Lindor and Soto are the only two players on the Mets who have seen him before in a major league game. They each have one plate appearance with a walk.

Three Things To Watch For:

1. Strikeouts. Strikeouts crushed the Mets Friday night. As a team they had 13 of them, with Brandon Nimmo and Ronny Mauricio each striking out three times. The strikeouts definitely contributed to the Mets going an absurd 2-for-16 with RISP and leaving 12 runners on base. Rasmussen is not necessarily a strikeout pitcher (7.7 K/9), so hopefully today is a good reset for an unusually free swinging Mets team.
2. Stolen Bases. The Rays currently lead the league with 97 stolen bases (10 more than the second best team and 19 more than the fourth best team). They tried to run on the Mets early last night but Alvarez threw Caminero out at second. The Rays would get a stolen base later in the game. If the Mets let the Rays get any momentum with stolen bases, they’ll run right over the Mets today and tomorrow.
3. How deep does Megill go? Megill has seemed to fall off this year the second time he has to face an opponent in the lineup (.274 OBP first time through, .345, .347 OBP the second and third time through). The Mets burned through three pitchers last night in the bullpen that can put up multiple innings. Buttó and Garrett both haven’t pitched since Tuesday, so its safe to assume we’ll see them at some point today.

Let’s Go Mets!

The Mets look to stretch their win streak to seven games as they welcome the Tampa Bay Rays to Citi Field tonight!

The Mets are rolling right now coming off of consecutive sweeps against the Rockies and Nationals. The Rays were rolling, winning six of seven games from June 3rd through June 9th before losing two games in a row to the Red Sox. Whose momentum will win out this weekend?

Clay Holmes has officially pitched a career high innings in the majors. In 2016 he pitched 136 1/3 innings for the Pittsburgh AA team (Altoona), his professional career best. Over 73 1/3 innings this season, Holmes has a 2.95 ERA, 3.83 FIP, 1.186 WHIP and a 128 ERA+. Holmes is coming off of another strong start where he held the Rockies to only one run from nine hits and no walks over six innings. The Rays have the following career numbers against Holmes:

• Jonathan Aranda 1-1, 2B, BB
• Yandy Díaz 2-9, 2 BB, 3 K
• Danny Jansen 0-2
• Brandon Lowe 1-6
• Josh Lowe 0-2, BB, 2 K
• Curtis Mead 0-1, K
• Christopher Morel 0-2
• Taylor Walls 1-4, K

Taj Bradley has pitched 74 2/3 innings this season with a 4.58 ERA, 4.38 FIP, 1.246 WHIP and an 85 ERA+. June has been interesting for Taj – he’s had his worst start and best start of the season. He started June by tossing seven innings, allowing one unearned run while striking out 10 batters. The following start he allowed seven run from six hits and two walks over four innings. The Mets have the following career stats against Taj:

• Pete Alonso 1-1, HR, BB
• Brett Baty 0-2
• Francisco Lindor 0-2, BB
• Jeff McNeil 1-2, K
• Brandon Nimmo 0-3, K
• Juan Soto 0-6

Three Things To Watch For:

1. Keeping the ball in the yard. Holmes has allowed quite a few home runs recently. Hitters have eight on the season against Holmes, and they all have happened from May 9th on. The Rays are tied for 15th in the majors for home runs, so they aren’t the most dangerous team that Holmes has faced this season.
2. Stolen Bases. Juan Soto stole his 8th base of the season Thursday which is notable because he only stole seven bases in 2024. The Mets now have 58 stolen bases on the season, good for 10th in the league. This is a notable shift for the Mets who finished 16th in stolen bases in 2024. Across the diamond, stolen bases are the Rays thing. They lead the majors with 96, 10 more than the Brewers who are in second and 21 ahead of the Pirates/Mariners who are tied for fourth.
3. Brandon Nimmo is getting hot. Nimmo went 2-for-4 Thursday with a home run. It was his third home run over his last two games and his second consecutive game with multiple hits. Nimmo and Soto heating up at the same time is dramatically increasing the Mets run scoring abilities.

Let’s Go Mets!

The Mets enter play today 20 games over .500 and with the best record in baseball!

Wednesday night David Peterson put on a clinic pitching a complete game shutout, masterfully making quick work of the Nationals, keeping his pitch count low and working out of trouble late to keep the shutout alive. The Mets look to build off Peterson’s excellent start with their ace Kodai Senga today!

Kodai Senga has pitched 68 innings this season with a 1.59 ERA (league leading), 3.30 FIP, 1.176 WHIP and a 238 ERA+ (league leading). In his last three starts he has a 2.04 ERA, 4.61 FIP with 18 strikeouts over 17 2/3 innings. Senga faced the Nationals at the end of April holding them to two runs from six hits and two walks while striking out five. The Nationals have the following career numbers against Senga:

• CJ Abrams 3-6, 3B, 2 BB
• Josh Bell 2-8, HR, BB, K
• Alex Call 0-2, 2 BB, 2 K
• Luis García Jr. 1-6, 2 BB, K
• Nathaniel Lowe 0-3, K
• Keibert Ruiz 0-6, 2 BB, K
• José Tena 1-2
• James Wood 1-3, K
• Jacob Young 1-2

The Mets bats get to see an old friend tonight in Michael Soroka. Soroka had a fast and bright start to his career with the Braves. He was an All-Star in his first full season with a 2.68 ERA over 174 2/3 innings. He then had a series of injuries that limited him to three games in 2020, and prevented him from playing at all in 2021 and 2022. Last season he pitched 25 games, nine starts, with the White Sox.

He has made seven starts totaling 37 innings for the Nationals this season with a 4.86 ERA, 4.11 FIP, 1.108 WHIP and an 82 ERA+. He’s coming off of his best start of the season, holding the Rangers scoreless over six innings. In the three starts before that he allowed 10 runs over 17 innings (5.29 ERA, 5.14 FIP). The Mets have the following career stats against Soroka:

• Pete Alonso 4-12, HR, 2 BB, 4 K
• Starling Marte 2-3, HR
• Jeff McNeil 1-9, 2B, K
• Brandon Nimmo 2-9, BB, K
• Juan Soto 6-10, 2 HR, 4 BB, K (.714 OBP, 1.914 OPS)

Three Things To Watch For:

1. Juan Soto Summer. Call your favorite New York area sports radio station and let them know, it’s Juan Soto Summer! Soto went 2-for-4 at the plate yesterday with a home run. It was his fourth multi-hit game in his last five games. Over that stretch he is 10-for-19 with a double, two home runs and nine runs scored (.526/.625/.895). Sot is now sixth in MLB for runs scored (49) and first in walks (55).
2. Brandon Nimmo. Brandon Nimmo had a huge game Wednesday night going 2-for-3 with two home runs, bringing him to 12 for the year. This puts Nimmo on track to have a career high in home runs. His current best is 24, which he did in 2023. It’s not his best season by far, he’s still far off his OPS+ stats from early 2020’s where he was consistently at 130 or above, but his slugging right now is quite a bit higher than last year. Let’s see how the rest of June goes!
3. Kodai Senga. An ace to me is a pitcher you buy a ticket that day to go see pitch. Kodai Senga is that type of pitcher. There is a buzz at Citi Field when he pitches, and the graphics team at the ballpark does a good job turning it into an event. Right now Senga is in the 95th percentile for offspeed run value. While he needs to keep the walks down (eight in his last three starts, in the 18th percentile), he’s doing enough to get out of jams and spin gems.

Let’s Go Mets!

The Mets had another comeback victory Tuesday night with an extra-inning win! The Mets went down early but clawed back the entire game and tied it in the eighth. Jeff McNeil hit a single on the first pitch he saw in the bottom of the tenth to send the Mets off in the win column.

The Mets already had momentum coming off a three game sweep of the Rockies and a 5-2 road trip. Beating the Nationals when they had their ace on the mound just adds to that momentum. With a win tonight the Mets will move to 20 games above .500!

David Peterson has pitched 70 2/3 innings with a 2.80 ERA, 3.20 FIP, 1.259 WHIP and a 135 ERA+. He has a 2.59 ERA, 3.20 FIP over his last eight starts, striking out 39 batters over 48 2/3 innings. He has pitched at least seven innings in two of his last three starts and at least six innings in five of his last six starts. The Nationals have the following career stats against Peterson:

• CJ Abrams 3-13, BB, 3 K
• Riley Adams 0-3, K
• Josh Bell 5-16, HR, 3 BB, 2 K
• Alex Call 2-6, 3 K
• Luis García Jr. 4-15, 3 K
• Nathaniel Lowe 1-5, HR, BB
• Keibert Ruiz 4-13, BB
• James Wood 1-6, 2 K
• Jacob Young 2-6, BB, K

The Mets bats will get another look at Jake Irvin. Over 13 starts he has tossed 78 1/3 innings with a 4.02 ERA, 4.50 FIP, 1.226 WHIP and a 98 ERA+. Near the end of May, Irvin went off tossing eight shutout innings against the Giants. Since then he has allowed nine runs over two starts and 10 innings from 16 hits and three walks. He had a stellar start against the Mets in April, allowing only one run over 7 1/3 innings. The Mets have the following career stats against Irvin:

• Pete Alonso 1-13, BB, 5 K
• Brett Baty 0-2
• Francisco Lindor 5-13, 2B, HR, 3 K
• Starling Marte 1-2, K
• Jeff McNeil 2-10, BB, K
• Brandon Nimmo 4-15, HR, BB, K
• Juan Soto 1-3, 2 BB
• Tyrone Taylor 1-9, 2B, 2 K

Three Things To Watch For:

1. Juan Soto. Juan Soto has three multi-hit games in his last four games played. Over his last four, Soto has gone 8-for-15 at the plate with a double, a home run, five walks and an absurd eight runs scored. He’s slashing .533/.650/.800 and this includes a game where Soto went 0-for-4 with a walk. We have reached a stretch a game with Soto putting up video game numbers. Since June 5th his season OPS has jumped 43 points.
2. Hitting with RISP. For a while this season, the Mets were terrible with runners in scoring position, this continued over the last week despite the Mets going 5-2 on their road trip. Tuesday night was not one of those nights. The Mets went 3-for-4 with RISP, making the most of the few chances they had through out the game. Keep changing the narrative Mets!
3. Groundball king. The Mets have multiple pitchers in the rotation that are inducing groundballs. What sets Peterson apart from Holmes and Canning (both in the red on Baseball Savant for grounders), is Peterson is also getting hitters to chase and miss. Peterson is in the 94th percentile for grounders, getting then 57.4% of the time. Hitters are only barreling the ball 5.9% of of the time (80th percentile). They’re also chasing 29.6% of the time. Peterson is still giving up hard-hits (14th percentile). After needing most of the bullpen Tuesday night, the Mets could use another deep Peterson start tonight!

Let’s Go Mets!

The Mets finally face the Nationals again! In spring training the same five teams play each other constantly due to geography, so the Mets played the Nationals what felt like every other day. Then the two teams met up near the end of April for a three game series in DC that the Mets won two of three games.

Now the two teams meet with a third of the season done. The Mets have established themselves as the top team in the division with a four game lead over the Phillies. The Nationals, surprisingly, are in third with a two game lead over the Braves. While they are five games below .500, they are only seven games out of the wild card and have played .500 ball in their last ten games. The Mets are about to play four divisional series in their next five series – it’s time to cement this divisional lead!

Griffin Canning has pitched 59 innings (12 games) with a 2.90 ERA, 3.78 FIP, 1.322 WHIP and a 130 ERA+. Canning’s last two starts in May were weird. He had a 2 2/3 inning start that was cut short by 90+ minute rain delay. His next start was moved up six hours to avoid rain. He was back to his old self his last time on the mound holding the Dodgers to no runs and only three hits over six innings. He faced the Nationals at the end of April and held them scoreless over five innings, scattering four hits and three walks. The Nationals have the following career numbers against Canning:

• CJ Abrams 1-5, K
• Josh Bell 1-1, BB
• Alex Call 3-8
• Luis García Jr. 0-7, BB, 2 K
• Nathianiel Lowe 3-15, 2 HR, 4 K
• Amed Rosario 2-3, 3B
• Keibert Ruiz 3-7
• José Tena 1-4, BB K
• James Wood 2-5, 2B, HR, BB, K
• Jacob Young 1-4, 2B, K

MacKenzie Gore has stepped into the ace roll for the Nationals. Over 13 starts, 75 1/3 innings, Gore has a 2.87 ERA, 2.58 FIP, 1.142 WHIP and a 137 ERA+. All career bests. He also leads the league with 108 strikeouts and 12.9 K/9. In his last three starts he has allowed only one run over 19 innings while striking out 24 batters. The Mets hit Gore well last season, scoring 11 times off 15 hits and eight walks over 14 2/3 innings. The Mets have the following career stats against Gore:

• Pete Alonso 2-15, HR, BB, 2 K
• Francisco Alvarez 0-4, 2 BB, 2 K
• Brett Baty 0-1, BB, K
• Francisco Lindor 2-14, 2 BB, K
• Starling Marte 4-8, K
• Jeff McNeil 7-10, 2 BB, K
• Brandon Nimmo 4-14, 2 2B, BB, 3 K
• Juan Soto 2-9, 5 K
• Tyrone Taylor 1-9, 4 K
• Luis Torrens 1-4, 2B, 2 K

Three Things To Watch For:

1. Live from New York, It’s the Juan Soto trade! Juan Soto, MacKenzie Gore and CJ Abrams were all part of the same blockbuster trade. Juan Soto is coming off a game where he reached based six times (for the first time in his career!). The performance was enough to raise his OBP from .372 to .384 and his OPS from .800 to .820. MacKenzie Gore is following his breakout year with an All-Star year. CJ Abrams is doing the same, going from a career high 110 OPS+ in 2024 to 123 OPS+ this year. Robert Hassell III, who was in that trade, made his major league debut a couple of weeks ago (although off to a rougher start). As long as these four players are in the National League East, playing for these two teams, their names will forever be linked.
2. Pete Alonso Watch. Alonso is coming off of a huge game where he went 3-for-6 at the plate with two home runs and four RBI’s. He now has 17 homers on the year and is sitting at 243 career home runs, nine away from Strawberry’s franchise leading 252. Alonso is still leading the league with RBI’s at 61. Since May 25th Alonso has played in 14 games hitting .333/.406/.825 (1.231 OPS) with eight home runs.
3. Jeff McNeil. McNeil is sixth on the team with six home runs, despite only playing 35 games. He has a 1.1 bWAR already. For context, he had a 1.6 bWAR over 129 games over all of last season. In his last two games he has gone 4-for-8 at the plate with four runs scored, a double and three home runs. Could McNeil be the x-factor for the Mets this season?

Let’s Go Mets!

Mets fans! We made it! The Mets wind down their end their seven game west coast road trip this afternoon, looking to sweep the season series against the Rockies. Lindor has been a key player in both games so far this weekend. Friday night Francisco Lindor came off the bench to hit a go-ahead double in the top of the ninth inning. Saturday Lindor went 3-for-5 with two stolen bases – his pinky toe is still broken by the way. Go for the sweep today Mets!

Tylor Megill has pitched 59 2/3 innings over 12 games with a 3.77 ERA, 3.12 FIP, 1.307 WHIP and a 100 ERA+. Megill had a rough stretch at the end of April through the middle of May where he allowed 15 earned runs over 18 2/3 innings spread over four games. He then had two solid back-to-back starts against the Red Sox and White Sox holding them to three runs over 10 1/3 innings while striking out 16 batters. The Dodgers got the of Megill his last time out, allowing four runs from four hits and a walk over six innings. Which Megill will we get today? The Rockies have the following numbers against Megill:

• Orlando Arcia 2-11, 2B, BB, 3 K
• Brenton Doyle 1-2, K
• Thairo Estrada 2-5, HR, K
• Tyler Freeman 0-3, K
• Sam Hilliard 0-2, K
• Keston Hiura 0-2, 2 K
• Ryan McMahon 2-4, 2B, BB, K

The Mets bats will get a look at rookie Chase Dollander, who didn’t face the Mets during last weekend’s series in Queens. Dollander has 41 2/3 innings over nine starts with a 6.26 ERA, 5.97 FIP, 1.440 WHIP and a73 ERA+. He’s coming off of a short start in Miami where he walked three batters and allowed two runs over three innings. It was his first start since returning from the injured list and the Rockies kept him to about 60 pitches. The Rockies top prospect has a high-90’s fastball that he uses more than half the time. He then mixes in a high-70’s curveball, high-80’s cutter and changeup. According to Statcast he has also tossed a slider four times this season (0.5% of the time).

Three Things To Watch For:

1. Paul Blackburn. Paul Blackburn made a spot start for the Mets on Monday to give the rest of the rotation an extra day of rest. He was spectacular, holding the Dodgers scoreless over five innings, scattering three hits and a walk. With the off-day tomorrow, he’ll be in the bullpen for at least this week. Today makes a lot sense for Blackburn to get a solid chunk of work. Hitters are slashing .196/.278/.371 the first time they face Megill. This jumps to .253/.346/.319 the second time. It would be interesting to see a Megill+Blackburn start combo!
2. Ronny Mauricio. Mauricio has started to come around in his last two games! Mauricio started off his call-up going 0-for-8 with three strikeouts. In his last two games he has gone 3-for-4 with a double and a home run. Don’t let Mauricio get hot!
3. Production from the second lineup spot. The Mets have been trying different players in the second lineup spot based on matchups. Since Tuesday the second spot has gone 9-for-20 with eight runs scored. It’s difficult to determine if Nimmo and Marte are both getting hot right now, or if they are both benefiting from the Mets putting them in a position to succeed (or some combination of the two). Here are their batting lines from the second spot in the lineup:

• Tuesday: Marte 1-4, 2 R, K
• Wednesday: Nimmo 1-3, 2 R, K, SB
• Thursday: Marte 3-4, 2 R, BB, 2B, HR
• Friday: Marte 2-5, R, 3 K
• Saturday: Nimmo 2-4, R, 2B, 2 RBI, BB

Let’s Go Mets!

How lucky are we? We have Francisco Lindor on our team!

Lindor started Friday night’s game on the bench, still healing up from a broken pinky toe after getting hit by a pitch a few days ago. Lindor has insisted that he was going to play through it and he did so in spectacular fashion. With the game tied in the ninth inning, Lindor came off the bench and ripped a two-run double to give the Mets lead.

Momentum was building behind the Rockies. Fresh off a three-game winning streak, they kept the Mets frustrated at the plate the entire night (2-for-15 with runners in scoring position, 12 runners left on). Lindor flipped the script and now the Mets go for the series victory today in Denver!

Clay Holmes has pitched 67 1/3 innings this season with a 3.07 ERA, 3.88 FIP, 1.158 WHIP and a 124 ERA+. Holmes passed a major milestone in his last start. By eclipsing 63 2/3 innings, he has now pitched more innings since becoming an All-Star relievers for the Yankees in 2022. Holmes will most likely today move to his highest inning mark in the majors for a single season (70 innings). Holmes pitched against the Rockies last weekend, tossing seven innings (a season high) allowing three runs from three hits, including two home runs. Home runs have been the only blight on Holmes recently, allowing seven in his last five starts. The Rockies have the following career numbers against him:

• Orlando Arcia 2-6, HR, BB, K
• Jordan Beck 0-3
• Brenton Doyle 0-3, K
• Thairo Estrada 0-1
• Kyle Farmer 1-2
• Tyler Freeman 1-2, HR
• Sam Hilliard 1-3
• Keston Hiura 1-5
• Ryan McMahon 0-3 2 BB

The Mets draw rookie Carson Palmquist for a second consecutive weekend. Over four starts in his major league career, Palmquist has pitched 18 innings, allowing 18 runs, 17 earned from 23 hits and 10 walks while striking out 14 (8.50 ERA, 6.23 FIP, 1.833 WHIP, 55 ERA+). Last Sunday against the Mets he allowed four runs from four hits, including two homers over 4 2/3 innings. Despite this, Palmquist did strike out eight Mets batters. The Mets have the following stats against Palmquist:

• Luisangel Acuña 0-2, K
• Pete Alonso 1-2, HR, K
• Brett Baty 0-2, 2 K
• Francisco Lindor 1-3, HR, K
• Starling Marte 0-2, BB, K
• Juan Soto 0-1, BB
• Tyrone Taylor 1-2, K
• Luis Torrens 0-2, K

Three Things To Watch For:

1. Juan Soto & Pete Alonso. It’s not a surprise that Pete Alonso is leading the majors in RBI – he’s hitting behind Francisco Lindor, Juan Soto and whomever Carlos Mendoza plugs into the two-hole. Alonso’s two RBI’s Friday night brought him to 57 on the year. He has 14 RBI’s in June alone (six games). Juan Soto had a huge night at the plate, getting on base four times and scoring twice, bringing him to 42 runs on the year (tied with Francisco Lindor for 13th in MLB). Let them cook at the plate all weekend!
2. Starling Marte. Marte had a huge day at the plate on Thursday, going 3-for-4 with a double, a home run, a walk and two runs scored. Friday night he piled on going 2-for-5 with a run scored. As injuries on the Mets have mounted (Jesse Winker, Mark Vientos), the Mets needed someone to step up and Marte has been sizzling.
3. Clay Holmes and ground balls. Holmes has an interesting Baseball Savant page. His pitching run values, is mostly in the red, but vast majority of his statcast data is in the blue, in the 56th percentile or less. Where he is excelling though is groundballs. He’s getting them 55.8% of the time, which is in the 92nd percentile. We are seeing the effect of hitters hitting him hard (45.3% of the time) in his home run data. As long as he keeps the ball on the ground today, he’ll be fine.

Let’s Go Mets!

What a difference a half a week makes for the Colorado Rockies. Last weekend the Mets swept the Rockies in Queens. The Rockies ended the series with a 9-50 record. Since then the Rockies swept the Marlins, increasing their season win total by 33% (12-50). The Mets are coming off of an ugly loss against the Dodgers were a series of mistakes cost them the game in an otherwise good series for the Mets. Will the Rockies take advantage of a dazed Mets team? Will the Mets just pick up where they left off last weekend?

We are going to see in real time what happens to pitch movement in altitude. The last time Senga pitched was last Saturday against the Rockies in Queens where he allowed two runs from two hits and two walks over 6 1/7 innings while striking out seven. He’s facing the same exact team, only a week later, but now at altitude. Senga is in the midst of a fantastic season where he has pitched 62 innings with a 1.60 ERA (league leading), 3.21 FIP, 1.177 WHIP and a 239 ERA+ (league leading). The Rockies got a solo homerun off Senga at the start of the game, which has been a rare occurrence for Senga this season. He is allowing a league leading 0.4 HR/9, which is less than half the rate from his rookie season. The Rockies have the following career numbers against Senga:

• Orlando Arcia 0-4, 2 K
• Jordan Beck 0-3, 2 K
• Brenton Doyle 0-2, 2 K
• Thairo Estrada 1-5, BB
• Kyle Farmer 0-2
• Hunter Goodman 0-3, K
• Sam Hilliard 0-2, K
• Ryan McMahon 0-5, BB, K
• Mickey Moniak 0-5, 3 K
• Jacob Stallings 0-5, BB, 3 K
• Ezequiel Tovar 1-5, HR, BB

Antonio Senzatela will try to rebound from his last start, which was also against the Mets. He allowed seven runs, including two home runs, over four innings from eight hits and two walks. Over 12 starts, 58 innings, Senzatela has a 7.14 ERA, 5.14 FIP, 1.983 WHIP and a 65 ERA+. He’s allowed a league worst 98 hits this season. The Mets have the following career stats against Senzatela:

• Pete Alonso 5-14, 2B, 2 K
• Francisco Alvarez 0-3, K
• Brett Baty 1-3, 3B, BB
• Francisco Lindor 5-15, HR, BB, 4 K
• Starling Marte 7-13, 2B, HR
• Jeff McNeil 2-13, HR
• Brandon Nimmo 4-11, 3 HR< 3 K
• Juan Soto 2-4, 2 HR, 2 BB
• Tyrone Taylor 4-7, K
• Luis Torrens 2-4, BB, K
• Jared Young 0-2

Three Things To Watch For:

1. Pete Alonso is red hot. Alonso is coming off of a scorching series in LA. Over his last three games (he went hitless in the opener), Alonso has gone 7-for-13 with a double, three home runs and nine RBI’s. Since he ended his homerun drought on May 25th, Alonso has slashed .326/.396/.814 over 11 games with six home runs and 17 RBI’s. He is now sitting at 241 career home runs, just 11 behind Strawberry’s franchise leading 252 homers.
2. Francisco Lindor’s toe. As of writing Lindor is considered day-to-day with a broken pinky toe. The injury occurred off of Gonsolin slider a couple days ago and Lindor has said it’s all about managing pain. We’ll keep an eye on when and if Lindor plays this weekend. Does he start? Does he come off the bench? Do the Mets manage his innings? If there ever was a series to give Lindor a rest, its this one right here.
3. Starling Marte. Marte has quietly put together a nice extended hot streak over the last couple of weeks. In his last 14 games, Marte has gone 11-for-38 at the plate with two doubles, two home runs, four walks and nine runs scored (.355/.459/.613). His OBP over the last two weeks is 100 points higher than his season mark.

Let’s Go Mets!

Mets fans, we made it! Today’s game is the first game this series that is happening at a more convenient time on the East Coast. This is also a crucial getaway day for the Mets who have about 25 hours after this game ends to get to Colorado and get adjusted to the altitude before playing the suddenly hot Colorado Rockies.

The Mets have a chance to take a second consecutive series against the Dodgers today before leaving LA. After splitting the first two games in LA, the Mets had a solid victory Wednesday night behind Pete Alonso’s two home runs while the rest of us slept. The Mets already have the season series victory, let’s make a statement now!

David Peterson has pitched 63 2/3 innings with a 2.69 ERA, 3.31 FIP, 1.257 WHIP and a 141 ERA+. In his last four starts he has pitched 25 1/3 innings with a 2.13 ERA, 3.19 FIP while striking out 23 batters. Peterson’s start against the Dodgers back on May 24th was one of his best starts of the season where he pitched 7 2/3 innings holding the Dodgers to two runs from five hits and two walks while striking out seven. The Dodgers have the the following career numbers against Peterson:

• Mookie Betts 4-14, 2 2B, BB, K
• Michael Conforto 1-3, K
• Tommy Edman 2-4, BB, K
• Freddie Freeman 6-24, 2 HR, BB, 7 K
• Kiké Hernández 5-11, 2B, BB, 2 K
• Teoscar Hernández 3-10, 2B, HR, BB, 2 K
• Max Muncy 2-7, HR, 2 K
• Shohei Ohtani 5-14, BB, 4 K
• Andy Pages 5-7, HR, K
• Miguel Rojas 7-16, 3 2B, HR, BB K
• Dalton Rushing 0-3, 2 K
• Will Smith 2-5, 2B, HR, BB

Landon Knack has a 4.58 ERA, 4.91 FIP, 1.358 WHIP and an 85 ERA+ over 35 1/3 innings this season. Before facing the Mets he allowed nine earned runs over 9 2/3 innings. The defense failed him against the Mets on May 25th, with the Mets scoring three runs, only one earned, over six innings. His last time out he allowed only one earned run over six innings against the Yankees. Knack does have a home run problem though. He has now allowed six homers in his last four starts. The Mets have the following career stats against him:

• Pete Alonso 2-4, HR
• Francisco Alvarez 0-2
• Brett Baty 0-2, K
• Francisco Lindor 1-3, BB, K
• Starling Marte 1-2
• Jeff McNeil 1-3, 2B, K
• Brandon Nimmo 0-1, K
• Juan Soto 0-5, K
• Tyrone Taylor 1-2, 2B, BB
• Luis Torrens 0-3, K
• Jared Young 0-2

Three Things To Watch For:

1. Pete Alonso. The offense ran through Pete Alonso Wednesday night, going 2-for-4 at the plate with two home runs and five RBI’s. The two home runs bring him to 240 as a Met, 12 behind Strawberry’s franchise record of 252. Since May 25th, when Landon Knack started against the Mets, Alonso has gone 11-for-39 at the plate with three doubles and five home runs slashing (.282/.348/.744). Alonso currently leads the league with 19 doubles and 53 RBI’s. It’s June 5th and he already has a 2.2 bWAR (2.6 at the end of 2024). Knack is struggling with home runs right now. Alonso made him pay two weeks ago and is on a hot streak right now.
2. Juan Soto. Soto broke his five game streak with extra-base hits on Wednesday night but still managed to get on base three times with three walks, bringing him to 48 on the season. He is now third in the majors, two behind Rafael Devers for first. Alonso was able to bring Soto home on one of his homers Wednesday night, which is exactly what was happening during one Alonso’s April hot streak. Soto has scored 40 times this season, tied for 14th in the league.
3. Some relief for the relievers. The Mets bullpen was on overdrive the with back-to-back extra-inning games Monday and Tuesday. Wednesday night Castillo and Stanek were able to close out the game for the Mets, giving everyone else a much needed day of rest. Edwin Díaz now has had two consecutive days off and after pitching three of four games before that. Díaz is in the 100th percentile this season in xBA (.155), 95th in xERA (2.31) and 99th in Whiff% (39.8%).

Let’s Go Mets!