Game Preview: Mets @ Cubs

The Mets are currently on their longest losing streak since 2004. They still have to lose two more games to tie that streak, three more to break it.

Or the Mets could end all of that talk with a win this afternoon in Chicago. Yesterday the Mets were able to rack up hits (14) but only converted that into four runs while the Mets pitching imploded in a 12-4 loss. Things are starting to look bleak. Freddy Peralta has a tall order today to save the Mets get them back in the win column.

Over four starts and 21 innings, Peralta has a 3.86 ERA, 3.92 FIP, 1.143 WHIP and a 103 ERA+. Peralta is coming off of a solid start against the Athletics where he allowed one run on a solo home run over six innings while striking out six (a game that the Mets eventually lost 1-0). So far this season Peralta has alternated between weak start and strong start, so he’ll be looking for two consecutive strong starts for the first time in 2026 today.

Peralta faced the Cubs four times in 2025 and two of the starts were great and two of the starts were terrible. In the two great starts he held the Cubs scoreless over 12 innings. In the other two starts he allowed eight runs over nine innings. He had one good start and one bad start in Chicago, so it’s not a road thing either. The Cubs have the following career numbers against him:

  • Miguel Amaya 1-7, 2 K
  • Moises Ballesteros 1-2, 2B
  • Alex Bregman 2-5, BB, K
  • Michael Busch 3-20, 3 HR, 5 BB, 9 K
  • Michael Conforto 3-10, 2B, 2 BB, 2 K
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong 6-15, 2B, HR, BB, K
  • Ian Happ 4-37, 3 HR, 6 BB, 15 K
  • Nico Hoerner 6-33, 3 2B, HR, 2 BB, 7 K
  • Carson Kelly 2-15, BB, 7 K
  • Scott Kingery 1-1
  • Matt Shaw 1-6, 2 BB, 2 K
  • Seiya Suzuki 3-28, HR, 4 BB, 15 K
  • Dansby Swanson 2-25, HR< 2 BB, 12 K

Jameson Taillon has a 4.86 ERA, 6.28 FIP, 1.260 WHIP and a 77 ERA+ over three starts and 16 2/3 innings this season. Last year he pitched 129 2/3 innings over 23 starts with a 3.68 ERA, 4.65 FIP, 1.057 WHIP and a 104 ERA+. The Mets hit him hard last last May scoring six runs, five earned over four innings from nine hits including four home runs. The Mets have the following career numbers against him:

  • Francisco Alvarez 3-5, 2B, HR, 2 K
  • Brett Baty 2-2, HR
  • Bo Bichette 9-24, 4 2B, 6 K
  • Francisco Lindor 3-16, HR, 5 K
  • MJ Melendez 3-5, 2 2B, BB, K
  • Tommy Pham 9-29, 5 2B, 2 BB, 9 K
  • Jorge Polanco 6-9, 2 2B, HR< K
  • Luis Robert Jr. 1-11, HR, 5 K
  • Marcus Semien 3-17, 2B, 2 HR
  • Tyrone Taylor 2-12, 2B, 4 K
  • Luis Torrens 0-3, 2 K
  • Mark Vientos 0-5, K

Three Things To Watch For:

  1. On paper vs recent performance. Today is an ideal matchup on paper for the Mets. As a team they are slashing .293/.308/.557 against Taillon with seven home runs. Taillon’s FIP is well above his already moderately high ERA. The Mets also crushed Taillon last season. But the Mets have been spiraling recently. Everything points toward a get right game for the Mets today, but only if they can seize it.
  2. Francisco Lindor. Lindor has six hits in his last five games including a double and a home run. He’s also been getting his hits in bunches, coming in pairs (three games going 2-for-4 and two games going 0-for-4). He’s batting .300 with a .500 SLG over this stretch raising his season line from .167/.296/.250 to .200/.297/.313.
  3. Power outage. The Mets have hit 14 home runs this season, which ties them for 27 in the league. Last season the Mets were fifth in the league and the year before they were sixth. They are without one of the major power hitters in Juan Soto and lost a lot of homeruns with Pete Alonso leaving the team, but the Mets should not be this low compared to the rest of the league. An eventual return to the mean should see the Mets shoot up to at least mid league (the Orioles and Brewers are tied with 18 homers for 16th in the league).

Let’s Go Mets!

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