Game Preview: Mets @ Marlins

Friday night was not a good one in Mets land. Christian Scott faced had his first difficult start in the majors while the offense just disappeared completely. The result was a Marlins 8-0 victory. For the Marlins, it was their fourth win in their last five games including three shutout victories.

The Mets can make this afternoon the inflection point for the series. Early offense, early effective pitching and the Mets can snap the Marlins right out of the hot streak they are currently on.

Luis Severino has pitched 45 innings over eight starts this season with a 3.00 ERA, 3.70 FIP, 1.200 WHIP and a 128 ERA+. He’s coming off of a successful start against the Braves where he held them to two runs over five innings from four hits and three walks. The walks prevented him from going deeper into the game. After five innings he tossed 94 pitches, and only 55 of them were for strikes (tied for his lowest strike total of the season). The Marlins have the following career numbers against him:

  • Christian Bethancourt 0-2, 2 K
  • Vidal Brujan 0-2
  • Jake Burger 2-3, 2B, HR, K
  • Emmanuel Rivera 0-3, 2 K

The Mets bats will get Braxton Garrett who is making his second start of the season. In his first start against the Phillies last week he allowed five runs from five hits and two walks while striking out eight over five innings. When he’s been on the field the last two seasons he’s been pretty consistent. In 2022 he had a 3.58 ERA, 3.56 FIP, 1.250 WHIP, 115 ERA+ over 88 innings. In 2023 he had a 3.66 ERA, 3.68 FIP, 1.146 WHIP and 125 ERA+ over 159 2/3 innings.

Due to the Mets and Marlins schedule last season, Braxton started his 2023 season by facing the Mets in back-to-back outings and then ended his 2023 season facing the Mets in back-to-back starts. Overall he had a 4.08 ERA, 1.472 WHIP over 17 2/3 innings of work. The Mets have the following career numbers against him:

  • Pete Alonso 6-15, 2 HR, 2 BB, 3 K
  • Brett Baty 0-2
  • Francisco Lindor 5-14, 2 2B, 3 HR, 3 K
  • Starling Marte 3-5, 2 2B, K
  • J.D. Martinez 0-3, 3 K
  • Jeff McNeil 3-8, 2B, BB
  • Omar Narváez 1-2
  • Tomás Nido 1-3
  • Brandon Nimmo 1-11, BB
  • DJ Stewart 0-2, K
  • Tyrone Taylor 0-4, K
  • Mark Vientos 0-4, K

Three Things To Watch For:

  1. J.D. Martinez is staying hot at the plate. While the rest of the Mets offense vanished on Friday night, Martinez went 2-for-4 at the plate. It was the third time in five games that Martinez recorded at least two hits. Overall in his last five games he has gone 8-for-19 with two doubles and a homer, hitting .421/.476/.684. He has reached based ten times but has only scored three times.
  2. Mets need Vientos and Baty to both get back into rhythm. Vientos has gone 2-for-10 at the plate since returning to the majors. Both of those hits came in his first game back. Since then he has gone 0-for-6. Brett Baty hasn’t seen as much playing time since Vientos joined the team (due to the amount of left handed pitching the Mets have faced) and has gone 1-for-3 over two games.
  3. The back of the Mets bullpen got the night off they needed. Losing a game by eight runs is not the optimal way to give the bullpen a rest, but all the high leverage relievers got the night off as Walker and Hartwig combined for four innings Friday night allowing four runs. When the Mets were racking up wins earlier in the season, the bullpen kept the team in games, regardless of the performance of the starting pitcher. The Mets sure need that bullpen now.

Let’s Go Mets!

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