Game Preview: Reds vs Mets

The Mets time as agents of chaos continues tonight as they start a weekend series with the Reds. The Mets just took three of four games from the Diamondbacks, collapsing the race for the last NL Wild Card spot. The Giants now hold it with a one game lead in the loss column (0 game lead by winning percentages) over the Diamondbacks and the Reds. The Marlins are only half a game behind them. For the Mets, winning their last three games has dropped them out of a protected draft spot. Playoff implications this weekend at Citi Field! Let’s take a look at the lineups and pitchers.

David Peterson looks to build on his quality start his last time out. On the season he has pitched in 24 games totaling 94 1/3 innings with a 5.35 ERA, 4.53 FIP, 1.601 WHIP and a 78 ERA+. His last time on the mound he allowed three runs from eight hits while striking out eight over six innings of work. It was his second quality start in his last three and his second time in his last three starts he struck out eight batters (he’s only done that three total times this season). Peterson started against the Reds back on May 9th where he allowed four runs from seven hits over 3 1/3 innings. The Reds have the following career numbers against him:

  • Hunter Renfroe 0-3, 3 BB
  • Jonathan India 1-3, 2B, K
  • Nick Senzel 3-3, 2B, HR, BB
  • TJ Friedl 1-2
  • Spencer Steer 0-1, BB
  • Luke Maile 1-2, 2B
  • Tyler Stephenson 1-2

The Mets bats face one of the more electric young starters in the league tonight: Hunter Green. Greene has made 18 starts (91 1/3 innings) this season with a 4.43 ERA, 4.17 FIP, 1.434 WHIP and a 104 ERA+. His K/9 rate is up from last year (11.7 to 12.1) but so is his BB/9 (3.4 to 4.3). In his last two starts he has allowed only two run runs, none earned, from four hits over 11 1/3 innings while striking out 15 batters. He faced the Mets back in May allowing two runs from six hits over 5 1/3. The Mets have the following career numbers against him:

  • Omar Narváez 0-6, 4 K
  • Brandon NImmo 4-6, HR, K
  • Francisco Lindor 1-5, HR, 2 K
  • Daniel Vogelbach 1-5, 2 K, BB
  • Pete Alonso 1-3, 2 BB
  • Rafael Ortega 0-3, K
  • Jeff McNeil 3-6, 2 K
  • Francisco Álvarez 0-1, BB
  • Brett Bay 0-2

Three Things To Watch For:

  1. Brandon Nimmo keeps collecting extra-base hits. In his last three games Nimmo is 6-for-13 with three doubles and a triple. In the seven times he’s reached first base (.500 OBP) he’s scored three times. We are now hitting the peak version of Nimmo where he’s getting on base, getting into scoring position, and the Mets are bringing him home.
  2. David Peterson single season milestones. Peterson is only 5 2/3 innings away from breaking 100 innings for the second time in his career. While the season has been rough for him, he’s shown positive signs in the last month.
  3. DJ Stewart climbing up the charts. DJ Stewart had two more RBI’s yesterday bringing him to 26 on the season. That’s good for ninth on the team and is only one RBI from Marte’s 28 and two from Baty’s 29. It’s highly unlikely, practically impossible for Stewart to catch up to Vogelbach (45), but it’s probably that Stewart ends the season 7th on the team. Who would have predicted that?

Let’s Go Mets!

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