Bartolo Colon is a hero on this staff of aces. His arm allowed him to absorb innings (he’s below 200 for the regular season only due to the Mets going with a 6 man rotation at different points for the season) and he can do whatever the Mets need him to do. Could the computers predict how he would perform in 2015? Let’s take a look:
PECOTA (BP): 10-10, 28 G, 175 IP, 123 K, 29 BB, 1.16 WHIP, 3.54 ERA
PECOTA (MLB.com): 9-9, 144 IP, 100 K, 41 BB, 1.16 WHIP, 3.63 ERA
MLB.com: 10-13, 193 IP, 137 K, 32 BB, 1.23 WHIP, 3.96 ERA
ZiPS: 26 G, 167.2 IP, 115 K, 27 BB, 4.03 ERA
Steamer: 9-10, 27 G, 163 IP, 113 K, 27 BB, 4.17 ERA
ESPN: 10 W, 122 K, 1.23 WHIP, 4.00 ERA
Average: 9.6 – 10.5, 27 G, 168 IP, 127 K, 31.2 BB, 1.20 WHIP, 3.89 ERA
(Original Post Here)
And his actual 2015 numbers:
14-13, 33 G, 31 GS, 194.2 IP, 1.24 WHIP, 4.16 ERA, 3.87 FIP
Colon pitched way more than the computers thought he would, which I’m wondering if that is the computers trying to factor Gee into the rotation with Niese, Wheeler, Harvey, Syndergaard, deGrom and Matz. He’s the only pitcher outside of Parnell who performed worse than his projections, yet, as a bit of a preview to next season, the computers think Colon is going to do better in 2016 than his 2015 projections let alone his actual 2015 numbers.
