Each year at 213, we take projections from several different places, average them together and then compare the line that spits out to the player’s performance from last year. We understand how unscientific this is – some projections try to guess playing time, some don’t, more playing time is weighted the same as less playing time, more successful projection producers are weighted the same as their counterparts, etc. At the end of the year we revisit the projections and see how’d they do.
Before the 2018 season the Mets were seriously considering signing Nunez, but instead went with Frazier on a two year deal. Eduardo Nunez in that time went from an on-base machine to a player who just lost his way to first base entirely. He’s going to try resurrect his career with the Mets this Spring.
2019 Stats: 174 PA, 167 AB, 2 HR, .228/.243/.305, -1.5 WAR, 59 DRC+
(Citations: BP projections come from the Baseball Prospectus Annual, a must read for all baseball fans and can be purchased here. ESPN comes from their fantasy baseball projections and can be found here. Both ZiPS and Steamer are found on FanGraphs. ZiPS can be found here, Steamer can be found here. BR comes from the Baseball Reference for this specific player and is linked earlier in the article)
Overall the projections see him bouncing back a bit, but no where near the numbers that would suggest that Nunez gets regular or even back up playing time. We also have to consider what playing Nunez in Queens means – no Guillorme. Guillorme has the defensive skills and while it may be a stretch for him to put up numbers close to this Nunez 2020 projection line, Luis will make up for it with his glove.
