The Braves snapped the Mets winning streak Saturday afternoon setting up a critical last game of the four game set. A Mets loss today splits the series, which isn’t disastrous, and honestly most of us would have been okay with that result before the series started. A win today takes the series and gets the momentum back on track heading into the trade deadline on Tuesday.
David Peterson has pitched 48 2/3 innings over nine starts with a 3.14 ERA, 4.79 FIP, 1.479 WHIP and a 125 ERA+. In his last six starts he has a 2.53 ERA and a 4.96 FIP. For Peterson he needs to keep the bases clear and pitch count low. He can get himself into trouble walking batters, as he has four starts already this year with at least three walks. The difference for Peterson in 2024 is he doesn’t snowball after that. The Braves have the following career numbers against him:
- Brian Anderson 2-7, 2 BB, 2 K
- Orlando Arcia 1-4, 2 BB, K
- Travis d’Arnaud 0-10, 2 BB, 5 K
- Adam Duvall 4-9, 2 2B, HR, BB, 3 K
- Sean Murphy 0-4, K
- Matt Olson 3-13, 3 HR, 3 BB, 6 K
- Marcell Ozuna 2-14, 2 HR, BB, 6 K
- Austin Riley 8-21, 3 2B, 2 BB, 6 K
- Eddie Rosario 1-2
- Luke Williams 1-6, 2 K
Reynaldo López is having a career season for the Braves. Over 101 2/3 innings he has has a 2.12 ERA, 3.17 FIP, 1.190 WHIP and a 195 ERA+ (career 4.03 ERA, 4.29 FIP, 1.286 WHIP, 107 ERA+). That being said, he has been a different pitcher his last two starts allowing seven runs over 12 innings from 18 hits, raising his season ERA from 1.71 to 2.12. His second start this season was against the Mets where he held the Mets scoreless over six innings. The Mets have the following career numbers against him:
- Pete Alonso 2-5, 2B, 2 BB, K
- Francisco Alvarez 0-1, K
- Harrison Bader 1-2
- José Iglesias 2-13, BB
- Francisco Lindor 2-21, HR, 3 BB, K
- J.D. Martinez 5-11, 2 2B, HR, K
- Jeff MCNeil 0-5, BB, 2 K
- Brandon Nimmo 0-4, 3 K
- DJ Stewart 1-4, BB
- Tyrone Taylor 0-1, K
- Luis Torrens 0-1
- Mark Vientos 0-0, BB
- Jesse Winker 2-3
Three Things To Watch For:
- New Mets! The Mets look a little different. A couple of days ago the Mets traded for Ryne Stanek from the Mariners who has been struggling of late, four runs in his last three games. Before that he had a 3.55 ERA, 3.49 FIP over 43 games this season and was a pitcher the Mets were looking at in the off season. Overnight the Mets acquired frenemy Jesse Winker who is hitting .257/.374/.419 with a 130 OPS+ this season. Against righties he’s slashing .266/.390/.450.
- Strikeouts. The Mets batters had a rough day in the office Saturday collecting only four hits while batters struck out 14 times. This includes four K’s for J.D. Martinez who had a grand slam the previous day and three K’s for Vientos who had a homer on Friday. For J.D., he’s been locked in a pattern the last six games where he has a multi-hit day followed by a terrible day. The pattern is locked in for a good one today!
- Don’t let the Braves get momentum. After two losses against the Mets, the Braves hit three home runs against the Mets yesterday (Ozuna, Olson, Rosario). That was three of their six hits. Peterson and crew need to build off Danny Young’s bullpen performance yesterday where he recorded five strikeouts over two innings.
Let’s Go Mets!
