The Mets found themselves on the correct side of a 1-0 win on Saturday. Now the Mets have a chance to at least clinch a series split with the Marlins this afternoon in Miami. Saturday’s game featured strong pitching from both teams. Luis Severino stepped it up for the Mets. The Marlins had another struggling starting pitcher turn out an ace-like performance against the Mets. Can the Mets bats snap that streak today?
Christian Scott has pitched 43 1/3 innings over eight games with a 4.36 ERA, 4.48 FIP, 1.108 WHIP and a 90 ERA+. Scott was trying hard to finish the fifth inning in his last start to be in line for first career win, but the Rockies pushed him out early. He allowed three runs over 4 1/3 innings from seven hits. This afternoon will be the first time that Scott faces a team he has seen before! The Marlins got to Scott in their first match up, tagging him for four runs on seven hits over four innings. The Marlins have the following career numbers (from that one game) against Scott:
- Josh Bell 1-3
- Vidal Brujan 2-2
- Jake Burger 0-2
- Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0-3, K
- Bryan De La Cruz 1-3, K
- Nick Fortes 1-1, HR, BB
- Nick Gordon 1-2, K
- Otto Lopez 0-1
- Jesús Sánchez 1-1
Trevor Rogers has made 19 starts totaling 95 1/3 innings for the Marlins this season with a 4.72 ERA, 4.48 FIP, 1.552 WHIP and a 93 ERA+. In his last two starts he has allowed four runs from eight hits and five walks over 11 innings (3.27 ERA, 4.07 FIP). Rogers has been one of the few pitchers for the Marlins who has been healthy and in the rotation all season. He’s also managed to miss all previous series against the Mets. The Mets have the following career numbers against Rogers:
- Pete Alonso 2-17, 2 HR, 2 BB, 6 K
- Ben Gamel 0-3, 3 K
- José Iglesias 0-1, BB
- Francisco Lindor 4-15, 2B, 4 K
- J.D. Martinez 2-4, 2 2B, K
- Jeff McNeil 4-12, 3 2B, 3 BB, 2 K
- Brandon Nimmo 4-15, 2 2B, 2 BB, 2 K
- Tyrone Taylor 3-8, K
Three Things To Watch For:
- Unlucky Mets. If you have watched the Mets over the last two games, you have seen the Mets hit more than a handful of screamers, that have landed as outs. John Harper noted after the game that between Friday and Saturday the Mets hit more 23 total pitches with an exit velocity of 95 mph or greater. Eventually the hard hit balls will fall as hits.
- Striking out the Marlins. The Mets relievers got the strikeouts when they needed them on Saturday to keep the Marlins off of the board – six strikeouts in three innings. Núñez allowed two hits but struck out the side to keep the Marlins off of the board. Over the first two games in this series the Mets bullpen has pitched six innings allowing one run and struck out 11 batters.
- Hitting with runners in scoring position. Getting hits with RISP is going to determine today’s game. Both teams on Saturday went 0-for-7 when they had runners in scoring position. Fourteen batters at the plate failing to get a hit. Both teams on Saturday left 10 runners on the basepaths. Twenty runners left on the base paths, 1-0 final score.
Let’s Go Mets!
