Game Preview: Mets @ Marlins

A rough night for the Mets means the pressure is on today. The Reds now control their own destiny with two games left to play this season. The Mets got the scoring started last night, thanks to another leadoff homer from Francisco Lindor but fell apart shortly after and just couldn’t come back. The Marlins in September have burned the Mets since 2007, is this another chapter in that book, or can the Mets flip the script today?

Clay Holmes gets the start today for the Mets. Over 159 2/3 innings he has a 3.66 ERA, 4.12 FIP, 1.328 WHIP and a 110 ERA+. He’s been used in relief the last two outings totaling 4 2/3 innings allowing one unearned run scattering four hits and striking out three. The Marlins scored four, two earned over five innings at the end of August and the have the following career numbers against him:

  • Griffin Conine 3-4, 2 BB, K
  • Xavier Edwards 2-8, K
  • Heriberto Hernandez 0-2, K
  • Liam Hicks 3-7, 2 K
  • Troy Johnston 1-3
  • Otto Lopez 3-8, 2B, K, BB
  • Jakob Marsee 1-3
  • Graham Pauley 0-4, 3 K
  • Agustin Ramirez 0-2, K
  • Javier Sanoja 1-4, 3 K
  • Eric Wagaman 0-2

Eury Pérez will set a career high in starts and innings pitched today. He has made 19 starts this season with 90 innings tossed. He has a 4.20 ERA, 3.71 FIP, 1.044 WHIP and a 105 ERA+. Pérez hasn’t allowed a run in his last two starts (Rockies and Rangers), scattering three hits over nine innings while striking out 15 batters. The Mets scorched him though last month, scoring five runs in 2/3rds of an inning. This was the game the Mets eventually won 19-9. The Mets have the following career stats against Pérez:

  • Pete Alonso 1-2, K
  • Brett Baty 0-2, K
  • Francisco Lindor 0-2, BB
  • Starling Marte 0-1
  • Ronny Mauricio 1-1, BB
  • Jeff McNeil 0-1, BB
  • Cedric Mullins 1-2, K
  • Brandon Nimmo 2-2, HR, BB
  • Juan Soto 1-1, HR
  • Tyrone Taylor 1-2, 2B, K
  • Mark Vientos 1-1, HR, BB

Three Things To Watch For:

  1. Sean Manaea. Will the Mets use Sean Manaea today? Manaea pitched on the 24th against the Cubs (1 IP, 2 ER) and should be good to go today. It’s been a rough year for Manaea who has pitched 59 innings with a 5.80 ERA, 4.43 FIP, 1.220 WHIP and a 70 ERA+. It has been a while since the Mets got a long start from Clay Holmes and we’ve seen the piggy-back start work recently.
  2. Dylan Ross. The Mets need bullpen help for these final two games of the season and have called up Dylan Ross. Ross is working his way back from two UCL injuries. He was drafted by the Mets in the 13th round back in 2022. Across Syracuse, Binghamton and Brooklyn this season he has pitched 54 innings with a 2.17 ERA, 1.148 WHIP and a 13.3 K/9.
  3. Wild Card race. The Mets play first today, and set the tone. A win and the pressure is on the Reds to keep their Wild Card spot. A Mets loss and the Reds can end it for the Mets tonight. The Reds will be sending out Abbott (2.80 ERA) take on Gasser of the Brewers (6.00 ERA). It’s a must win day for the Mets.

Bonus: Juan Soto stats. Juan Soto stole two bases in Friday night’s game. He’s now only two stolen bases away from a 40-40 season. He is also still only two walks away from breaking the Mets single season walk record set by John Olerud in 1999 (125 walks).

Let’s Go Mets!

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