The Mets look to avoid being swept this afternoon at Citi Field! Friday night the had a solid lead for about half the game until the Rays had a huge sixth inning, scoring six runs to get the lead. The Mets would end the night going 2-for-16 with RISP, leaving 12 runners on base. Saturday the Rays had a huge fourth inning, scoring five runs. The Mets bats had 11 hits, but hit into two double plays and left six runners on base. It’s been a frustrating weekend so far for the Mets, but a win can completely turn everything around.
Griffin Canning has pitched 64 1/3 innings over 13 games with a 3.22 ERA, 4.10 FIP, 1.352 WHIP and a 118 ERA+. He’s coming off of a rough start where he allowed four runs from seven hits over 5 1/3 innings against the Nationals. The start before that though was a great one where he held the Dodgers to no runs and three hits over six innings. The Rays have the following career numbers against Canning:
- Jonathan Aranda 1-3, HR, K
- José Caballero 1-3, K
- Yandy Díaz 3-11, 2 BB, 3 K
- Danny Jansen 0-3, K
- Brandon Lowe 1-3, HR, 2 BB, 2 K
- Josh Lowe 2-4, 2 K
- Curtis Mead 0-2
- Christopher Morel 1-2, K
- Taylor Walls 1-2, 2B
The Mets bats will get a look at Shane Baz today who has pitched 70 2/3 innings over 13 starts with a 4.97 ERA, 4.90 FIP, 1.344 WHIP and a 78 ERA+. Baz has allowed exactly three earned runs in three consecutive starts (5.06 ERA, 4.82 FIP). Baz has struggled this season pitching in the Rays minor league ballpark home field. Over 42 innings at home, he he has a 5.36 ERA, 1.405 WHIP. Over 28 2/3 innings on the road, he has a 4.40 ERA, 1.256 WHIP. The Mets have the following career stats against him:
- Juan Soto 3-4, 2B, HR, BB
- Tyrone Taylor 0-2, K
Three Things To Watch For:
- Brandon Nimmo. Nimmo went 3-for-4 at the plate Saturday, his third multi-hit game in his last four games played. In his last four games he has gone 7-for-16 with three home runs and five runs scored slashing .438/.471/1.000. Since June 2nd Nimmo has slashed .294/.357/.569 raising his season slash line from .231/.295/.419 to .244/.305/.448.
- Brett Baty. Baty smashed his 8th home run of the season Saturday. He is now only one home run behind his season best of 9, which he had in 2023. For context, Baty played 108 games with 389 plate appearances in 2023. In 2025 he has played 53 games with 171 plate appearances. This is also the exact amount of plate appearances that he had in 2024. Baty had a 0.3 bWAR in 2024, compared to a 1.3 bWAR this year. One possible area for Baty’s success – his bat speed. In 2024 his bat was 73.5 mph, this season it is 75.8 mph, which is in the 95th percentile. Combined with a 14.2 Barrel% (86th percentile), he’s creating damage at the plate.
- Huascar Brazobán. Have you’ve been to Huascar’s Baseball Savant page lately? There’s a lot of red. Brazobán hasn’t pitched since Thursday and with the off-day tomorrow there’s a good chance, regardless of game script we’ll see him this afternoon. He has been getting hitters to chase his pitches at an elite level this year (92nd percentile) and produce grounders (84th percentile) giving him one of the best fastball run values in the game (96th percentile).
Let’s Go Mets!
