Talk about poetry and drama in the Subway Series!
Friday night Juan Soto recorded the last out. Saturday afternoon Aaron Judge recorded the last out. With the series on the line the Yankees turn to Max Fried, the pitcher they turned to after Juan Soto turned down their massive contract. If you love stories in baseball, this has been the series for you!
David Peterson has pitched 44 1/3 innings over eight starts this year with a 3.05 ERA, 3.55 FIP, 1.353 WHIP and a 128 ERA+. He has allowed two earned runs or less in four consecutive starts and has pitched six innings in back-to-back starts. There have been two concerns of late though. First, he’s allowed seven walks in his last two starts. He walked only nine batters in the six starts before that. He’s also allowed a home run in each of his last two starts, after going five straight starts without allowing any home runs. The Yankees have the following career numbers against Peterson:
- Cody Bellinger 0-4, K
- Trent Grisham 1-4, K
- Aaron Judge 0-1, BB
- DJ LeMahieu 0-1, BB
- Anthony Volpe 1-3, 2 K
Max Fried is living up to his massive eight year, $218 million deal. Over 56 2/3 innings (nine starts), he has a 1.11 ERA (league leading), 2.85 FIP, 0.935 WHIP and a 356 ERA+ (league leading). From late April to early May he went three consecutive starts without allowing a run. The good news for the Mets is he has allowed runs in back-to-back starts (two runs in 12 innings, 13 strikeouts). Fried held the Mets scoreless and hitless over seven innings in his only start against them in 2024, but this was also during the Mets free falling month of May. The Mets have the following career numbers against Fried:
- Pete Alonso 10-36, 2B, 2 HR, 6 BB, 12 K
- Francisco Alvarez 1-4
- José Azócar 2-4
- Brett Baty 2-6, 3 K
- Francisco Lindor 3-28, HR, 6 K
- Starling Marte 4-21, 2 2B, BB, 5 K
- Jeff McNeil 10-31, 3 2B, BB, 6 K
- Brandon Nimmo 3-27, 2 2B, 5 BB, 11 K
- Juan Soto 9-27, 2B, 5 BB, 9 K
- Tyrone Taylor 2-7, 2 K
Three Things To Watch For:
- Pete Alonso. Pete Alonso, the best hitter on the Mets by OPS, is the key player for tonight’s game. Friday night he went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts. Saturday he went 2-for-4 with a double and an RBI. When he hits well the Mets win ball games because the people in front of him are getting on base. Alonso also has terrific career numbers against Fried who has been cruising through lineups this season.
- Aaron Judge. Judge feasted on the Mets Friday, but Saturday was a different story. Judge went 0-for-5 at the plate with three strikeouts lowering in his batting average to .402 (which is insane to type out). The Mets just need to keep him contained for one more game.
- Who is available in the Mets pen? The Mets needed to use three high leverage relievers yesterday (Garrett, Brazobán, and Díaz), all throwing between 17 and 23 pitches. All three pitchers had at least three days of rest before yesterday’s game, so they may having something in the tank for today. Ryne Stanek hasn’t pitched since Tuesday and it feels likely we’ll see him at some point tonight.
Let’s go Mets!
