The Mets are on a roll! They enter play today in first place with a 10-5 record, powered by a 7-2 record when facing teams with a winning percentage above .500. The Mets shut out the Athletics yesterday 8-0, led by Kodai Senga’s masterful seven innings of work. The score hides that the Mets struggled for most of the game, not scoring until the sixth inning, and the bulk of the scoring happening in the 9th inning. The batters will need to be on point tonight as the Mets take on Joe Ryan.
Clay Holmes has allowed nine runs, seven earned, over 14 2/3 innings this season while striking out 20 batters (4.30 ERA, 2.32 FIP, 1.705 WHIP and a 90 ERA+). He allowed four runs over 5 1/3 innings in his last start against the Marlins. That line hides how he gave up two runs early, cruised through his next four innings, then allowed two more in the sixth. He faced the Twins twice in 2024 holding them to one hit and no runs over two innings. The Twins have the following career numbers against Holmes:
- Harrison Bader 1-2, 2B
- Byron Buxton 0-2, BB, K
- Willi Castro 1-2
- Carlos Correa 1-3, 2B, K
- Ty France 1-6, 2 K
- Edouard Julien 0-1
Joe Ryan has a 2.65 ERA, 3.47 FIP, 0.706 WHIP and a 156 ERA+ over three starts and 17 innings this year. His starts are either terrific (one run over 12 innings) or terrible (four runs over five innings, allowing two home runs) in 2025. Ryan is coming off of a solid year where he made 23 starts totaling 135 innings with a 3.60 ERA, 3.44 FIP, 0.985 WHIP and a 116 ERA+. Only two Mets have seen Joe Ryan in an official game:
- Juan Soto 0-3, 2 K
- Jesse Winker 0-3, BB, K
Three Things To Watch For:
- Positive signs for struggling hitters. Brett Baty made a few amazing defensive plays yesterday and went 1-for-5 at the plate with a run and an RBI. Acuña also went 1-for-5, scoring the first run on the game. He turned on his jets running from first all the way home on an a Lindor single. The top of the lineup is revving up for the Mets, but the bottom of the lineup stalls out. The Mets need at least one of their struggling hitters to go on a hot streak this week.
- Keep the momentum going. The Mets went 3-for-12 Sunday with runners in scoring position, bringing the total to the weekend series to 5-for-31. Not great. After not scoring for the first five innings on Sunday, the Mets scored in the sixth, seventh, eighth and ninth inning to win 8-0. Hopefully this carries over today!
- Hit By Pitch. The Mets have already been hit by eight pitches this year, tied for eighth in baseball with the Royals and Orioles. Joe Ryan is leading the league with four hit by pitches this season. That’s slightly more than one per start. This is not a narrative we necessarily want to follow, but one that seems probably tonight.
Let’s Go Mets!
