2017 Projections Review – Yoenis Cespedes

It’s our last hitter in this series! Tomorrow we’ll start reviewing pitchers vs their projections. Cespedes was going to be the critical piece to last year’s success. Then the entire rotation got injured and the lineup didn’t matter as much. Once Cespedes got going last year, he took off, but this was short lived as injuries bounced him back and forth a bit before completely taking him out.

Yoenis Cespedes
PA AB R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
2016 543 479 72.00 31 86 3 0.28 0.354 0.53
Projections
MLB.com 555 87.00 33 97 4 0.286 0.345 0.533
Steamer 532 73.00 28 84 4 0.263 0.322 0.481
ZiPS 596 83.00 30 95 5 0.266 0.317 0.498
ESPN 87.00 32 98 5 0.275
Baseball Prospectus 602 74.00 28 86 5 0.261 0.317 0.475
Sporting News 560 80.00 30 92 4 0.273 0.33 0.493
NBC Rotoworld 547 88.00 32 95 5 0.271 0.333 0.506
Rotowire 551 85.00 31 95 5 0.279 0.333 0.517
Baseball America 594 79.00 27 88 5 0.274 0.324 0.473
FBG 2017 546 84.00 31 93 5 0.273
Average 599 555 82 30.2 92.3 4.7 0.2721 0.327625 0.497

2017 Stats:
81 G, 321 PA, 291 AB, 46 R, 85 H, 17 2B, 17 HR, .292 BA, .352 OBP, .540 SLG

Cespedes would have shattered his projected numbers if he played a full season instead of a half one. By the time he was sidelined, he was hitting 20 points above his projection, getting on base 25 points higher and slugging over 40 points higher. Not a single projection thought he would get to his average and OBP from the 2016 season, let alone surpass those numbers. MLB.com gave him the best shot.

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