Conforto! The Mets 2017 All-Star! The outfielder who the Mets didn’t mark as a starter on Opening Day. Conforto was having a career year until he swung so hard that he literally tore himself, knocking him out until realistically May of this year. Let’s take a look at the 2017 projections and then the 2017 stats.
| Michael Conforto | |||||||||
| PA | AB | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | |
| 2016 | 348 | 478 | 68.00 | 21 | 68 | 2 | 0.238 | 0.319 | 0.448 |
| Projections | |||||||||
| MLB.com | 220 | 34.00 | 9 | 31 | 2 | 0.255 | 0.328 | 0.441 | |
| Steamer | 293 | 37.00 | 13 | 43 | 3 | 0.256 | 0.329 | 0.451 | |
| ZiPS | 558 | 77.00 | 24 | 80 | 2 | 0.251 | 0.324 | 0.466 | |
| ESPN | 49.00 | 15 | 51 | 3 | 0.259 | ||||
| Baseball Prospectus | 324 | 39.00 | 13 | 44 | 2 | 0.253 | 0.329 | 0.454 | |
| Sporting News | 510 | 62.00 | 23 | 77 | 4 | 0.261 | 0.332 | 0.455 | |
| NBC Rotoworld | 335 | 49.00 | 18 | 58 | 2 | 0.265 | 0.339 | 0.482 | |
| Rotowire | 349 | 50.00 | 15 | 52 | 3 | 0.261 | 0.338 | 0.473 | |
| Baseball America | 460 | 60.00 | 16 | 58 | 3 | 0.241 | 0.31 | 0.411 | |
| FBG 2017 | 507 | 72.00 | 19 | 72 | 3 | 0.264 | |||
| Average | 441 | 382 | 52.9 | 16.5 | 56.6 | 2.7 | 0.2566 | 0.328625 | 0.454125 |
2017 Stats:
109 G, 440 PA, 373 AB, 72 R, 104 H, 20 2B, 27 HR, .279 BA, .384 OBP, .555 SLG
The projections did a good job nailing down the amount of playing time Conforto would receive. It’s disappointing though how wrong the average was about him. He hit about 20 points higher, got on base 60 points higher than projected and slugged more than 100 points above the average projection. Even Baseball Prospectus was wrong about Conforto’s success. ZiPS was the closest with a slugging only 90 points off and at least having him hit 24 homers (even though that was low).
The Mets 2018 depends on a healthy Conforto. Hopefully the Mets signing of Bruce will allow the Mets to not rush Conforto’s return.
