You might have heard about Matt Harvey. Got off to a great start in 2013, derailed by a shoulder injury, coming back this year, etc. Anyway, a lot of hopes for this season rely on how much Matt Harvey can be like Matt Harvey. Lets remind ourselves of his last major league stat line:
2013 Stats: 9-5, 26 G, 178.1 IP, 191 K, 31 BB, 0.93 WHIP, 2.27 ERA
Let’s see how the computers think the Dark Knight will respond this year:
PECOTA (BP): 2-2, 7 G, 39 IP, 40 K, 11 BB, 1.09 WHIP, 2.85 ERA
PECOTA (MLB.com): 10-8, 151.1 IP, 152 K, 43 BB, 1.09 WHIP, 2.91 ERA
MLB.com: 10-7, 170.0 IP, 191 K, 37 BB, 1.08 WHIP, 3.07 ERA
ZiPS: 25 G, 153 IP, 140 K, 49 BB, 3.12 ERA
Steamer: 9-7, 23 G, 144 IP, 158 K, 39 BB, 3.00 ERA
ESPN: 11-6, 172 K, 1.10 WHIP, 3.04 ERA
Average: 8.4-6, 131.3 IP, 142 K, 35.8 BB, 1.09 WHIP, 2.998 ERA
The computers average together an ERA of about 3, which what I will be happy to see out of Harvey this year. I’m also pleased that the computers feel he will maintain a strong with WHIP though out the season,in fact it is the only stat they were all pretty much in agreement with. Surprisingly, PECOTA in the BP annual does not feel the Mets will get much out of Harvey at all.
