It's too early to panic.
The Mets are off to a very rough start to the 2011 season with a 6-13 record, currently the worst in the majors, however it is too early to panic. During this time time, there have been a lot of calls to start to dismantle to the team while the value for Reyes is at its highest, and I think we all need to take a deep breath and take a step back for a second.
What we have is a 19 game sample, from 162 game season, and it is way too early to start extrapolating numbers from it. Before we look at the Mets as a team. Let's look at the 2007 Mets. They had a phenomenal April, however once Mary rolled around, they went on cruise control for the rest of the season. That ended with their cushion being dismantled in a terrible collapse at the end of the season. However, if we went just by their April numbers, they were above and beyond the best team and baseball.
Let's focus on this 2011 squad. These first 19 games have featured two statistical anomalies for the Amazin's which have had a devastating negative impact. Pagan is batting around .150 and Wright is batting around .240. I'm not saying that we expect both of them to have career years, but it is safe to assume that on a conservative estimate, Wright should be hitting .290 and Pagan at least .280. A combination of them returning to their average numbers, plus the return of Jason Bay, which we saw last night, should bring this offense around to at least being competitive.
The starting pitching has to come around as well. Over the last week it started to flash potential, but with 0 bats behind it, it just fell apart.
What I'm saying is, there is too much talent on this team to assume that we are going to continue with this 6-13 record, and it is way to early to start thinking of blowing this team up.
