Mets Breakfast: The Animal

Some quick hits to go with your Wednesday morning blueberry oatmeal:

1) The Animal arrived in New York! The Mets were down in last night's game at one point by the score of 6-1 and the Mets were able to put together a key, 12-man hitting ralley that sent 6 runners across the plate. The ralley was first kept alive and give a new dimension by Cora's smart bunt for hit. Then, in his first appearence as a Met, Chris “The Animal” Carter hit a go-ahead double as the Mets took one from the Nationals.

2) The two previous games the Mets showed fight, although it wasn't reflected in the win column. Last night it was.

3) In case you were wondering, progress is being made on the redesign for this website. The new look is still on schedule for the end of the month.

4) Scott Boras is set to represent a 17-year old, 93-mph throwing, Korean pitcher.

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Game Preview: Nationals vs Mets

The Mets look to bounce back from last night's close game with a win tonight as they take on the Nationals for game two. The Mets pitching for the most part was effective last night, but the difference in the game came from the Mets not being able to take advantage of scoring opportunities. The Mets were able to scratch out a run in the bottom of the ninth on the Pagan solo blast, but were not able to get another run in to tie the game. Tonight the Mets will send out Niese to try to team the Nationals, who counter with Olsen.

Niese is 1-1 on the year over 6 games and 35 innings pitched with a 3.60 ERA. In his last three games, he has pitched 18.1 innings with an ERA of 2.95. Niese has never played the Nationals in his short career but he has faced a few of the Nationals hitters:

Coste 1-3
Morgan 2-3
Pudge 1-3

What has made Niese effective is his ability to not only to mix his pitches, but merging his pitches to come out of the same release point. When his curveball does not come out of the same slot as the fastball, thats when he starts to get lit up. He just needs to avoid that situation from arising.

Over five games this season, Olsen is 2-1 with a 3.54 ERA. However, he has been devestating in his last three games where he has pitched 20.1 innings and has an ERA of 0.44. Last season he faced the Mets once allowing 2 ER in 6 innings of work. Over his career, the Mets have been able to put these numbers on him:

Reyes 15-39, 5 2B, 3B, HR
Wright 10-35, 5 2B, 3 HR
Francoeur 7-29, 3 2B, 1 3B, 2 HR
Bay 1-11

Those numbers look good. Lets Go Mets! Beat the Nats!

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Baseball Physics: The Rising Fastball

During the Mets broadcast last Saturday, the booth got into a discussion about rising fastballs where they jokingly said to put Physicists in the batters box and have them tell you that fastball doesn't rise. This is in reference to how baseball players always quote that fastballs can rise and where Physicists explain that a pitcher cannot apply enough backspin to a fastball to get the pitch to literally rise.

Why do some fastballs appear to rise? Being a physicist* in training, I feel comfortable stating that fastballs do not actually rise.

In order understand this statement we have to first remember a very important point, one that is focused on by Professor Robert K. Adair, Sterling Professor Emeritus of Physics at Yale (elementary particles and forces of nature), and also the author of The Physics of Baseball. No matter what any observer believes they see at a game (baseball player, fans, announcer) a player can never actually throw the ball flat. Even a strong arm throw across the diamond, has some curve (as in curve up and down) to it because of forces that act on baseball. This curvature though can be seen as flat because over short distances, it appears flat (similar to how the Earth can appear to be flat).

A fastball can have a very noticeable drop to it. However, because of a psychological frame of reference, one that does not have a lot of drop is referred to as flat. These balls that are “flat” actually are dropping but baseball hitters, see a lot of fastballs, and that in their minds might as well be flat, the zero line if you will. A pitch without a lot of drop appears to be zero, everything else, mainly breaking balls, are then negative.

Fastballs can be thrown with backspin. This backspin, which Adair says can usually be around 1200 to 1800 rpm (rotations per minute), allows the fastball to not drop as much as it would normally. The batter then see's this fastball above his “zero line”. To the batter, the fastball now has a positive drop or has actually risen. But that “zero line” is just a mental construct, it still is dropping, just dropping less than the average fastball. In a game of centimeters and milliseconds, this slight difference in drop can make a major difference.

To drive this point home, take a look at this image:

(From Michael Richmond, RIT)

The above graphic shows the trajectories of fastballs, one with a good amount of backspin to it. As you can see, the black line represents the zero line in terms of flatness so the red line shows how the trajectory changes.

It also key to note about rising fastballs that there are some fastballs that do actually rise. I know I said earlier that they don't, but there is a situation where they do in fact rise. If a pitcher is throwing side arm or lower, than the pitcher has to throw the ball up. In that case, the ball does actually rise. However, in the normal sense, most pitchers are only throwing down and these are pitchers that are usually referred as having “rising fastballs”. Side-armers rising fastballs do not have the same affect as fake rising fastballs, because the batter knows that the trajectory of the ball from a side-armer will be up and then down, or just up. 

*I am currently a Junior Physics and Astrophysics double major at the University of Maryland.

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Mets Breakfast: Two Close Losses In a Row Edition

Some quick hits to go with your Tuesday morning Frosted Flakes:

1) The Mets once again showed fight but fell a bit short as they lost to the Nationals by the score of 3-2 last night. Highlight though, Pagan hit his second homer of the season.

2) Well this is embarrassing.

3) I'm sure that you all out there, at some point during the last week or so, have asked yourself: Why is Frankie C on the team? or Why is GMJ on the team? Well the Mets finally listened, sort of, and DFA'd Frankie C and his well below .200 BA and replaced him with Chris Carter, who should have been here since the start of the season, but thats another gripe session.

4) Blanco is on the bereavement list. Our thoughts and prayers at 213 MFS go out to him and his family. Thole has been called up in the mean time (probably not Santos due to options issues).

5) Fantastic News! Piazza informed the New York Times yesterday that if he gets a call to the Hall, he wants to wear a Mets hat.

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Game Preview: Nationals vs Mets

The Mets start another home series tonight, this time against the Nationals. The Nationals find themselves in probably the best season since they moved down to DC as they come into New York with a 17-14 record, which is the same as the Mets. Anyway the Mets will send out Maine tonight as the Nationals will send out Atilano.

Maine has really started to turn things around in his last few starts as in his last started he pitched 6 innings, ER, and had 6 K's. In the start before that he went 6 innings, allowed 2 ER and had 9 K's. Anyway last season he pitched 3 games with a 2-1 record and a 4.80 ERA. Anyway, the Nationals have these stats on Maine (career):

Zimmerman 6-34, 2 2B, HR, 7 K
Dunn 2-10
Guzman 0-13
Harris 1-9, 2B

Atilano was called up recently and has been pretty good for the Nationals. The 25 year old has pitched in three games so far this season with an ERA of 4.67 and has a 2-0 record. From looking at his statistics, the way the Mets might be able to get to Luis is being patient. In 17.1 innings pitched, he has allowed 18 hits and has walked 10 batters. Eventually those types of numbers will lead to trouble. The Mets have also been starting to hit with fight recently (in other words, hitting to scrap together runs). This could potentially be a great combination for the Mets.

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Ike Davis Facts

There's a new website being forwarded around these days, and its Ike Davis Facts. The website is based on the Chuck Norris Fact fad which consisted of absurd statements about how amazing Chuck Norris is. For example, Chuck Norris can slam a revolving door. Anyway this internet sensation then transferred to other things like Endy Chavez and Lastings Milledge. It has now taken aim at Ike Davis, and the results are quite funny.

If you have a few minutes, you should really check out the site. Here are a few of my favorites:

1) Ike Davis has yet to take an at bat, and already has a fact site.
2) Ike Davis counted to infinity, twice.
3) Ike Davis ordered a Big Mac at Burger King, and got one.
4) Shea Bridge has been closed indefinitely for repairs after being struck by Ike Davis’ mammoth home run.

It is a fun website, so check it out!


Oh, the memories. (Image from Fantasy Baseball Nonsense)
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Mets Breakfast

Some quick hits go with your Monday morning Shredded Wheat:

1) The Mets have fight. Although they couldn't pull out the win yesterday, they did come from 4 runs down to lead it, before blowing it again. That fight can take the Mets far this season.

2) The Mets will begin a series with the Nationals tonight and both teams will be coming into tonight's game with identical records.

3) Dallas Braden pitched a perfect game yesterday.

4) Don't Tase Me Bro! Over the weekend, a Tiger Wood's heckler had to be tasered by Police.

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Game Preview: Giants vs Mets

For two straight days, the Mets have won with walk-off homers as they clinched a series win against the San Francisco Giants. Today they try to step on the neck of the Giants by completing a three game sweep against one of the best pitchers in the game, Tim Lincecum. So far in this series, the Mets have gotten the lead, then lost it, then fought back in order to win it, using their new found ability to hit homers.

The Mets will be countering Lincecum with Oliver Perez. Perez is still searching for his first win of the season (0-2) but has a 4.05 ERA. He had a pretty effective start his last time out as he pitched 6 innings, allowed 6 hits but only 2 earned runs while walking 4 and striking out 4. Perez hasn't faced the Giants since 2008, where he went 0.1 innings and allowed 6 ER (that would be an ERA of 162.0). Anyway these are the numbers the Giants have on Perez in his career:

Renteria 10-33, 2 2B
Rowand 5-14, 2 2B
DeRosa 5-9, 3 2B, HR
Uribe 1-9
Huff 0-3
Lewis 0-3

Lincecum so far this season has been typical (4-0, 1.70 ERA). However last season, there were two teams he struggled against, and the Mets were one of them. Now there is only one statistical point, so don't get too excited, but he pitched 6 innings against the Mets allowing 5 ER runs. The Mets have these career numbers against the Freak:

Wright 2-8
Francoeur 2-13, HR
Reyes 2-6
Bay 1-3

It can be a tough day for the Mets, but its not impossible. Lets Go Mets! Get that sweep!

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Mets Breakfast: Walk Off 2 Edition

Some quick hits to go with your Sunday morning Brain Muffin:

1) The Mets, who didn't hit any walk off homers in Citi last season, did it for a second time, in as many days, with a player in the same position, yesterday. Where as Barajas did it on Friday, Blanco did it yesterday. As Kevin Burkhardt said, the story could not be scripted any better. Molina comes into New York, says he wants to be here and then both of the Mets newly signed catchers hit walk off's to clinch the series for the Mets.

2) Yesterday's win mean the Mets have clinched another home series, this time against a team who was first place in their division at the start of the series. The Mets will now have face the ace of the staff in order to complete the sweep. That being said, if the Giants get another bat, I would not want to face them in the playoffs where they could have 3 of their 4 “aces” in the rotation and one in the pen. That would be devastating.

3) Tex on the Yanks tied or broke some sort of Gehrig record. All I know is its blocking the press for a second straight day for featuring the walk off talent's of the Mets catching staff on the back of New York papers.

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Game Preview: Giants vs Mets

The Mets and Giants play an early afternoon game where the Mets look to build off of their thrilling win last night. The Mets were able to to pound out 4 homers last night (including the second time this season that was done via two players hitting two homers each and the third time that Barajas had a two homer game). Last night the Mets saw Pelfrey rebound from his poor outing last week to pitch effectively, and this afternoon, the Mets will be hoping that Santana will be able to do the same.

Santana (3-2, 4.50 ERA) was fairly terrible in his last outing. However, that just happens. It should happen, and that's not an excuse for it happening, but it does happen. Anyway, Santana looks to rebound tonight and be Johan Santana. He wasn't great though against the Giants last season as he had a 1-0 recod over 13.2 innings and a 5.27 ERA against San Fran. Anyway, here are some stats the Giants have on Santana:

Rowand 13-44, 2B, 2 HR
Huff 6-21, 2B, 3B, 2 HR
DeRosa 1-13
Sandoval 5-7, 2 2B, HR
Lewis 1-7, 2B

The key for Santana is the same as it always is. Keep the ball in the park. Thats where he failed last week and its where he needs to succeed today.

The Mets will have to contend with Wellemeyer (1-3, 5.55 ERA). Wellemeyer has not been effective this season, with the exception of his last start where he went 7 innings allowing only 2 runs against the Phillies. Last year against the Mets, in two games, he was 0-1 over 12.2 innings with a 6.39 ERA (9 ER). The Mets have been able to put up these numbers on Todd over the years:

Bay 3-16, 2 HR
Wright 8-11, 2B (Yes you read that correctly, he has a .727 BA against Todd)
Reyes 4-12
Castillo 5-9, 2B, 3B
Francoeur 2-5, HR

Lets Go Mets! Beat the Giants!

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