Could the Mets Benefit from a Crowded Free Agent Pitching Market in 2013?

The Mets rotation, for better or for worse, is set for 2012: Santana (or replacement), Pelfrey, Dickey, Gee and Niese. The Mets also look between the end of this year and 2014 to add several young pitchers, like Familia, Harvey, Wheeler and maybe Mejia.

So I wonder if the Mets could benefit from what will be a crowded All-Star pitching Free Agent market next season. With Edwin Jackson signing a one year deal today, and Oswalt predicting to sign one, that means these pitchers will join Matt Cain, Anibal Sanchez, Zach Grienke, and Cole Hamels next year on the market (credit: MLB Trade Rumors for the information).

That list has a lot of players, looking for long term deals. This year’s market saw one pitcher, Edwin Jackson, kill his hunt for a long multi-year deal to try the market again for next season. With 6 strong starters currently on the market for next season, one has to wonder if there is enough room for ALL of them to sign long term deals.

Maybe one of them looks to pull what Edwin Jackson did this season. If that happens, the Mets should jump on that opportunity. It would be a small time investmetn, albeit expensive, for a player who will be competing for a contract all season long. The Mets will be looking for pitchers not to clog the rotation for young starters, and it would be good for the Mets young starters to be around these pitchers.

Right now, the Mets by far have the worst rotation in the division. Our rotation isn’t terrible, but everyone else has one that ranks “Very Good” or better, or just doesn’t have as many health question marks. Thinking on a multiyear level, the Mets could set themselves up nicely for 2014, 2015 if they play their cards right before the 2013 season.

This, of course, comes down to finances. The Mets are projected right now to the have the largest single season drop in payroll in MLB history, but with minority shares getting ready to be sold, and the debt hopefully about the paid off, maybe by the grace of the baseball Gods the Mets will be able to correctly invest in their own team again.

Posted in Main Page | Leave a comment

Happy Five Years!

I don’t have long to mark this special occasion, so maybe I will later on this week (I’m a high school teacher an the first semester is coming to a conclusion today) but I wanted to drop a note about the fifth year anniversary of this website!

It was five years ago today that I started this website as a way to vent about being a Mets fan, and I wanted to thank all of you who read this website and share in the experience with me.

One thing that is hard to believe is that I was the same age as my students right now when I started this website.

Another item that is hard to believe is the difference between the Mets then and now. I started this website after the let down of 2006, without the darkness of 2007 and 2008 ahead. Without the injuries of 2009 and 2010. With no knowledge of the mediocrity of 2011. With no hint of financial disaster that would smear over several seasons. This website was born in the peak of the Minaya era and is now in the sitting in the largest budget reduction in baseball history.

It has been an interesting five years. Thank you for your support and I hope to continue to bring baseball commentary to you for years to come.

 

-Elliot Teichman

Posted in Main Page | Leave a comment

Get To Know a Mets Minor League Player: Vinny Rottino

Our journey through the Mets minor league system, 40-man roster and non-roster Spring invites continue today as we look at another player in the latter group, Vinny Rottino. Rottino is a veteran who has had minor league (and a little major league experience) at a collection of positions including pinch hitting, catching, the corner infield positions and in the outfield. Rottino was signed in 2003 by the Brewers as an amateur (un-drafted) free agent. He was traded at the 2009 trade deadline to the Dodgers for Claudio Vargas. At the end of 2009 he signed a contract with the Marlins and then signed a contract this year with the Mets.

Rottino’s statistics have up-ticked recently. In the early 2000’s he had 4 seasons in a row where he batted .299 or better, and then slipped from that point. In the last two seasons in the minors, he has hit above .300:

2010: 441 AB, 68 R, 136 H, 27 2B, 3 3B, 8 HR, .308 BA, .390 OBP
2011: 467 AB, 81 R, 142 H, 31 2B, 2 2B, 10 HR, .304 BA, .374 OBP

Since Rottino is not on the 40 man, it will be very difficult for him to make the team coming out of camp. His age provides probably the largest road block for his call up this year. For him to make it to the bigs, in any month not September, he has to first be added to the 40 man and show the Mets that he deserves playing time over Captain Kirk and F-Mart. The only way that happens is if the Mets are in the playoff hunt, need a hitter, and Rottino is doing better than those two, any one on the Mets bench and Pascucci.

However, if the Mets need to go through their depth chart this year, he could be the type of player they can use. I like the Rottino signing because he adds good depth to the system at a cheap price and allows the Mets to have options before diving into their prospects that won’t be ready yet.

Posted in Main Page, Minor League Players | 1 Comment

Get To Know a Mets Minor League Player: Juan Lagares

Juan Lagares is a member of the Mets’ large group of young, far away prospects. Lagares has been in the Mets system since 2006 when he was only 17 years old (played in the Mets Dominican Team). Since then he has worked up the Mets system, reaching AA last season. In terms of his progression since playing in America (2007), his batting average and power (doubles, homers, SLG) have improved every season (with the exception of 2009, where his power dipped a bit).

Statistically speaking, last season was by far his best as he destroyed A+ ball, and then did even better at the AA level:

St. Lucie: 308 AB, 51 R, 104 H, 15 2B, 6 3B, 7 HR, .338 BA, .380 OBP, .494 SLG
B-Mets: 162 AB,  21 R, 60 H, 11 2B, 3 3B, 2 HR, .371 BA, .391 OBP, .512 SLG

In his last season, his hitting pace really increased as did his slugging. There has been a lot of buzz that Juan is knocking down the door to be named a top 10 prospect in the Mets system, and it will probably happen if he has another year in AA like he did last season. In 2012 he’ll be 23 and with a positive year, depending on how positive and the health of the Mets, he could be looking at a late season call up, to competing for a spot on the 2013 roster (and entering starting talk in 2014).

Experts are crediting his jump in numbers to his plate discipline. He tabled his free swinging nature, and if he can consistently do that, he could turn himself into an interesting player for the Mets. Mainly by 2014, the Mets OF picture could look very different than it does today, and with the crop of players he is coming up with, his stock could land him as a trade candidate.

Posted in Main Page, Minor League Players | 1 Comment

Get To Know a Mets Minor League Player: Adam Loewen

When Adam Loewen made his debut in 2006, he made history. It wasn’t about what he did, but more about who he faced. In his first four starts he drew Roy Halladay twice, Tom Glavine, and Randy Johnson. I remember these starts and the excitement about his arrival to the majors since I was living in Baltimore back in 2006. Alas, he is not the same player that he was in 2006, and that is due to his new position. He came up through the Orioles farm system as a starting pitcher, and after the 2008 season, due to injuries he started his transition to become an Outfielder. Loewen then signed with the Blue Jays and during the  Minors he put up these numbers as a hitter:

2009: 335 AB, 47 R, 79 H, 22 2B, 3 3B, 4 HR, .236 BA, .340 OBP
2010: 459 AB, 70 R, 113 H, 31 2B, 3 3B, 13 HR, .246 BA, .351 OBP
2011: 520 AB, 83 R, 159 H,  46 2B, 4 2B, 17 HR, .306 BA, .377 OBP

His year in the Minors earned him a short stint in the majors:

2011: 32 AB, 4 R, 6 H, 1 2B, 1 HR, .188 BA, .297 OBP

Despite his struggles in a limited exposure in the majors, he crushed it at AAA last season. I doubt he will make it with the team up north to start the season, since he is also not on the 40 man, but if he does well in spring and starts off well in the minors, then he might work his way onto the Mets depth chart which is crowded with players with similar numbers and similar ceilings.

Posted in Main Page, Minor League Players | Leave a comment

Mets Reasons to be Excited About 2012 Part 1: Youthful Spring

It is really easy to be discouraged by 2012. Like really easy. Like wanting to go to sleep until 2014 easy.

However, there are some reasons to be excited about 2012, and almost all of them revolve around the youth movement that will start to hit the team this year and through the 2014 season. This all starts with Spring Training this year.

Spring is usually a time when we are filled with hope and optimism, looking at key new additions to the ball club and trying to predict what will happen in the year to come. This season, there really are no key additions to get really excited about during Spring (the closest is our new closer situation, but that isn’t really exciting).

The excitement for Spring this year is centered around the youth of the Minor League system. Primarily:
– Matt Harvey
– Wilmer Flores
– Jesus Familia
– Many More

What we have this year is the unknown we like to have. What do we have in the minor league system? How high are their individual ceilings? Will they make a large enough impact in spring to see a 2012 call up? What will 2013 look like?

This Spring, in a positive view, is really the Spring of discovery for the Mets. The Mets have a farm system that is largely looked down upon, because it looks thin behind the 2012 ETA’ers, which may only include Matt Harvey. The Mets system, in recent history, has been pretty bland so now we have a Spring to look at the multitude of surprising players the Mets may have. It is not only a time to look at potential new pieces, but to look at potential new trading chips, that with a little maturing (2013, 2014) could bring some major pieces to Flushing.

In a nutshell, that is the first reason why I’m excited for 2012. I’m excited to see what players the Mets are ready to develop.

One statement I have always stood by is I rather lose with youth, than lose with veterans. I want to win, but if losing is inevitable, then lets do it with youth, and let’s start to mix in some prospects (when they are ready, no rush jobs this year, please).

Posted in Main Page | 1 Comment

Get To Know A Mets Minor League Player: Val Pascucci

Val (Valetino) Pascucci is a Minor League Veteran, who is on the outside looking this Spring. Pascucci put together a really strong 2011 season, but he is not on the 40-man roster, so for him to break spring with the Mets going North, he is going to have to have a really strong Spring Training. Val is 33 years old and led all of the Mets system in RBI with 91 and was second in the Mets system with 21 homers. He also finished the season with a brief stint with the major league club:

Minors: 443 AB, 58 R, 117 H, 29 2B, 1 3B, 21 HR, 91 RBI, .264 BA, .375 OBP
Majors: 11 AB, 1 R, 3 H, 1 HR

What Pascucci has going for him, is what he has always had going for him. He packs some pop in his back. In fact, back in 2007 he had 34 minor league homers. In his time in the Minors, he has smacked 234 balls over the wall.

He first started in the Minors way back in 1999 at the age of 20. He came up through the Montreal system where he debuted in 2004. After the 2004 season, he was released by the newly minted Washington Nationals and went to Japan until 2007. He then signed with the Cubs in January of 2007, only to be released by them in March. The Marlins then signed him, and then after 2007 he returned to free agency, where he signed with the Phillies. At the end of April in 2008, he was released by the Phillies, where he was actually signed by the Mets. At the end of the 2008 season, he went back to free agency where he was picked up by the Dodgers. In June of 2009 he was released by the Dodgers and then he signed with the Padres. Finally, before the start of the 2010 season, he was signed by the Mets, again and then resigned by the Mets this offseason.

The purpose of the above paragraph is to show how he has traveled quite a bit, and has played for several teams in the NL East including the Expos, Phillies, Marlins, and the Mets twice. Realistically, he needs a monster spring to show the Mets that he is a powerful option to have coming off of the bench.

Posted in Main Page, Minor League Players | 1 Comment

Get To Know a Mets Minor League Player: Garrett Olson

Garrett Olson (28 years old) was a former first round pick (supplemental round – pick 48) by the Baltimore Orioles in the 2005 draft. I was still living in Baltimore when he made his professional debut in 2007, and there was a lot of local hype around Olson (at the time, the Orioles were looking for hope anywhere and everywhere, and to some degree, still are). He struggled as a starter for two seasons as an Oriole, but before we get to his numbers, and his development as a player, his travels are equally interesting.

As stated before, he debuted with the Orioles in 2007. In January of 2009, he was traded with another Minor Leaguer to the Cubs for Felix Pie. Only 10 days after that, he was flipped to the Mariners, with Ronny Cedeno for our good friend, Aaron Heilman. This past March he was selected off of waivers by the Pirates, and then more recently, he signed a minor league contract with the New York Mets.

Since coming up to the majors, Olson has struggled as a starter. The Mariners were the first team to try him out as a reliever with moderate success. His numbers in the majors were never really great (last year’s 2.08 ERA was just over 4.1 innings). For the most part his numbers have been bad. However, he did show some promise in the minor leagues this year:

2011: 24 G, 15 GS, 85.2 IP, 3.05 ERA, 4.9 BB/9, 6.4 K/9

His stint in the minors last year shows two things. First, if he has to, he can be a starter. Second, he could also be an interesting reliever. For the Mets, he isn’t on the 40 man roster, so it will be difficult for him to break camp with the Mets after Spring Training. The only way I see this happening is:

  1. He is tried as a starter during the Spring, blows away his competition (Hefner, James) and the Mets have an open rotation spot for him
  2. He dominates the bullpen crowd, including the players on the 40-man trying to get on the 25 man
Similar to Chuck James, if I were the Mets, I would try him as a starter first in Spring, and then move him to the pen if necessary. At the end of the day, he is still a first round pick, and he is still young. You never know what you get with these types of signings.
Posted in Main Page, Minor League Players | Leave a comment

Relive The Mets “Glory Year”

Back again with two more gems from the Baseball Hall of Fame’s Shop. While going through their merchandise, I ran across these two items. With this hat and this shirt, you can remember the good times when the thought of a Mets dynasty in the NL East was a little less than a crazy pipe dream, Willie Randolph, a young David Wright and Jose Reyes, a 40 homer machine in Carlos Beltran, the rotating rotation, the hope for Oliver Perez, etc.

I think I’m just shocked that these still exist.
Especially the hat, back in 2006, the hat that was easiest to find was the one for the Division Series, and not the once that said Division Champs.

Posted in Main Page | 1 Comment

Get To Know A Mets Minor League Player: Chuck James

If Chuck James sounds familiar, that’s because you remember him as a pitcher on the Braves. Chuck James was signed to a minor league contract this offseason by the Mets and is next in line with Jeremy Hefner on the outside looking in for a spot in the rotation this season. As already described in an earlier post, the Mets rotation is probably set right now, with Santana’s mark being the current question mark. Both Hefner and James could step in for the next available role, so who ever performs better in the spring will get the spot.

Chuck debuted with the Braves in 2005. He had a very successful 2006 season where he posted a 3.78 ERA in 116 innings of work. His 2006 season was OK, his ERA was good at 4.24, but he allowed a lot of homers (32) over 161 innings of work. 2008 was a bad season for James as he bounced around from the minors and the majors, while posting a 8.10 ERA in the majors. During the 2010 offseason, the Nationals signed him to a minor league deal, where he recorded his second straight season without making it back to the majors. The next offseason he signed with the Twins, where he spent time in the minors and the majors:

Minors: 38 G, 0 GS, 62.0 IP, 2.30 ERA, 9.6 K/9
Majors:  8 G, 10.1 IP, 6.10 ERA, 7.0 K/9

He put up great numbers in the minors as a reliever last year, just couldn’t match it in a limited exposure setting in the majors. I am really curious to see what the Mets decide to do with James in the Spring. If I had to guess, he would start off as a starter, since starters only pitched 2 to 3 innings at the beginning of Spring anyway. If he has success, then they will continue to stretch his arm out as a starter. If he has sorta success (like earlier in his “starts” but not in the latter part), then I think they will switch him back to a reliever to try out for a spot in the pen. If it doesn’t work, then he will probably get sent right back to the minors.

James is a good low risk, high reward sign. This is the type of move I like this time of year because it yield great reward without strain on the major league roster / budget.

Posted in Main Page, Minor League Players | Leave a comment