What a difference a half a week makes for the Colorado Rockies. Last weekend the Mets swept the Rockies in Queens. The Rockies ended the series with a 9-50 record. Since then the Rockies swept the Marlins, increasing their season win total by 33% (12-50). The Mets are coming off of an ugly loss against the Dodgers were a series of mistakes cost them the game in an otherwise good series for the Mets. Will the Rockies take advantage of a dazed Mets team? Will the Mets just pick up where they left off last weekend?
We are going to see in real time what happens to pitch movement in altitude. The last time Senga pitched was last Saturday against the Rockies in Queens where he allowed two runs from two hits and two walks over 6 1/7 innings while striking out seven. He’s facing the same exact team, only a week later, but now at altitude. Senga is in the midst of a fantastic season where he has pitched 62 innings with a 1.60 ERA (league leading), 3.21 FIP, 1.177 WHIP and a 239 ERA+ (league leading). The Rockies got a solo homerun off Senga at the start of the game, which has been a rare occurrence for Senga this season. He is allowing a league leading 0.4 HR/9, which is less than half the rate from his rookie season. The Rockies have the following career numbers against Senga:
- Orlando Arcia 0-4, 2 K
- Jordan Beck 0-3, 2 K
- Brenton Doyle 0-2, 2 K
- Thairo Estrada 1-5, BB
- Kyle Farmer 0-2
- Hunter Goodman 0-3, K
- Sam Hilliard 0-2, K
- Ryan McMahon 0-5, BB, K
- Mickey Moniak 0-5, 3 K
- Jacob Stallings 0-5, BB, 3 K
- Ezequiel Tovar 1-5, HR, BB
Antonio Senzatela will try to rebound from his last start, which was also against the Mets. He allowed seven runs, including two home runs, over four innings from eight hits and two walks. Over 12 starts, 58 innings, Senzatela has a 7.14 ERA, 5.14 FIP, 1.983 WHIP and a 65 ERA+. He’s allowed a league worst 98 hits this season. The Mets have the following career stats against Senzatela:
- Pete Alonso 5-14, 2B, 2 K
- Francisco Alvarez 0-3, K
- Brett Baty 1-3, 3B, BB
- Francisco Lindor 5-15, HR, BB, 4 K
- Starling Marte 7-13, 2B, HR
- Jeff McNeil 2-13, HR
- Brandon Nimmo 4-11, 3 HR< 3 K
- Juan Soto 2-4, 2 HR, 2 BB
- Tyrone Taylor 4-7, K
- Luis Torrens 2-4, BB, K
- Jared Young 0-2
Three Things To Watch For:
- Pete Alonso is red hot. Alonso is coming off of a scorching series in LA. Over his last three games (he went hitless in the opener), Alonso has gone 7-for-13 with a double, three home runs and nine RBI’s. Since he ended his homerun drought on May 25th, Alonso has slashed .326/.396/.814 over 11 games with six home runs and 17 RBI’s. He is now sitting at 241 career home runs, just 11 behind Strawberry’s franchise leading 252 homers.
- Francisco Lindor’s toe. As of writing Lindor is considered day-to-day with a broken pinky toe. The injury occurred off of Gonsolin slider a couple days ago and Lindor has said it’s all about managing pain. We’ll keep an eye on when and if Lindor plays this weekend. Does he start? Does he come off the bench? Do the Mets manage his innings? If there ever was a series to give Lindor a rest, its this one right here.
- Starling Marte. Marte has quietly put together a nice extended hot streak over the last couple of weeks. In his last 14 games, Marte has gone 11-for-38 at the plate with two doubles, two home runs, four walks and nine runs scored (.355/.459/.613). His OBP over the last two weeks is 100 points higher than his season mark.
Let’s Go Mets!
