Numbers Daily: Reyes Projection and Team Numbers

Reyes has some pretty good numbers so far this season. In 208 AB, he has 31 R, 58 H, 12 2B, 5 3B, 7 HR, 24 RBI, and 16 SB. Those look really good, but what do they mean if they are dragged out over 681 AB, his AB total from last year? Well the result is quite good:
2008 Projection:
    101 R, 190 H, 39 2B, 16 3B, 22 HR, 79 RBI, 52 SB
His R total would be down from last year (119) and his H total would be about the same (191). He has more doubles and triples (36 and 12). His big increases would be in homers and RBI. Last year he had 12 homers and only 57 RBI. 22 homers would be a career high and his RBI total would only be 2 short of a career high of 81. His stolen bases would be down to a more human 52 (78 last year). If that projection line holds true, it would be incredible for this team.
Reyes has seemed to be hitting well of late, and numbers back up those feelings. From the start of the subway series to last night (12 games) Reyes has been very good:
    53 AB, 9 R, 18 H, 4 2B, 5 HR, 10 RBI, 4 SB, .340 BA, .368 OBP, .698 SLG
Nice Reyes…Keep those numbers up.
I was also curious on how the Mets as a team can compare to the Mets of last year in terms of HR hit, GIDP hit and HR allowed. So far this year, the Mets have hit 46 HR, hit into 38 GIDP, and allowed 52 HR. Last year, the Mets hit 177 HR, hit into 114 GIDP, and allowed 165 HR.
If this years numbers over 51 games is extrapolated out, these are the results:
    146 HR Hit (.9 per G)
    120 GIDP (.75 per G)
    165 HR allowed (1.02 per G)
So, if you feel that the Mets are hitting less HR than last year, you are correct in your feelings. If you feel like they are grounding into more Double Plays, then you are also more correct. If you feel like the Mets are giving up more homeruns than they did last year, you are wrong because its the same!
I was very surprised that they are on pace this year to give up the same amount of homeruns that they did last year, I guess it feels like they are giving up more because they are hitting less as a team.

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