2019 Mets Conglomerate Projections: Amed Rosario

Amed Amd Amed Amed Amed Rosarioooooooo.

Whenever the Mets have a surprisingly good year, there’s at least one player who breaks out. 2015? Michael Conforto. 2019? Maybe Amed Rosario? If Rosario starts to really hit the ball well, it would be a huge boost to the infield.

2018: 592 PA, 554 AB, 9 HR, .256/.295/.381, 0.2 WAR, 83 DRC+
Career: .255/.290/.384, 80 DRC+

From August 10th on last year Rosario hit .303/.335/.444. While I don’t think that Rosario will hit that for an entire season, if he could produce a line that somewhere between that and his overall season numbers, it would be a massive improvement. Here’s hows projected right now:

(Citations: Baseball Prospectus (BP) projections are from the Baseball Prospectus annual which can you can get here. It’s highly recommended. ESPN projections can be found here. ZiPS can be found here. Steamer can be found here. Baseball Reference projections (BR) can found on the players BR page which linked elsewhere on this article. )

THe 92 DRC+ from Baseball Prospectus is still pretty far under the average baseball player (and right now near the bottom for projected DRC+’s in the Mets starting lineup), but a 92 DRC+ is a huge improvement over last year’s 83 and his career mark of 80.

My gut tells me that most of these projections are a bit low for Amed. I think he ends up somewhere between Steamer and ZiPS. BP/ESPN don’t show him growing much at all and it feels like he’s still in the upswing phase of his career.

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