Game Preview: Nationals vs Mets

The Mets and Nationals head to the rubber game this afternoon at Citi as the Mets look to build off of last night's great win. In cased you missed it, the Mets fell behind 5 runs at one point in the game and at the start of the 8th they were down 6-2. Then the Mets had a 6 run, 12 man ralley that sent them to win the game by a score of 8-6. Anyway, the Mets will send Pelfrey out to the mound to shut down the Nats as they will send out Stammen.

Pelfrey had to rebound in his last start, and he wasn't stellar but he went pretty deep in the game (7.1 innings) and allowed only 3 runs (so a quality start). On the season so far Pelfrey is 4-1 with a 2.65 ERA. His first start of the season was against the Nationals where he pitched 6 innings and allowed only 2 runs. The Nationals over Pelfrey's career, have these numbers against him:

Zimmerman 11-40, 2B, HR
Dunn 3-19, 2B, HR
Willingham 8-20, 2 2B, 3B, 2 HR
Harris 4-15
Morgan 2-9

Stammen's stats for the season have been slightly below average as he has pitched 35.0 innings with an ERA of 5.63 and has a 1-1 record. However in his last three games, his numbers are looking better has he has an ERA of 3.57 ERA over 17.1 innings (also the Nationals have lost all three of his last three starts). Last season he faced the Mets three times (1-2) pitching 17.1 innings with a 4.67 ERA. The Mets have these numbers over his career:

Wright 3-8, 2B
Pagan 3-6, 3B
Castillo 0-3
Bay 0-3

Part of the Mets success last night, besides timely hitting, was that Wright and Bay combined to go 6-8. If they can hit together again, then this team will have some real fun. Lets Go Mets!

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Back Pages: The Animal Edition


(NY Daily News)


(NY Post)

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Mets Breakfast: The Animal

Some quick hits to go with your Wednesday morning blueberry oatmeal:

1) The Animal arrived in New York! The Mets were down in last night's game at one point by the score of 6-1 and the Mets were able to put together a key, 12-man hitting ralley that sent 6 runners across the plate. The ralley was first kept alive and give a new dimension by Cora's smart bunt for hit. Then, in his first appearence as a Met, Chris “The Animal” Carter hit a go-ahead double as the Mets took one from the Nationals.

2) The two previous games the Mets showed fight, although it wasn't reflected in the win column. Last night it was.

3) In case you were wondering, progress is being made on the redesign for this website. The new look is still on schedule for the end of the month.

4) Scott Boras is set to represent a 17-year old, 93-mph throwing, Korean pitcher.

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Game Preview: Nationals vs Mets

The Mets look to bounce back from last night's close game with a win tonight as they take on the Nationals for game two. The Mets pitching for the most part was effective last night, but the difference in the game came from the Mets not being able to take advantage of scoring opportunities. The Mets were able to scratch out a run in the bottom of the ninth on the Pagan solo blast, but were not able to get another run in to tie the game. Tonight the Mets will send out Niese to try to team the Nationals, who counter with Olsen.

Niese is 1-1 on the year over 6 games and 35 innings pitched with a 3.60 ERA. In his last three games, he has pitched 18.1 innings with an ERA of 2.95. Niese has never played the Nationals in his short career but he has faced a few of the Nationals hitters:

Coste 1-3
Morgan 2-3
Pudge 1-3

What has made Niese effective is his ability to not only to mix his pitches, but merging his pitches to come out of the same release point. When his curveball does not come out of the same slot as the fastball, thats when he starts to get lit up. He just needs to avoid that situation from arising.

Over five games this season, Olsen is 2-1 with a 3.54 ERA. However, he has been devestating in his last three games where he has pitched 20.1 innings and has an ERA of 0.44. Last season he faced the Mets once allowing 2 ER in 6 innings of work. Over his career, the Mets have been able to put these numbers on him:

Reyes 15-39, 5 2B, 3B, HR
Wright 10-35, 5 2B, 3 HR
Francoeur 7-29, 3 2B, 1 3B, 2 HR
Bay 1-11

Those numbers look good. Lets Go Mets! Beat the Nats!

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Baseball Physics: The Rising Fastball

During the Mets broadcast last Saturday, the booth got into a discussion about rising fastballs where they jokingly said to put Physicists in the batters box and have them tell you that fastball doesn't rise. This is in reference to how baseball players always quote that fastballs can rise and where Physicists explain that a pitcher cannot apply enough backspin to a fastball to get the pitch to literally rise.

Why do some fastballs appear to rise? Being a physicist* in training, I feel comfortable stating that fastballs do not actually rise.

In order understand this statement we have to first remember a very important point, one that is focused on by Professor Robert K. Adair, Sterling Professor Emeritus of Physics at Yale (elementary particles and forces of nature), and also the author of The Physics of Baseball. No matter what any observer believes they see at a game (baseball player, fans, announcer) a player can never actually throw the ball flat. Even a strong arm throw across the diamond, has some curve (as in curve up and down) to it because of forces that act on baseball. This curvature though can be seen as flat because over short distances, it appears flat (similar to how the Earth can appear to be flat).

A fastball can have a very noticeable drop to it. However, because of a psychological frame of reference, one that does not have a lot of drop is referred to as flat. These balls that are “flat” actually are dropping but baseball hitters, see a lot of fastballs, and that in their minds might as well be flat, the zero line if you will. A pitch without a lot of drop appears to be zero, everything else, mainly breaking balls, are then negative.

Fastballs can be thrown with backspin. This backspin, which Adair says can usually be around 1200 to 1800 rpm (rotations per minute), allows the fastball to not drop as much as it would normally. The batter then see's this fastball above his “zero line”. To the batter, the fastball now has a positive drop or has actually risen. But that “zero line” is just a mental construct, it still is dropping, just dropping less than the average fastball. In a game of centimeters and milliseconds, this slight difference in drop can make a major difference.

To drive this point home, take a look at this image:

(From Michael Richmond, RIT)

The above graphic shows the trajectories of fastballs, one with a good amount of backspin to it. As you can see, the black line represents the zero line in terms of flatness so the red line shows how the trajectory changes.

It also key to note about rising fastballs that there are some fastballs that do actually rise. I know I said earlier that they don't, but there is a situation where they do in fact rise. If a pitcher is throwing side arm or lower, than the pitcher has to throw the ball up. In that case, the ball does actually rise. However, in the normal sense, most pitchers are only throwing down and these are pitchers that are usually referred as having “rising fastballs”. Side-armers rising fastballs do not have the same affect as fake rising fastballs, because the batter knows that the trajectory of the ball from a side-armer will be up and then down, or just up. 

*I am currently a Junior Physics and Astrophysics double major at the University of Maryland.

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Mets Breakfast: Two Close Losses In a Row Edition

Some quick hits to go with your Tuesday morning Frosted Flakes:

1) The Mets once again showed fight but fell a bit short as they lost to the Nationals by the score of 3-2 last night. Highlight though, Pagan hit his second homer of the season.

2) Well this is embarrassing.

3) I'm sure that you all out there, at some point during the last week or so, have asked yourself: Why is Frankie C on the team? or Why is GMJ on the team? Well the Mets finally listened, sort of, and DFA'd Frankie C and his well below .200 BA and replaced him with Chris Carter, who should have been here since the start of the season, but thats another gripe session.

4) Blanco is on the bereavement list. Our thoughts and prayers at 213 MFS go out to him and his family. Thole has been called up in the mean time (probably not Santos due to options issues).

5) Fantastic News! Piazza informed the New York Times yesterday that if he gets a call to the Hall, he wants to wear a Mets hat.

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Game Preview: Nationals vs Mets

The Mets start another home series tonight, this time against the Nationals. The Nationals find themselves in probably the best season since they moved down to DC as they come into New York with a 17-14 record, which is the same as the Mets. Anyway the Mets will send out Maine tonight as the Nationals will send out Atilano.

Maine has really started to turn things around in his last few starts as in his last started he pitched 6 innings, ER, and had 6 K's. In the start before that he went 6 innings, allowed 2 ER and had 9 K's. Anyway last season he pitched 3 games with a 2-1 record and a 4.80 ERA. Anyway, the Nationals have these stats on Maine (career):

Zimmerman 6-34, 2 2B, HR, 7 K
Dunn 2-10
Guzman 0-13
Harris 1-9, 2B

Atilano was called up recently and has been pretty good for the Nationals. The 25 year old has pitched in three games so far this season with an ERA of 4.67 and has a 2-0 record. From looking at his statistics, the way the Mets might be able to get to Luis is being patient. In 17.1 innings pitched, he has allowed 18 hits and has walked 10 batters. Eventually those types of numbers will lead to trouble. The Mets have also been starting to hit with fight recently (in other words, hitting to scrap together runs). This could potentially be a great combination for the Mets.

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Ike Davis Facts

There's a new website being forwarded around these days, and its Ike Davis Facts. The website is based on the Chuck Norris Fact fad which consisted of absurd statements about how amazing Chuck Norris is. For example, Chuck Norris can slam a revolving door. Anyway this internet sensation then transferred to other things like Endy Chavez and Lastings Milledge. It has now taken aim at Ike Davis, and the results are quite funny.

If you have a few minutes, you should really check out the site. Here are a few of my favorites:

1) Ike Davis has yet to take an at bat, and already has a fact site.
2) Ike Davis counted to infinity, twice.
3) Ike Davis ordered a Big Mac at Burger King, and got one.
4) Shea Bridge has been closed indefinitely for repairs after being struck by Ike Davis’ mammoth home run.

It is a fun website, so check it out!


Oh, the memories. (Image from Fantasy Baseball Nonsense)
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Mets Breakfast

Some quick hits go with your Monday morning Shredded Wheat:

1) The Mets have fight. Although they couldn't pull out the win yesterday, they did come from 4 runs down to lead it, before blowing it again. That fight can take the Mets far this season.

2) The Mets will begin a series with the Nationals tonight and both teams will be coming into tonight's game with identical records.

3) Dallas Braden pitched a perfect game yesterday.

4) Don't Tase Me Bro! Over the weekend, a Tiger Wood's heckler had to be tasered by Police.

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Game Preview: Giants vs Mets

For two straight days, the Mets have won with walk-off homers as they clinched a series win against the San Francisco Giants. Today they try to step on the neck of the Giants by completing a three game sweep against one of the best pitchers in the game, Tim Lincecum. So far in this series, the Mets have gotten the lead, then lost it, then fought back in order to win it, using their new found ability to hit homers.

The Mets will be countering Lincecum with Oliver Perez. Perez is still searching for his first win of the season (0-2) but has a 4.05 ERA. He had a pretty effective start his last time out as he pitched 6 innings, allowed 6 hits but only 2 earned runs while walking 4 and striking out 4. Perez hasn't faced the Giants since 2008, where he went 0.1 innings and allowed 6 ER (that would be an ERA of 162.0). Anyway these are the numbers the Giants have on Perez in his career:

Renteria 10-33, 2 2B
Rowand 5-14, 2 2B
DeRosa 5-9, 3 2B, HR
Uribe 1-9
Huff 0-3
Lewis 0-3

Lincecum so far this season has been typical (4-0, 1.70 ERA). However last season, there were two teams he struggled against, and the Mets were one of them. Now there is only one statistical point, so don't get too excited, but he pitched 6 innings against the Mets allowing 5 ER runs. The Mets have these career numbers against the Freak:

Wright 2-8
Francoeur 2-13, HR
Reyes 2-6
Bay 1-3

It can be a tough day for the Mets, but its not impossible. Lets Go Mets! Get that sweep!

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