Daily Baseball Video: Jerry Week

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Bonus Daily Video: David Letterman Pokes Fun of the Mets while Making Fun of Fox News

Bonus Daily Video! While you will still see another addition to “Jerry Week” later today, I wanted to share another video that I saw via the Huffington Post. As you may or may not know, Fox News was criticized earlier this week for reporting a false news story about the LAPD spending 1 Billion Dollars on a Jet Pack Program. That was, of course, completely false. Most normal people could have told you that was false, but the fantastic fact checkers at Fox still let it go through. Due to this, David Letterman decided to countdown the Top 10 Reasons you know there are problems at Fox News:

Did you catch it? #4: Spent 5 Hours Today Breaking Down the Mets Playoff Chances. Well it was funny…I guess. 

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Math vs Feelings: The Best Pitching Performance of the 2010 Playoffs

Math receives a lot of criticism in sports, especially when it suggests things that are normally not true due to a person's ability to hold special situations in a significant light. The battle over how to interpret sporting events comes down to the battle of the subjective vs the objective. A biased view that allows special situations to rise above others against a system that holds everything at the same level with no exceptions. There are benefits to both. The objective system helps small market teams by removing the lore that players receive in large cities while the subjective system recognizes when an event is statistically significant (in the sense of overall statistics of an event, not in the mathematical event that something is statistically significant).

This battle has emerged again after a computer program Game Score, actually ranked Lincecum's performance over Halladay's. The two hits and 14 strikeouts scored better than the one walk and 8 hits. While some may say this is the problem with Math,. that it doesn't recognize the importance of a no-hitter, I think this shows how Math is just not as objective as we think.

Look, its really hard to make Math objective, when it isn't pure Math. Pure Math such as calculus, alegebra, etc is unbiased because their are no arbritary values. When we use Math to rank players, we have to add some arbritary values. We decide how much a strikeout is worth vs a hit. Normally our assertions are correct and work, but they break down (like how classical physics breaks down) at a certain point.

By the way Game Score was designed, you cannot say that Halladay was better than Lincecum. According to the parameters used in the calculation, Lincecum was the best, and that is the end of the story.

However if we change the parameters to reflect how we really feel, then who was the best changes. But that feels grimey. It feels wrong to change the parameters to change so the results match what we feel. Thus is the ethics in the scientific method, possibly the difference between science and religion, represented in Sports.

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Daily Baseball Video: Jerry Week

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MLB Division Series Preview October 7th

Well that wasn't so good last night. Remember that teams that one game of a Division Series have one that Series for the last 3 seasons (12 series) (Fact from ESPN). Last night every team I personally wanted to move on, lost. Well anyway here are some notes for today's ALDS and NLDS games:

Texas @ Tampa

Game two will be at 2:30 this afternoon (wow they got unlucky with day starts) and it is a must win for Tampa Bay. In yesterday's game the Rangers looked fantastic as they won their second post-season game ever. Lee was Lee (ie Amazing) and the bats came out (including old friend Jeff Francoeur). The Rays are going to need a strong start today out of Shields, especially since he is going against Wilson. Not to completely rip off of Maddon's post game press conference, the Rays bats were not as bad as they seemed yesterday. They just seemed slightly off. If they can correct that today, then they can make this series interesting.

New York @ Minnesota

Sigh. The Yankees won. The Twins must get to Andy tonight and they must do it according to their ball park. For both teams yesterday, getting to the starter wasn't the problem, it was just that the Yankees were able to get to the pen, the Twins not so much. If the Twins want to win this series, they need to take one Minnesota before going to New York.

Atlanta @ San Francisco

The nightcap of today's triple header goes out west for the first game of this series. Lowe will try to keep the Giants down while Lincecum will try to shut down the Braves. While both of these teams just made the playoffs, you have to feel that momentum is on the side of the Giants who were rising the entire month of September in order to get here while the Braves had the NL East Division and then would have to settle for the Wild Card, and then almost lost it. Lets Go Giants. I don't think I would be able to handle a playoffs where the Braves, Phillies and Yankees all moved onto the Championship Series.
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Joy In Philly Town….ugh

It's great having two rival teams in the playoffs.

It's also great to have your cross-town rivals in the playoffs.

However, someone apparently thought Mets fans didn't have enough joy in their lives already, so when the Phillies' probable Cy Young winning pitcher, Doc Halladay, made his Post Season debut tonight. Roy just had to pitch a no-hitter.

Ok, all disgruntled, whiny, complaining aside, it is a pretty amazing story. Roy Halladay, one of the best pitchers around right now, and on a track to the Hall of Fame (if he continues his numbers), also had one of the longest career streaks never pitching in the playoffs. Essentially, what has limited him from entering Hall conversations (besides his age) was no experience in the post-season. Well in his first start ever in (actual) October, he threw a no-hitter, the second one ever in the post season. Now Larsen isn't in the Hall, but everyone remembers him, particularily for his no hitter. Now Roy has that same claim to fame, and sadly, the Phillies fans have the same claim to fame now.

Well Hopefully the Phillies will lose the next three games.

I hope.

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Daily Baseball Video: Jerry Week

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MLB Division Series Preview October 6th

Started with 30 teams, now we are down to 8 teams and those 8 will begin the elimination march down to 4 today as the ALDS and the NLDS get underway. If you don't have a job, or are not a student, or are just playing hooky, you will get to see a full slate of three games today with one starting at 1:30, another one at 5:00 and finally a nightcap at 8:30. Here's a minipreview for what you could be watching about today:

American League Division Series:

The first game on slate for today features the Texas Rangers visiting the Tampa Bay Rays in what could be a really good game today. For the Rays you have phenom Fall pitcher David Price going up against one of the most coveted pitchers in Cliff Lee. Both teams feature explosive offenses to counter these powerful pitchers. Hopefully the Trop (its still Tropicana Field right?) will be filled today as the Rays look to use homefield advantage (if they can really get that) + their ability to hit lefty pitching to take the first game of this series.

The second ALDS game is also the last game of today and it will feature CC vs Liriano. In some regards this really could be Liriano's welcome back to the National stage party. When he first came up he was hailed as the next great pitcher but injuries held him back. After a successful 2010 campaign, he is ready to show the World that he is what he thought he could be. CC will be representing the 2009 World Series Champions as they look to repeat. I think I speak for almost all the Mets fans out there when I say, “Go Twins”.

National League Division Series

The middle game todya is probably the one I'm most excited and nervous about. In a post-season setting, the Phillies are set up to win as their first three starters can really carry this team. In order for the Reds to have a shot of winning this series, they must take this first game (which is in Philly) where Halladay is starting. If they can prevent momentum from forming, then they will have a legitimate chance of winning the Division Series. If Philly wins today, it looks almost certain that they will win this series.
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The Not-So-Good Moments of the 2010 Mets Season

Just like how the Mets had a good amount of nice surprises this season, they had some disappointments, and some situations that people knew would be bad from the start (looking at you Gary Matthews Jr). Here are some of the perplexing, complicated, frustrating moments of the 2010 Mets season:

1. Oliver Perez

The rest of these will be in no specific order, however Oliver Perez is at the top of this list. After hearing so much about how he was ready to comeback, etc, etc etc, he really wasn't at all and would add to the headache. The problem with Perez was it was almost immediately obvious that he needed some extra work, but he wouldn't take the minor league option (which is his right to refuse). Refusing the option though, led to a backlash against him. There were times when the Mets were still hanging around in the race that we really could have used another pitcher, but we didn't have that thanks to Perez. The Mets front office, for reasons that will probably never be fully clear other than the Mets being concerned over their money, didn't cut Perez so he was so infrequently used. The situation just makes me sick, especially because Team is really what I want to focus on right now.

2. Gary Matthews Jr.

He was the starting CF'er coming out of Spring Training. How? This was stupid. Everyone knew it.

3. Mike Jacobs / Tatis

Starting him was just disappointing. He got the job due to the Murphy injury and then he was put in a platoon with Tatis which just sucked the offense out of 1B. On the positive side, their ineptitude is what brought us Ike Davis.

4. Krod

You already know why.

5. Maine

We all had really high hopes for Maine coming into this season, but it just wasn't meant to be. What is sad is Maine had so much promise at one point in time, and it is vanishing fast. I'm hoping that I'm wrong about Maine, and that he can turn it around, but at this point, I need to see improvement to believe it.

6. The Entire Offense

When it comes down to it, the big problem this season ended up being the opposite of what we thought going into the seaosn. At times this year the offense just looked awful. On paper it was so much better due to Beltran and Bay but both of them not playing to their historic numbers really hurt the Mets. Hopefully things will return to the status quo next season for those players who are returning.

Did I miss anyone? Let me know in comments!

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Daily Baseball Video: Jerry Week

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