Game Preview: Mets @ Phillies

It happened! The Mets scored runs! The Mets won a ball game!

The Mets opened up the game in a big way yesterday stringing together a series of hits and scoring 4 runs in the first inning. After that feast of runs the Mets bats fell silent again as the Phillies clawed back and eventually tied the game. Heading towards the end of the game, the Mets had several very quick innings where it felt like their old problems with hitting were returning but Michael Conforto came through! He hit a solo shot in the top of the ninth (his third go ahead homer of his career according to SNY) and the Mets hung on to the lead and won 5-4.

The Mets now have an opportunity to take the series tonight, and return to a .500 record, in front of a national audience as ESPN’s game of the week. This is not ideal for the Mets as they have a game in St. Louis tomorrow night but it’s out of their control.

David Peterson returns to the mound tonight. He has started 4 games and pitched 19.1 innings with a 5.59 ERA, 4.70 FIP, 1.241 WHIP and 70 ERA+. In his last three starts, he has a 3.52 ERA while striking out 16 batters in 15.1 innings. His numbers are skewed by a start in Philly on April 7th where he allowed 6 runs, over 4.0 innings with the runs coming in his first and last inning of the outing. He then rebounded against the Phillies in his next start, holding them to 1 run while striking out 10 over 6.0 innings. The Phillies have the following numbers against him:

The Mets go from facing Zack to Zach as they take on Zach Eflin in the series ender. In 5 starts and 32.2 innings this year he has a 3.58 ERA, 2.82 FIP, 1.071 WHIP and a 110 ERA+ in what is looking like his best season in the major leagues. He is coming off of a bad start against the Cardinals where he allowed 5 runs over 6.2 innings from 9 hits. This raised his season ERA from 2.77 to 3.58. All of his good starts this year have been from the first time he has faced a team in 2021. Both of his bad starts have come from the second time he has faced a team. The Mets have the following numbers against him:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Phillies

The Mets are hoping to arrive in time for the game tonight. They scheduled a group trip to a cave earlier today to find some bats. Then they dug up some Halloween decorations to make sure they have fake bats all over the locker room. They are really focusing on bats.

For a third time this week, Mets pitching had a tremendous game, but the bats fell silent and the Mets lost. This time, Stroman was working on a gem before he had to leave due to a hamstring issue. The bullpen kept the lid on behind him but the Mets offense could only squeak out a run.

There’s also the bench clearing incident from last night’s game too. Not sure if that’s going to help things right now. The Mets are slumping and they are now at the part of the slump where they are aware they are slumping, adding pressure to the slump and the games they are losing are games they could easily win if the bats just hit a little bit. It’s a bad situation right now and it feels some hitters either are spiraling right now or on the verge of spiraling.

Taijuan Walker will look to keep the Mets pitching going. In 4 starts this year and 21.0 innings he has a 2.14 ERA, 3.03 FIP, 1.238 WHIP and a 181 ERA+. Walker really worked in his last start and the result was great. He tossed 95 pitches and allowed 3 hits and 3 walks and held the Nationals scoreless. Earlier in the year against Philly he allowed 3 hits and 3 walks and through 80 pitches in only 4.1 innings (this was also a 7-inning game). The Phillies have the following numbers against Walker:

The Mets draw Zack Wheeler again! In 5 starts and 31.2 innings this year, Wheeler has a 3.13 ERA, 3.64 FIP, 1.105 WHIP and a 126 ERA+. He is coming off of a great start against the Cardinals where he held them to 1 run over 8.0 innings from one hit and three walks while striking out nine. Before that he had a rough three game stretch where he allowed 10 earned runs over 16.2 innings from 22 hits and 8 walks. Four of those hits were homers, which were unusual for him as he led the league last year in HR/9 (0.4). One of those starts was against the Mets (who, no surprise here, didn’t homer) and the Mets scored 3 runs from a whopping 10 hits and a walk in 6.1 innings. The Mets have the following numbers against Wheeler:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Phillies

The Mets are coming off of a rough two game set against the Red Sox where the Mets allowed a total of 3 runs across both games and still lost both. The bats have fallen silent and something needs to happen to wake them up. So, how about a trip to Philly? The Mets played a ton of their early games this season against the Philly and they return to Philly tonight. The offense struggled the first time they were in Philly, partially due to their long stretch without games. Can the Mets take advantage of sandbox in Philly? Let’s hope.

The Mets will send out Marcus Stroman who has a 2.25 ERA, 3.13 FIP, 0.958 WHIP and a 171 ERA+ over 4 starts and 24.0 innings this year. His last start was rough – he allowed 5 runs, 4 earned over 4.0 innings from 8 hits and 2 walks. Before that he had a 0.90 ERA in his first three starts of the year including back to back starts against the Phillies where he allowed 1 run from 7 hits and 2 walks in 12.0 innings of work while striking out 6. The Phillies have the following numbers against Stroman:

Chase Anderson is on the bump for the Phillies. In 4 games and 16.2 innings this year he has a 6.48 ERA, 5.67 FIP, 1.440 WHIP and a 62 ERA+. In his first three start of the season he had a 4.15 ERA, allowing exactly earned 2 runs in each start. His first two starts of the year were against the Mets he allowed 5 runs, 4 earned over 9.0 innings from 5 hits and 5 walks. His last start against the Rockies did not go well as he allowed 6 runs from 6 hits and 3 walks in 3.2 innings. The Mets have the following numbers against Chase Anderson:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Red Sox vs Mets

The good news about last night: the pitching was great.

The bad news about last night: the hitting was not.

In what has become a common theme for the 2021 Mets, the pitching was on point last night and the Mets allowed only 2 runs over the whole game. Peterson battled and worked through innings, allowing only 2 runs over 7.0 innings and then the bullpen behind him looked great.

The hitters though. They would get hits and then couldn’t bring each other home. Or would get thrown out trying to stretch a single into a double. Or got caught stealing. And then when this is coupled with bad luck (like J.D. Davis hitting a missile, that got to J.D. Martinez in a hurry preventing a run from scoring), you get a low scoring game.

But it is deGrom day today! Jacob in his two starts actually has winning decisions, partially because of his own bat. He’s been hitting, scoring and driving in runs this year, just taking over the entire game. He’s off to a historic start for 2021. In his first four starts of the year and 29.0 innings pitched he has a 0.31 ERA (league leading), 0.84 FIP, 0.552 WHIP and a 1227 ERA+ (league leading). He is also leading the league in strikeouts (50), H/9 at 4.0 and K/9 at 15.5. The numbers are just really insane. In his one start against the Red Sox last year he allowed 2 runs from 3 hits and a walk in 6.0 innings. The Sox have the following numbers against him:

The Mets bats will look to not repeat last night against Nick Pivetta. In his first four starts of the year, Nick has pitched 20.2 innings with a 3.48 ERA, 4.00 FIP, 1.355 WHIP, and 124 ERA+. He’s coming off of a solid start against the Mariners where he allowed 2 runs over 6.0 innings from a a hit and three walks. Despite playing for the Phillies and the Red Sox last season, he missed the Mets but in 2019 he pitched against the Mets over 3 games and 11.2 innings with a 5.40 ERA from 7 runs that were the product of 16 hits and 7 walks. The Mets have the following numbers against Nick:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Red Sox vs Mets

Look! The Mets got another day off!

The Mets will once again start a series tonight after a day off. They actually have two scheduled days off this week – thankfully the weather looks good for the two game series against the Red Sox as the Mets look to get some rhythm in a year without it.

The Mets got back on the right track on Sunday, taking the series from the Nationals after a great performance by Taijuan Walker who held the Nationals to three hits and three walks and no runs over 7.0 innings. Miguel Castro and Edwin Diaz shut the door behind Walker and the Mets were able to ride homers from J.D. Davis and Pete Alonso to victory. The margin of victory probably should have been larger – umpiring cost the Mets in a big scenario when ball 4 with the bases loaded to Nimmo was called strike 3 and the inning ended. But the Mets were able to keep pushing forward despite that.

David Peterson looks to keep the Mets in the win column tonight against hte Red Sox. In three starts this year he has allowed 13 runs, 10 earned over 13.1 innings with a 6.75 ERA, 4.45 FIP, 1.350 WHIP and a 58 ERA+. His last start against the Cubs got weighed down with defensive miscues leading to 6 runs over 3.1 innings with only 3 of them being earned. Peterson’s major league debut against the Red Sox last year. He allowed 2 runs from 7 hits and 2 walks over 5.2 innings. The Red Sox have the following numbers against Peterson:

The Mets bats will get a look at Garret Richards today. Richards was a relief pitcher for the Angels from 2011 to 2018 and had a two season stint with the Padres. Richards has made 4 starts over 16.2 innings this year with a 6.48 ERA, 5.74 FIP, 1.860 WHIP and a 67 ERA+. His first start of the season against the Orioles was his worst so far, he allowed 6 runs over 2.0 innings. Then in back to back starts he allowed 4 runs, only 2 earned over 10.0 innings. He’s coming off of a rough start against the Blue Jays where he allowed 4 runs over 4.2 innings from 4 hits and 6 walks. Very few Mets have seen him in a major league game:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Nationals vs Mets

Yesterday was pretty much the opposite of Friday night and now the Mets have a rubber game before another week with multiple off-days.

The game yesterday got off to an ominous start as the first batter of the game hit a ball, not well, towards Conforto. It took a short hop towards Conforto and then somehow got beyond him, turning a soft-single into a triple, which then scored on a flyout to the next batter. From there the game started to fall apart as Stroman, who should have had an easy first inning, started to fall apart and then Tarpley, fresh off his call up, allowed multiple runners and runs without an out getting the infamous infinity ERA. This was coupled by silent Mets bats outside of a two hit day by Pete Alonso and Conforto’s first homer of the season led to a long afternoon.

So it’s up to Taijuan Walker to get the Mets back in the win column and prevent the Mets from falling below .500. In three starts and 14.0 innings this year he has a 3.21 ERA, 2.74 FIP, 1.429 WHIP and a 122 ERA+. He’s coming off of a confusing start in Chicago where he only pitched 3.2 innings, allowed 3 runs, 2 earned. In that start he allowed 2 hits but walked 6 (while striking out 7). Some of the problems he created on the mound, but there were throwing errors behind him and he got squeezed by the umpire multiple times. In the inning where everything fell apart, he walked a batter on 4 pitches but at least 2 of them were very clearly in the strike zone. After he got pulled from the game, he got ejected for giving the umpire his opinion of the game thus far. The Nationals have the following numbers against Walker:

The Mets draw lefty Patrick Corbin for the series ender. In 12.1 innings this year, Patrick has a 10.95 ERA, 7.72 FIP, 1.865 WHIP and 37 ERA+. He’s coming off a great start though, where he held the Cardinals scoreless over 6.0 innings and only allowed 4 hits while walking none. This lowered his ERA from 21.32 to 10.95 (he really had two rough starts to start off 2021). In three starts against the Mets last year he allowed 8 runs, 7 earned over 18.2 innings (3.38 ERA) from 23 hits, 6 walks and 15 strikeouts. The Mets have the following numbers against him:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Nationals vs Mets

The Mets got back on the right track in a big way last night, thanks to Jacob deGrom (who else).

Jacob pitched what may be his greatest game as a Met so far last night, tossing a complete game shutout, only allowing 2 hits, walking no one and striking out 15 batters. On top of his utter dominance on the mound, he had two hits, including knocking in the Mets first run of the game. I’m not sure what else to say about him. He’s off to a historically good start.

But this is a game preview for today and deGrom’s performance actually impacts the game. The Mets bullpen after Thursday was taxed. Diaz, Loup and Castro were all most likely unavailable for yesterday’s game and since deGrom pitched a complete game the Mets didn’t need to dip into the bullpen at all. He gave them that critical day of rest after a couple of days in a row of overuse.

And now it’s the StroShow! Marcus Stroman is off to a tremendous start this year, tossing 20.0 innings with a 0.90 ERA, 3.25 FIP, 0.650 WHIP and a 432 ERA+. He’s coming off of his best start as a Met where he allowed 1 run over 8.0 innings against the Rockies in Colorado. He made one start against the Nationals in 2019 and it wasn’t great – he allowed 4 runs from 9 hits and 3 walks but struck out 9 (which is an unusually high number for him). The Nationals have the following numbers against Stroman:

The Mets bats will try to keep the offense from last night going against Joe Ross, who they haven’t seen since 2019. So far this year he has allowed 10 runs from 14 hits and 6 walks over 15.1 innings which is a 5.87 ERA, 6.03 FIP, 1.304 WHIP and a 68 ERA+. This line though is completely misleading. After his first two starts (Dodgers/Cardinals), Ross tossed 10.0 scoreless innings of 6 hit ball. All 10 earned runs he has allowed this year came in his last start, also against the Cardinals, that lasted 4.1 innings. He allowed 4 homers in that start. The Mets have the following numbers against Joe:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Nationals vs Mets

The Mets return home tonight after a tough trip to Chicago where they were swept. The first game of the series really felt like one they should win, as did last night’s. Even through all of the chaos of losing three games in a row, we did see some positives that should give us hope going into this weekend with the Nationals. Pete Alonso homered in back to back days as he starts to become next Mets bat to heat up. James McCann really is an asset defensively with his arm. Reid-Foley looked really good in his Mets debut last night.

The three losses in a row stink – but hopefully the Mets can turn it around tonight against the Nationals.

The Mets and Nationals were supposed to open the series together when the Nationals had a Covid outbreak, cancelling all three games which kicked off the Mets bad luck with getting consistent playing time. The division is incredibly tight with the Phillies and the Mets both tied for first place with a .500 record and a the Nationals in last place, being two games under .500.

Jacob deGrom looks to put the team on his back again tonight. In three starts and 20.0 innings this year he has a 0.45 ERA, 1.35 FIP, 0.700 WHIP and a 858 ERA+. He’s coming off back to back 14 strikeout games leading to an absurd 28 strikeouts in 14 innings innings pitched. Last year he made only one start against the Nationals, allowing 3 runs over 5.0 innings from 5 hits and 2 walks while striking out 10 batters. The Nationals have the following numbers against him:

The Mets bats will try to find consistency against Erick Fedde. In three starts this year he has a 5.56 ERA, 3.18 FIP, 1.676 WHIP, and a 72 ERA+ over 11.1 innings. His line is a bit misleading though. He opened up the season allowing 6 runs, 5 earned, over 1.2 innings. Since then he has allowed 2 runs over 9.2 innings. Last season he pitched 50.1 innings with a 4.29 ERA, 6.15 FIP, 1.371 WHIP and a 103 ERA+. Against the Mets last year he allowed 2 runs from 6 hits and 3 walks over 5.0 innings. The Mets have the following numbers against Erick:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Cubs

Last night was rough for the Mets and now they need to win today to avoid the sweep.

I turned off the game after the Mets went up 2-0 last night. Relieved that I saw Francisco Lindor hit his first homer of the year (he went on to have an excellent game with 3 hits) and that J.D. Davis was bouncing back from his night yesterday with two hits.

The game completely unraveled from there, with the final score of 16-4. Mostly due to the Mets making defensive miscues again, compounded with the bullpen falling apart. Not helping – again the Mets were playing in the cold, and the Mets were squeezed early on umpire calls that compounded things throughout the night. The vast majority of the blame falls on the play on the field.

It’s way too early in the season for a do or die game, and today certainly is not that. But it would be great to go into a series against the Nationals this weekend two games above .500 rather than being exactly at .500.

So this is turning into a higher pressure game for Joey Lucchesi. Overall this year he has allowed 3 runs over 5.0 innings from 5 hits and 6 strikeouts. His first outing of the year came in relief with 2.0 innings of no run baseball. His last outing came 10 days later in Colorado and he struggled. In his one start against the Cubs in 2019 he allowed 10 hits and 6 runs over 4.1 innings. The Cubs have the following numbers against Joey:

The Mets bats will look to find some consistency tonight against Trevor Williams. In three starts and 14.1 innings he has allowed 8 runs from 16 hits and 7 walks while striking out 13. The numbers are distorting his season a bit. His first and third start were fine, allowing no more than 2 runs, it is his second start, where he allowed 5 runs over 3.0 innings from 10 hits where things went off the rails. Williams made back to back starts against the Mets in 2019 where he allowed 6 runs, 5 earned over 13.0 innings. The Mets have the following numbers against him:

Let’s Go Mets!

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Game Preview: Mets @ Cubs

The Mets will try to bounce back after last night’s underwhelming loss. The game was going fine for the Mets for the first couple of innings, but things melted down in the 4th inning between defensive miscues, Taijuan Walker losing the strike zone and Walker getting squeezed by the umpire. Walker ended up walking a run and allowing 3 runs, only two earned.

The Mets bats were like the weather – cold. J.D. Davis hit a solo homer for the Mets only run, but his two throwing errors led to runs for the Cubs, so it’s a wash. There was good news for the Mets though – the bullpen held the game together and while it stinks that the Mets bats couldn’t take advantage of that, it’s good to see the bullpen pitching effectively. Jacob Barnes bounced back from his performance last Sunday and yesterday he pitched 2.0 scoreless innings, Familia added in a scoreless inning and May had a perfect inning.

David Peterson will take the mound for the Mets today, making his first start against the Cubs. On the season he has allowed 7 runs over 10.0 innings from 10 hits and 2 walks while striking out 15 batters. For Peterson this year has been the story of two starts. There’s his first start where he allowed 6 runs over 4.0 innings, where he had a bad first inning and the bullpen allowed inherited runners to score after he left. Then there was his last start where he held the Phillies to 1 run over 6.0 innings while striking out 10. There are no members of the Cubs who have seen Peterson in a major league game.

The Mets batters will try to find themselves tonight against Zach Davies. Davies was drafted by the Orioles and traded him to the Brewers for Gerardo Parra in 2015. He pitched for the Brewers through the 2019 season when traded to the Padres. This off-season he was part of the trade for Yu Darvish. So far this season he has allowed 13 runs from 16 hits and 9 walks over 11.1 innings (3 starts, 10.32 ERA, 5.19 FIP, 2.206 WHIP, 38 ERA+). This is a pretty stark departure from his numbers last year where he pitched 69.1 innings over 12 starts with a 2.73 ERA, 3.88 FIP, 1.067 WHIP, and a 150 ERA+. The Mets have the following numbers against him:

Let’s Go Mets!

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