Game Preview: Mets @ Marlins

The Mets look to salvage the series and avoid the sweep this afternoon against the Marlins. Friday night the Mets lost 2-1. Yesterday the Mets lost 4-1. Going back to Thursday the Mets have scored only four runs and some how are 1-2 in those games. Hopefully the Mets offense can wake up this afternoon in Miami!

Christian Scott has pitched 19 2/3 innings over five starts this season with a 4.12 ERA, 3.65 FIP, 1.475 WHIP and a 97 ERA+. He also has 25 strikeouts this season (11.4 K/9). Walks have been Scott’s growth area this season. Last time out he allowed three of them, combined with four hits meant an early exit. The only members of the Marlins to face Scott in a major league game are Xavier Edwards (2-for-2) and Otto Lopez (0-for-3, K).

The Mets bats will close out the series against Tyler Phillips, making his first start of the season. Over eight games, 30 innings, in relief, Phillips has a 1.20 ERA, 3.42 FIP, 1.267 WHIP and a 342 ERA+. He has walked 16 batters (a rate almost as bad as Scott, and Scott is still heavily impacted by first start of the season). The Mets have the following career numbers against Phillips:

  • Brett Baty 0-2, K
  • Bo Bichette 1-1
  • Hayden Senger 1-3
  • Juan Soto 0-1, BB
  • Tyrone Taylor 1-1
  • Luis Torrens 0-2
  • Mark Vientos 0-3

Three Things To Watch For:

  1. Get Hits! The Mets have recorded three hits in each game of this series so far. Friday night Juan Soto had two of them and Saturday Mark Vientos had two of them. That’s just not enough to get runs across. We have seen this time collectively slump before, now it’s time for them to collectively break out of it.
  2. Rough weekend for the kids. The rookies shouldn’t have to carry the Mets and at times this season they needed to. Friday night Benge went 0-3 with a walk. His outs were loud, with two of them having insane statcast numbers. Yesterday Benge went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts. Ewing had his first real rough game yesterday also going 0-for-4 with three strikeouts. Nick Morabito is still looking for his first major league hit going 0-for-7 with six strikeouts over three games this season.
  3. Devin Williams. The Mets last used Williams in a save situation last Thursday where he allowed a hit and no runs against the Nationals. In 19 games this season, 16 2/3 innings, Williams has a 4.32 ERA, 2.31 FIP, 1.440 WHIP and a 93 ERA+. In his last 10 games, 9 2/3 innings, he has a 0.00 ERA, 1.23 FIP and has struck out 12 batters. He’s in the 97th percentile for chase%, 99th for whiff%, 97th for K%, 90th for xERA and 92nd for xBA.

Let’s Go Mets!

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