Varied Opinions on Where the Mets Will Finish in 2010

Predictions are pretty fickle. Very few people, and I do not think I'm one of them, know enough about baseball to make fair and accurate predictions for all 30 teams. The reason is most people specialize in one team, they follow one team, they know the most about one team. What other teams do they know about? The teams that are geographically close to them. For example an Orioles beat writer would probably (surprisingly to some) know more about the Nationals than any team in the AL East because of the National's proximity to Baltimore and that Oriole beat writer probably works with a Nationals beat writer.

How do these people then make predictions? Well its probably not to far from what I do. For teams we don't know much about, we look at their record from last year, their numbers from last year, and who they added and lost. This strategy is fairly effective, except for one blaring example. The team crippled by injuries. Think about it. If all you have to write is a short blurb about a team in a prediction, the thought process for a team like the 2009 Mets would go something like this:

Honestly I'm pretty sure thats how it goes. When you look at, there are generally very few differences in predictions for an upcoming season when compared to the final standings from previous season. I'll end with a list of writers and websites, and their predictions for where the Mets will finish this year.