Game Preview: Mets @ Phillies

For a good chunk of last night’s game – hope felt distant. The Mets were down early, deGrom left the game early with a hamstring issue, Wheeler was having a good night.

But the Mets fought back and held on to win! If you haven’t looked at Edwin Diaz’s Baseball Reference page you should go look. He dropped his ERA last night to 1.80 and in 20.0 innings of work he has struck out 42 batters. His FIP is 2.10, WHIP 1.250 and ERA+ at 242. The Mets needed him last night to be the closer and he delivered.

So the Mets are back in the race – but – every game is basically a must win. They are 2.5 games out of the wild cart and 4 games out of the automatic playoff berth in the division that the Phillies are also fighting for.

The Mets will look to gain ground tonight behind Seth Lugo who has made 4 starts now and on the season has pitched 27.1 innings with a 2.63 ERA, 2.76 FIP, 1.098 WHIP and 165 ERA+. His last start was his first average start of the season, allowing 3 runs over 5.1 innings to the Blue Jays, in a game the Mets eventually lost 3-2. He did toss 91 pitches in that game so he is fully stretched out for the final run of the season. His start before that was against the Phillies where he allowed 1 run over 5.0 innings. The Phillies have the following numbers against Seth Lugo:

  • Jean Segura 5-11, 2B, 4 K
  • Alec Bohm 1-2, K
  • Scott Kingery 3-9, BB, 3 K
  • Bryce Harper 5-18, 2B, 3 BB, K
  • J.T. Realmuto 5-16, 2B, K
  • Roman Quinn 2-6, 2 K
  • Andrew McCutchen 1-6, BB, 2 K

The Mets bats draw Aaron Nola who is crushing it in this year. In 9 starts and 56.1 innings, he has a 2.40 ERA, 3.11 FIP, 0.888 WHIP and 193 ERA+. He is coming off a a 7-inning complete game shutout of the Marlins where he allowed 3 hits and struck out 10 (a 2020 special) which was a nice rebound from his previous start against the Mets. The Mets in that start scored 6 runs, 3 earned, from 8 hits in 5.1 innings (and also struck out 10 times). Earlier in the season, Nola shut the Mets out for 7.0 innings. The Mets have the following numbers against Aaron:

  • Andres Gimenez 1-2, K
  • Pete Alonso 4-17, 2 HR, BB, 7 K
  • Jeff McNeil 6-21, 2B, BB, 6 K
  • Dominic Smith 6-24, 4 2B, HR, 10 K
  • Wilson Ramos 5-19, 2B, 2 BB, 8 K
  • Michael Conforto 7-35, 3 2B, 4 BB, 12 K
  • J.D. Davis 2-9, 2 BB, 5 K
  • Brandon Nimmo 3-19, 8 BB, 8 K
  • Amed Rosario 5-29, 2B, 9 K
  • Todd Frazier 0-17, 2 BB, 4 K

Let’s Go Mets!

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