2019 Mets Projections Review: Keon Broxton

Every spring at 213 we gather a whole bunch of projections for players and average them together to see what a conglomerate of baseball sources think a given player will perform over the year. It’s wholly unscientific – averaging averages and not weighting them for previous accuracy or amount of playing time they feel a player will see.

Keon Broxton was acquired in a trade for Bobby Wahl (who immediately tore his ACL). Bobby Wahl was acquired in the Jeurys Familia trade. Jeurys Familia signed a deal with the Mets last year. Keon Broxton was later released by the Mets due to poor performance. All of this is to say, his departure ended a series of interesting Mets trivia questions. The Mets were hoping he would be their new Juan Lagares. When we joined the Mets, he had a 77 DRC+ the previous season, these are his projections from last year:

2019 Mets: 53 PA, 49 AB, 0 HR, .143/.208/.163, .371 OPS. -0.6 WAR, 48 DRC+
2019 Total: 175 PA, 155 AB, 6 HR, .174/.253/.310, .563 OPS, -0.8 WAR

So Broxton had moderate success as an Oriole last year (I actually saw him play against Kevin Plawecki in a weird, former MetsWatch type game), but even that wasn’t enough for himto come close to his projections, he really failed to meet them across the board. He missed OBP by 50 points, OPS by 100 points, and just failed to get any consistent playing time.

We liked him as a person, and we wish him and his adorable puppy instagram account well. We just wish things were different.

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