2018 Stats Projection – Amed Rosario

Last year the Mets #1 position prospect got called up. Rosario brought hope to a team that was floundering and a fan base that was looking for something to be positive about. For the last several years the Mets had been suffering horrible short stop defense. Now the Mets have Rosario.

We know his defense is great, but how’s his bat?

Amed Rosario
Source PA AB H R HR AVG OBP SLG
Baseball Prospectus 539 110.906 61 11 0.254 0.295 0.383
ZiPS 594 145 61 9 0.259 0.295 0.38
Steamer 541 503 130 49 9 0.257 0.297 0.375
ESPN 568 152.792 70 8 0.269 0.299 0.37
MLB.com 520 135.2 73 10 0.26 0.304 0.392
Baseball Reference 285 263 69 33 9 0.262 0.313 0.43
Average: 489.75 463.5 123.8163 57.83333 9.333333 0.260167 0.3005 0.388333
2017 Stats: 170 165 41 16 4 0.248 0.271 0.394

Ultimately the computer models see a sizable increase in OBP, a huge part of his game missing last year. The Mets don’t need him to be a slugger but need him to get on base for the other sluggers in the lineup. Depending on where he hits he will either get a lot of balls in the zone if he’s surrounded by power, or pitchers may pitch around him if he is near the pitcher.

I’m excited to watch his development this season. My gut tells me the projections low ball Rosario, but I think I’m filled with hope and optimism, going with my heart not my baseball brain.

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