2018 Stats Projection – Dom Smith

From the jump, I need to be honest. I am biased towards wanting Dom Smith to be the first basemen of the Mets. It’s a combination of following him since he’s been drafted, loving younger players, and his personality. I want the answer at first base to be Dom Smith. Right now, it seems like the Mets have done a lot this off-season to make the Mets answer to not be Dom Smith (getting Gonzalez, suggesting that Bruce can play first, almost making fun of Smith at pressers).

Let’s take a look at his stats:

Dominic Smith
Baseball Prospectus 536 100.288 61 18 0.258 0.314 0.423
ZiPS 652 164 76 20 0.272 0.324 0.43
Steamer 234 214 54 24 8 0.251 0.306 0.413
ESPN 240 58.08 26 7 0.242 0.292 0.379
MLB.com 220 53.9 27 9 0.245 0.305 0.432
Baseball Reference 292 262 62 33 13 0.237 0.306 0.439
Average: 428.5 234 82.04467 41.16667 12.5 0.250833 0.307833 0.419333
2017 Stats: 183 167 33 17 9 0.198 0.262 0.393

Dom Smith surprised us in two ways in 2017. His defense left a lot to be desired at the major league level, the first time that has been true for Dom Smith. The ball exploded off bat when he made contact, knocking in 9 homers in limited at bats. Something else he rarely did at any other level.

I deeply believe that Dom Smith gets a lot better this year with playing time. He has had made a mistake this spring (showing up late) and was unlucky and got injured but I still feel he is the answer at first base. He dropped a lot of weight over the season and is hopefully motivated with Peter Alonso knocking at the door behind him.

Then again, as stated earlier, I don’t know how much of what I’m saying is due to a Dom Smith bias. I want him to be the answer and I don’t know if that is clouding my judgment? I guess we’ll find out this season.

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One Response to 2018 Stats Projection – Dom Smith

  1. atdexpre says:

    1, Who was the best baseball player on the Mets in the second half last year? Who is the best speed player on the Mets speedless roster? 2. Yes there are a lot of debate points after batting average, but when the number is .217 they aren”t necessary. There are good reasons Walker and Duda sat around without contracts for so long. And if their name was Joe Bagadonuts none of these Mets fans would give them a second thought. professional writing

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