It’s another season in Mets baseball land and it’s also another year of “The National League doesn’t have a DH? Where does Wilmer play?”. Let’s just jump right to the stats projections for 2018:
Wilmer Flores | |||||||||
Source | PA | AB | H | R | HR | AVG | OBP | SLG | WAR |
Baseball Prospectus | 569 | 124.354 | 66 | 22 | 0.266 | 0.304 | 0.442 | 1.7 | |
ZiPS | 433 | 109 | 51 | 19 | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.467 | 1.6 | |
Steamer | 367 | 340 | 92 | 43 | 17 | 0.271 | 0.316 | 0.474 | 1 |
ESPN | 293 | 79.403 | 36 | 14 | 0.271 | 0.307 | 0.488 | ||
MLB.com | 250 | 69 | 34 | 11 | 0.276 | 0.314 | 0.456 | ||
Baseball Reference | 415 | 382 | 102 | 49 | 18 | 0.267 | 0.312 | 0.463 | |
Average: | 446 | 316.25 | 95.9595 | 46.5 | 16.83333 | 0.270167 | 0.3105 | 0.465 | 1.433333 |
2017 Stats: | 362 | 336 | 91 | 42 | 18 | 0.271 | 0.307 | 0.488 | -0.2 |
Wilmer had an odd year last year. He wasn’t worth that much in terms of wins but he still hit .271 (his OBP was only slightly higher, which provides insight into this WAR) and he had a lot of pop last year. But so did a lot of players. He was hampered due to bizarre injuries last year. But so did a lot of (Mets) players.
When looking at the stat projections, there is a wide set of projected PAs, probably due to when the data set was ran. For example, Baseball Prospectus, which was sent to print sometime in January happened before the Mets signed both Gonzalez, Reyes and Frazier. Before that it looked like Wilmer was going to get significant playing time.
The average of all of the projections have Flores putting up a similar slash line. With the Mets projected lineup, Flores coming off the bench and hits .271/.311/.465 would be perfect.
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