2017 Projections Review – Steven Matz

Hey. Remember when we did a projection review for Matt Harvey yesterday? And he wasn’t even close? Well get ready for part two! Steven Matz!

Steven Matz
IP Record ERA BB K WHIP
2016 132.1 9-8 3.40 31 129 1.21
Projections
MLB.com 165 11-7 3.33 38 160 1.17
Steamer 163.2 10-9 3.46 48 161 1.2
ZiPS 138 3.46 39 141 1.195
ESPN 11-7 3.27 148 1.2
Baseball Prospectus 131 9-7 3.47 128 1.19
Sporting News 148 10 3.34 38 147 1.17
NBC Rotoworld 166.2 12-8 3.46 39 157 1.18
Rotowire 165 10-8 3.44 46 149 1.212
Baseball America 137 8 2.30 29 131 1.26
FBG 2017 150 12-7 3.41 36 146 1.22
Average 151.489 10.3-7.6 3.29 39.125 146.8 1.1997

2017 Stats:
2-7, 13 G, 6.08 ERA, 66.2 IP, 19 BB, 48 K, 1.530 WHIP

I would be so incredibly happy if Matz pitched his projected like for last year, this upcoming year. 151 Innings? I’ll take it. I was upset and didn’t want to believe he would only toss 151 innings last year. A 3.29 ERA? a 1.1997 WHIP. Yes Please.

Unlike the Harvey projections, a few projections saw him regressing a hair, they ended up being the closest to reality for Matz.

All in all, with his injuries last, looking at last years projections for these two doesn’t make a whole lot of sense.

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