Robert Gsellman had to pitch way more than projected last year. The projections also completely missed his struggles in a way similar to Lugo.
8-7, 5.19 ERA, 25 G, 119.2 IP. 42 BB, 82 K, 1.504 WHIP
Amazingly, the projections got the amount of pitching Gsellman down almost exactly on average. Not as amazing, they were way off on his season. There was a wide variance as good as 2.69 ERA and as high as 4.40 for Gsellman but he struggled 0.8 runs more than that with a WHIP a couple hundred points higher than projected too. Like Lugo, both Gsellman struggled with injuries. Second season pitchers are difficult for projection programs to track.