2017 Projections Review – Robert Gsellman

Robert Gsellman had to pitch way more than projected last year. The projections also completely missed his struggles in a way similar to Lugo.

Robert Gsellman
IP Record ERA BB K WHIP
2016 44.2 4-2 2.42 15 42 1.28
Projections
MLB.com 145 9-8 3.85 46 120 1.27
Steamer 111.1 6-7 4.20 38 86 1.35
ZiPS 155 4.12 47 124 1.29
ESPN 8-8 3.71 125 1.31
Baseball Prospectus 148 9-9 4.22 111 1.33
Sporting News 86 4 4.40 31 64 1.41
NBC Rotoworld 113.1 8-5 3.65 33 91 1.26
Rotowire 142 8-8 3.80 46 125 1.303
Baseball America 144 8 2.69 34 91 1.03
FBG 2017 125 9-6 3.39 41 119 1.22
Average 129.911 7.6-7.3 3.80 39.50 105.60 1.28

2017 Stats:
8-7, 5.19 ERA, 25 G, 119.2 IP. 42 BB, 82 K, 1.504 WHIP

Amazingly, the projections got the amount of pitching Gsellman down almost exactly on average. Not as amazing, they were way off on his season. There was a wide variance as good as 2.69 ERA and as high as 4.40 for Gsellman but he struggled 0.8 runs more than that with a WHIP a couple hundred points higher than projected too. Like Lugo, both Gsellman struggled with injuries. Second season pitchers are difficult for projection programs to track.

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