2014 Mets Projections: Zack Wheeler

Fantasy season means players projections are ubiquitous right now. This is part of a multi-week series where we will go over projections player by player, averaging what we can to see how the computer models and pundits think the 2014 Mets players will do.

There is a lot of attention around Wheeler this year because the expectations from the fans is that, well Harvey. (I know that is not exactly a sentence). Wheeler was described as for a while that he is better than Harvey, and after Harvey’s explosive year last season, that might not be the case any more. Wheeler is exciting and is a major piece for years to come. Lets take a look at his projections:

2013: 17 G, 17 GS, 100.0 IP, 46 BB, 84 K, 7-5, 3.42 ERA, 1.36 WHIP

ESPN: 32 G, 32 GS, 188.0 IP, 69 BB, 161 K, 13 W, 3.78 ERA, 1.29 WHIP
MLB: 170.0 IP, 76 BB, 144 K, 10-10, 3.86 ERA, 1.35 WHIP
Steamer: 31 G, 31 GS, 192.0 IP, 11-12, 4.11 ERA
Oliver: 26 G, 26 GS, 146.0 IP, 9-7, 3.77 ERA
PECOTA: 26 G, 26 GS, 137.7 IP, 7.4-11.6, 61 BB, 130 K, 3.77 ERA, 1.30 WHIP

Average: 28.75 G, 28.75 GS, 166.7 IP, 68.6 BB, 145 K, 10-10, 3.85 ERA, 1.31 WHIP

The computer isn’t predicting a breakout season, but they never do. It looks like he will continue to develop a clip slightly less than that of last year. His strikeouts are increasing, but he is still projected to have some control problems. I’m curious to see how this translates on the diamond.

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