Mets 2011 Player Projections

Using statistics and awesome math both ESPN and ZIPS have rolled out projections for all of the New York Mets. While it would be difficult to post all of them here, thus you should check the respective sites, I wanted to share the main numbers here:

David Wright:

Generally considered the main fantasy player from this club, the question for Wright is if he can get to 30 homers this year. Last year he got to 29 and ESPN feels he is going to reach the same mark again, while ZIPS feels his power will drop slightly:

ESPN: 606 AB, 95 R, 29 HR, 100 RBI, 19 SB, .294 BA

ZIPS: 586 AB, 94 R, 25 HR, 99 RBI, 23 SB, .283 BA, 36 2B

Jose Reyes:

He could be a real kicker for this squad. Or he could be traded midway through the season

ESPN: 590 AB, 86 R, 12 HR, 56 RBI, 36 SB, .286 BA

ZIPS: 517 AB, 80 R, 11 HR, 54 RBI, 39 SB, .284 BA

Ike Davis:

He was great in his rookie season. What do the computers say for his second time around?

ESPN: 537 AB, 74 R, 22 HR, 75 RBI, .272 BA

ZIPS: 553 AB, 76 R, 22 HR, 79 HR, .257 BA

Jason Bay:

Last year was injury ridden and just an all around disappointment. What about this year for the slugger?

ESPN: 504 AB, 85 R, 19 HR, 84 RBI, .268 BA

ZIPS: 444 AB, 71 R, 20 HR, 76 RBI, .252

And you can visit the sites for the rest. The two players they seem to really differ on would be Reyes and Bay. ZIPS has Reyes playing a lot less than ESPN, yet putting up similar numbers, suggesting that if Reyes would play equal to ESPN, he would rack up more numbers. The same situation happens to Bay. ZIPS has Bay playing a lot less, and actually putting up slightly better numbers in terms of Homers, suggesting that the ZIPS system predicts more power out of Bay than the ESPN computer.

But, we play the games for a reason, so we'll see how true any of this becomes.

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